Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 4.165
     2030: 3.847
     2060: 3.108
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.645
     2030: -0.672
     2060: -0.766
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 9.037
     2030: 8.207
     2060: 8.176
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.99
     2030: 14.24
     2060: 15.72
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 3.492
     2030: 2.990
     2060: 2.040
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 77.94
     2030: 79.46
     2060: 83.41
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 74.48
     2030: 75.90
     2060: 79.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 81.17
     2030: 82.79
     2060: 86.89
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.467
     2030: 1.536
     2060: 1.666
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.028
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.192
     2030: 0.163
     2060: 0.129
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.615
     2030: 0.525
     2060: 0.406
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.711
     2030: 2.372
     2060: 1.736
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.839
     2030: 0.950
     2060: 0.965
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 2.489
     2030: 2.480
     2060: 2.213
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.415
     2030: 0.325
     2060: 0.232
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.36
     2030: 49.11
     2060: 49.94

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 29.99
     2030: 32.52
     2060: 36.67
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 35.21
     2030: 34.74
     2060: 31.10
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.979
     2030: 1.929
     2060: 1.997
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.590
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.165
     2030: 1.593
     2060: 1.061

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 99.31
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 92.46
     2030: 99.07
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 103.4
     2030: 105.1
     2060: 99.64
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 92.79
     2030: 96.51
     2060: 97.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 69.79
     2030: 76.57
     2060: 87.42
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 11.59
     2030: 12.25
     2060: 13.83
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.37
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.023
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.926
     2030: 0.948
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.099
     2030: 0.951
     2060: 0.811
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,093
     2030: 3,227
     2060: 3,432
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.361
     2030: 0.442
     2060: 0.361
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.021
     2030: 0.188
     2060: 0.448

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 92.44
     2030: 105.4
     2060: 150.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 66.70
     2030: 86.14
     2060: 141.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 22.20
     2030: 27.40
     2060: 48.45
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.311
     2030: 0.330
     2060: 0.366
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 35.77
     2030: 32.21
     2060: 31.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 52.55
     2030: 63.06
     2060: 79.13

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.063
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.044

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 13.13
     2030: 13.65
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.18
     2030: 19.61
     2060: 19.98
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.257
     2030: 5.138
     2060: 8.243
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 3.255
     2030: 3.444
     2060: 3.918
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.055
     2030: 7.163
     2060: 7.440