Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 4.227
     2030: 3.973
     2060: 3.275
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.340
     2030: -0.539
     2060: -0.691
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.254
     2030: 8.538
     2060: 8.425
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.59
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 15.34
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.717
     2030: 3.003
     2060: 2.056
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 77.82
     2030: 79.57
     2060: 83.13
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 74.35
     2030: 76.02
     2060: 79.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 81.06
     2030: 82.90
     2060: 86.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.492
     2030: 1.562
     2060: 1.684
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.028
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.009
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.205
     2030: 0.173
     2060: 0.140
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.629
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.437
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.780
     2030: 2.458
     2060: 1.850
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.819
     2030: 0.966
     2060: 0.988
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 2.497
     2030: 2.507
     2060: 2.242
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.432
     2030: 0.416
     2060: 0.385
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 46.27
     2030: 48.64
     2060: 49.84

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 27.08
     2030: 29.32
     2060: 32.02
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 35.45
     2030: 34.71
     2060: 32.57
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 0.573
     2030: 0.850
     2060: 1.408
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.182
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.455
     2030: 3.168
     2060: 1.937

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 99.95
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 89.77
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 103.6
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 103.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 95.43
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 98.76
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 68.68
     2030: 68.04
     2060: 69.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.553
     2030: 11.39
     2060: 14.56
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.41
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.086
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.025
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.921
     2030: 0.943
     2060: 0.985
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.981
     2030: 0.807
     2060: 0.678
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,174
     2030: 3,303
     2060: 3,448
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.350
     2030: 0.446
     2060: 0.326
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.044
     2030: 0.204
     2060: 0.413

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 86.91
     2030: 98.61
     2060: 121.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 62.16
     2030: 78.79
     2060: 114.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 20.56
     2030: 24.82
     2060: 37.01
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.324
     2030: 0.348
     2060: 0.399
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 32.59
     2030: 25.98
     2060: 26.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 45.93
     2030: 51.78
     2060: 68.46

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.006
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.064
     2030: 0.052
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 13.13
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.08
     2030: 19.48
     2060: 19.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.121
     2030: 4.930
     2060: 6.956
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.223
     2030: 3.403
     2060: 3.766
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.924
     2030: 7.027
     2060: 7.224