Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.30
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 4.214
     2030: 3.982
     2060: 3.281
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.316
     2030: -0.530
     2060: -0.707
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.234
     2030: 8.545
     2060: 8.407
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.55
     2030: 13.84
     2060: 15.48
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 3.687
     2030: 2.950
     2060: 2.009
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 77.85
     2030: 79.49
     2060: 82.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 74.38
     2030: 75.95
     2060: 79.15
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.09
     2030: 82.80
     2060: 86.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.487
     2030: 1.554
     2060: 1.678
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.028
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.007
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.204
     2030: 0.174
     2060: 0.140
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.627
     2030: 0.552
     2060: 0.438
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.771
     2030: 2.470
     2060: 1.859
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.816
     2030: 0.960
     2060: 0.983
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 2.502
     2030: 2.506
     2060: 2.245
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.433
     2030: 0.419
     2060: 0.387
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 46.27
     2030: 48.54
     2060: 49.83

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 29.49
     2030: 32.30
     2060: 38.09
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 35.45
     2030: 34.65
     2060: 32.67
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.008
     2030: 1.938
     2060: 1.903
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.800
     2030: 0.404
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.408
     2030: 1.177
     2060: 0.887

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 99.16
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 91.06
     2030: 97.70
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.2
     2030: 103.4
     2060: 99.67
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 95.41
     2030: 95.53
     2060: 95.53
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 69.39
     2030: 72.27
     2060: 74.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.612
     2030: 11.40
     2060: 14.67
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.40
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.066
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.029
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.923
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 0.983
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.110
     2030: 0.920
     2060: 0.774
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,065
     2030: 3,216
     2060: 3,498
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.350
     2030: 0.441
     2060: 0.328
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.044
     2030: 0.189
     2060: 0.403

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 88.64
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 120.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 63.47
     2030: 79.76
     2060: 113.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 21.04
     2030: 25.14
     2060: 36.73
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.324
     2030: 0.353
     2060: 0.410
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 33.69
     2030: 28.35
     2060: 28.56
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 46.72
     2030: 54.39
     2060: 72.07

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.064
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.040

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 13.14
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.08
     2030: 19.48
     2060: 19.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.132
     2030: 4.896
     2060: 6.864
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.225
     2030: 3.395
     2060: 3.751
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.925
     2030: 7.015
     2060: 7.198