Country Profile - Indonesia      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Indonesia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Indonesia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 260.5
     2030: 293.1
     2060: 321.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.123
     2030: 0.581
     2060: 0.020
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 18.83
     2030: 14.14
     2060: 11.64
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.065
     2030: 7.864
     2060: 11.12
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 22.92
     2030: 14.66
     2060: 7.767
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 69.59
     2030: 72.72
     2060: 77.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 67.44
     2030: 70.25
     2060: 74.89
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 71.76
     2030: 75.21
     2060: 80.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.368
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.259
     2030: 0.225
     2060: 0.083
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 24.87
     2030: 20.70
     2060: 18.79
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 71.26
     2030: 65.97
     2060: 58.10
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 175.4
     2030: 201.0
     2060: 207.5
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 13.85
     2030: 26.14
     2060: 56.02
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 142.8
     2030: 202.0
     2060: 276.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.493
     2030: 0.515
     2060: 0.500
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 38.56
     2030: 41.97
     2060: 46.24

Health Forecast for Indonesia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 2.853
     2030: 3.490
     2060: 4.744
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 39.43
     2030: 40.66
     2060: 42.03
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 18.80
     2030: 12.21
     2060: 5.183
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 19.23
     2030: 16.83
     2060: 9.535
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 6.850
     2030: 4.203
     2060: 2.270

Education Forecast for Indonesia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 106.1
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 90.46
     2030: 97.09
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 92.22
     2030: 91.20
     2060: 107.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 74.36
     2030: 76.25
     2060: 102.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 30.99
     2030: 33.14
     2060: 51.37
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 6.454
     2030: 7.990
     2060: 10.66
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 93.57
     2030: 97.32
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Indonesia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 31.12
     2030: 13.08
     2060: 15.80
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 95.53
     2030: 53.67
     2060: 48.70
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.818
     2030: 0.869
     2060: 0.931
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 11.02
     2030: 7.005
     2060: 2.188
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,804
     2030: 2,999
     2060: 3,271
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.308
     2030: -0.203
     2060: 0.016
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.442
     2030: -0.281
     2060: 0.099

Economy Forecast for Indonesia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2,718
     2030: 4,432
     2060: 7,765
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1,155
     2030: 2,345
     2060: 5,687
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 10.44
     2030: 15.12
     2060: 24.14
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.354
     2030: 0.371
     2060: 0.463
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 9.403
     2030: 13.16
     2060: 16.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 13.64
     2030: 18.19
     2060: 45.49

Energy Forecast for Indonesia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.308
     2030: 0.283
     2060: 0.081

Environment Forecast for Indonesia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.140
     2030: 0.233
     2060: 0.200

International Politics Forecast for Indonesia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 2.029
     2030: 2.214
     2060: 2.288

Domestic Government Forecast for Indonesia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.12
     2030: 11.21
     2060: 13.17
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.02
     2030: 19.42
     2060: 18.99
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.080
     2030: 3.839
     2060: 5.298
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.528
     2030: 2.828
     2060: 3.225
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.120
     2030: 7.320
     2060: 7.538