Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 4.287
     2030: 3.969
     2060: 3.228
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: -0.347
     2030: -0.581
     2060: -0.748
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 9.472
     2030: 8.482
     2060: 8.431
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 12.94
     2030: 14.29
     2060: 15.91
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 5.414
     2030: 4.450
     2060: 3.244
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 76.93
     2030: 78.81
     2060: 82.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 73.23
     2030: 75.04
     2060: 78.06
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 80.38
     2030: 82.32
     2060: 85.84
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.501
     2030: 1.552
     2060: 1.684
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.011
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.258
     2030: 0.208
     2060: 0.166
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.630
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.432
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.860
     2030: 2.469
     2060: 1.834
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.797
     2030: 0.951
     2060: 0.962
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 2.556
     2030: 2.515
     2060: 2.208
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.456
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.400
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.01
     2030: 49.12
     2060: 49.91

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 26.80
     2030: 27.86
     2060: 30.07
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 30.20
     2030: 30.50
     2060: 29.81
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 0.634
     2030: 1.010
     2060: 1.629
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 0.561
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.038
     2030: 4.349
     2060: 2.938

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 98.34
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 90.38
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 103.6
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 99.91
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 88.62
     2030: 99.46
     2060: 99.85
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 53.35
     2030: 52.87
     2060: 53.40
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 9.548
     2030: 11.52
     2060: 14.41
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 99.22
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.071
     2030: 0.036
     2060: 0.019
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.098
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.027
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.901
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 0.963
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.219
     2030: 0.998
     2060: 0.812
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,129
     2030: 3,191
     2060: 3,315
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.374
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.386
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.431

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 67.95
     2030: 75.24
     2060: 88.37
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 45.85
     2030: 55.82
     2060: 79.72
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 15.85
     2030: 18.96
     2060: 27.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.337
     2030: 0.347
     2060: 0.386
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 50.04
     2030: 42.62
     2060: 36.98
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 42.48
     2030: 45.23
     2060: 53.48

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.006
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.067
     2030: 0.048
     2060: 0.029

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 13.25
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.12
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.81
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 4.162
     2030: 4.779
     2060: 6.147
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 3.142
     2030: 3.315
     2060: 3.616
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.751
     2030: 6.856
     2060: 7.029