Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.08
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 4.253
     2030: 3.947
     2060: 3.220
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.429
     2030: -0.580
     2060: -0.718
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 9.321
     2030: 8.485
     2060: 8.432
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 13.22
     2030: 14.28
     2060: 15.61
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 5.434
     2030: 4.449
     2060: 2.972
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 76.99
     2030: 78.86
     2060: 82.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 73.28
     2030: 75.09
     2060: 78.48
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 80.44
     2030: 82.38
     2060: 86.31
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.498
     2030: 1.556
     2060: 1.686
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.011
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.252
     2030: 0.206
     2060: 0.166
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.621
     2030: 0.544
     2060: 0.430
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.825
     2030: 2.452
     2060: 1.824
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.807
     2030: 0.951
     2060: 0.966
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.553
     2030: 2.518
     2060: 2.214
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.450
     2030: 0.429
     2060: 0.395
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.19
     2030: 49.10
     2060: 49.91

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 26.67
     2030: 26.70
     2060: 27.76
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 31.68
     2030: 31.97
     2060: 29.94
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 0.665
     2030: 1.061
     2060: 1.781
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 0.337
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.159
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 5.132
     2030: 5.190
     2060: 4.536

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 99.26
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 92.11
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 106.3
     2030: 106.8
     2060: 100.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 81.62
     2030: 98.12
     2060: 94.25
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 53.99
     2030: 53.58
     2060: 59.52
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 9.671
     2030: 11.38
     2060: 14.36
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 99.34
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.054
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.003
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.076
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.914
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 0.983
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.210
     2030: 1.013
     2060: 0.820
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,122
     2030: 3,123
     2060: 3,185
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.379
     2030: 0.452
     2060: 0.298
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.019
     2030: 0.241
     2060: 0.396

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 83.32
     2030: 93.13
     2060: 121.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 59.96
     2030: 73.72
     2060: 114.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 19.59
     2030: 23.60
     2060: 37.71
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.332
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.353
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 992,927,416,320
     2030: 875,797,610,496
     2060: 716,737,937,408
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 41.50
     2030: 45.45
     2060: 64.87

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.006
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.064
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.026

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 13.28
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.16
     2030: 19.63
     2060: 19.89
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 4.168
     2030: 4.943
     2060: 7.138
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 3.145
     2030: 3.338
     2060: 3.744
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.745
     2030: 6.848
     2060: 7.066