Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.53
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 4.095
     2030: 3.817
     2060: 3.037
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: -0.753
     2030: -0.690
     2060: -0.805
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 8.924
     2030: 8.273
     2060: 8.372
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 14.16
     2030: 14.47
     2060: 16.32
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 3.925
     2030: 3.385
     2060: 2.569
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 77.61
     2030: 78.76
     2060: 81.77
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 74.35
     2030: 75.46
     2060: 78.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 80.66
     2030: 81.87
     2060: 84.96
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.482
     2030: 1.536
     2060: 1.666
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.027
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.190
     2030: 0.163
     2060: 0.130
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 0.605
     2030: 0.525
     2060: 0.407
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 2.640
     2030: 2.369
     2060: 1.734
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.849
     2030: 0.923
     2060: 0.897
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 2.350
     2030: 2.290
     2060: 1.962
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.444
     2030: 0.433
     2060: 0.428
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 47.80
     2030: 49.11
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 30.12
     2030: 32.36
     2060: 35.79
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 34.75
     2030: 34.52
     2060: 32.09
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 6.234
     2030: 5.419
     2060: 4.040
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 6.121
     2030: 5.023
     2060: 4.299
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.074
     2030: 1.666
     2060: 1.223

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 101.9
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 92.27
     2030: 97.25
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 105.2
     2030: 105.7
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 92.40
     2030: 94.37
     2060: 96.14
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 67.06
     2030: 68.75
     2060: 72.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 11.68
     2030: 12.14
     2060: 13.32
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 99.50
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.012
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.921
     2030: 0.941
     2060: 0.979
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 2.262
     2030: 1.928
     2060: 1.439
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 3,093
     2030: 3,212
     2060: 3,383
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.396
     2030: 0.508
     2060: 0.698
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.025
     2030: 0.219
     2060: 0.583

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 85.65
     2030: 97.76
     2060: 115.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 63.56
     2030: 77.01
     2060: 107.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 20.92
     2030: 25.61
     2060: 37.89
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.305
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.291
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 33.52
     2030: 31.10
     2060: 32.36
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 51.08
     2030: 55.61
     2060: 66.03

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.062
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.039

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 13.17
     2030: 13.51
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.31
     2030: 19.52
     2060: 19.85
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 4.139
     2030: 4.893
     2060: 6.950
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 3.054
     2030: 3.245
     2060: 3.665
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 7.069
     2030: 7.173
     2060: 7.364