Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 4.253
     2030: 3.945
     2060: 3.207
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.432
     2030: -0.587
     2060: -0.728
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 9.321
     2030: 8.487
     2060: 8.453
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 13.24
     2030: 14.36
     2060: 15.73
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 5.456
     2030: 4.547
     2060: 3.139
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 76.97
     2030: 78.76
     2060: 82.26
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 73.26
     2030: 74.99
     2060: 78.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 80.42
     2030: 82.28
     2060: 86.03
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.498
     2030: 1.556
     2060: 1.686
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.011
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.252
     2030: 0.206
     2060: 0.166
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.621
     2030: 0.544
     2060: 0.430
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.825
     2030: 2.452
     2060: 1.822
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.807
     2030: 0.949
     2060: 0.956
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 2.553
     2030: 2.517
     2060: 2.209
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.450
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.396
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 47.19
     2030: 49.10
     2060: 49.91

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 26.70
     2030: 26.69
     2060: 27.84
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 31.67
     2030: 31.87
     2060: 30.24
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 0.667
     2030: 1.065
     2060: 1.777
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 0.332
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.126
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 5.113
     2030: 5.191
     2060: 4.483

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 99.20
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 92.05
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 99.95
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 106.3
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 100.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 81.57
     2030: 98.18
     2060: 94.08
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 53.95
     2030: 53.12
     2060: 57.19
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 9.671
     2030: 11.38
     2060: 14.32
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 99.34
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.080
     2030: 0.060
     2060: 0.040
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.913
     2030: 0.934
     2060: 0.976
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.224
     2030: 1.045
     2060: 0.834
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,123
     2030: 3,123
     2060: 3,190
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.379
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.285
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.018
     2030: 0.237
     2060: 0.373

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 82.70
     2030: 89.37
     2060: 109.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 59.51
     2030: 69.38
     2060: 102.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 19.45
     2030: 22.66
     2060: 34.18
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.333
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.415
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 34.88
     2030: 27.71
     2060: 18.78
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 41.11
     2030: 44.21
     2060: 59.68

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.006
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.063
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.026

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 13.28
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 19.16
     2030: 19.60
     2060: 19.84
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 4.151
     2030: 4.828
     2060: 6.709
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 3.141
     2030: 3.312
     2060: 3.684
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.742
     2030: 6.828
     2060: 7.020