Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 4.371
     2030: 4.054
     2060: 3.279
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: -0.296
     2030: -0.568
     2060: -0.805
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 9.504
     2030: 8.249
     2060: 8.222
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 12.46
     2030: 13.93
     2060: 16.27
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 5.698
     2030: 4.502
     2060: 3.451
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 76.88
     2030: 79.04
     2060: 82.20
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 73.23
     2030: 75.33
     2060: 78.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 80.28
     2030: 82.49
     2060: 85.84
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.455
     2030: 1.533
     2060: 1.673
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.011
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.255
     2030: 0.208
     2060: 0.166
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 0.636
     2030: 0.555
     2060: 0.431
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 2.951
     2030: 2.536
     2060: 1.838
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.783
     2030: 0.963
     2060: 1.010
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 2.578
     2030: 2.571
     2060: 2.247
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.455
     2030: 0.432
     2060: 0.391
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 46.34
     2030: 48.87
     2060: 49.86

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 26.88
     2030: 28.06
     2060: 29.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 30.42
     2030: 30.63
     2060: 29.65
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 1.084
     2030: 1.383
     2060: 1.894
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.929
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.661
     2030: 0.141
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 99.97
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 93.88
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.94
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 101.7
     2030: 103.7
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 88.43
     2030: 99.02
     2060: 100.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 49.27
     2030: 48.76
     2060: 47.84
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.383
     2030: 11.38
     2060: 14.09
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 99.03
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.900
     2030: 0.928
     2060: 0.960
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 1.329
     2030: 1.042
     2060: 0.888
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,134
     2030: 3,202
     2060: 3,278
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.738
     2030: 0.560
     2060: 0.355
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.411
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.169

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 69.43
     2030: 80.80
     2060: 84.24
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 47.01
     2030: 61.51
     2060: 74.62
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 15.89
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 25.69
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.336
     2030: 0.350
     2060: 0.394
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 42.43
     2030: 36.54
     2060: 32.27
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 38.55
     2030: 42.88
     2060: 51.43

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.006
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.006
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.072
     2030: 0.054
     2060: 0.030

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 13.03
     2030: 13.69
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.12
     2030: 19.80
     2060: 19.83
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 4.156
     2030: 4.922
     2060: 5.963
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.133
     2030: 3.343
     2060: 3.587
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.332
     2030: 6.465
     2060: 6.590