Country Profile - Croatia      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Croatia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Croatia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 4.207
     2030: 3.968
     2060: 3.265
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.342
     2030: -0.541
     2060: -0.710
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.180
     2030: 8.488
     2060: 8.321
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.76
     2030: 13.90
     2060: 15.42
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 3.491
     2030: 2.750
     2060: 1.789
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 77.84
     2030: 79.53
     2060: 83.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 74.40
     2030: 76.03
     2060: 79.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 81.05
     2030: 82.81
     2060: 86.57
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.463
     2030: 1.536
     2060: 1.666
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.028
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.008
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.196
     2030: 0.173
     2060: 0.138
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.622
     2030: 0.549
     2060: 0.431
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.759
     2030: 2.463
     2060: 1.845
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.826
     2030: 0.956
     2060: 0.989
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 2.490
     2030: 2.499
     2060: 2.238
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.439
     2030: 0.425
     2060: 0.390
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.02
     2030: 49.05
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for Croatia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 29.53
     2030: 32.48
     2060: 38.51
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 35.45
     2030: 34.74
     2060: 32.29
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.003
     2030: 1.922
     2060: 1.878
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.859
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.407
     2030: 1.150
     2060: 0.841

Education Forecast for Croatia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 99.27
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 91.12
     2030: 97.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.3
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 99.67
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 95.47
     2030: 96.31
     2060: 96.36
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 69.80
     2030: 77.35
     2060: 85.17
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 9.620
     2030: 11.45
     2060: 14.86
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.55
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Croatia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.069
     2030: 0.043
     2060: 0.022
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.924
     2030: 0.946
     2060: 0.992
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.085
     2030: 0.898
     2060: 0.755
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,068
     2030: 3,225
     2060: 3,518
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.351
     2030: 0.446
     2060: 0.347
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.043
     2030: 0.195
     2060: 0.426

Economy Forecast for Croatia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 90.82
     2030: 104.7
     2060: 135.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 64.56
     2030: 84.10
     2060: 127.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 21.59
     2030: 26.39
     2060: 41.54
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.330
     2030: 0.362
     2060: 0.415
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 33.03
     2030: 28.03
     2060: 29.05
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 47.36
     2030: 59.06
     2060: 75.52

Energy Forecast for Croatia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Croatia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.005
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.004

International Politics Forecast for Croatia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.064
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.043

Domestic Government Forecast for Croatia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 13.15
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.09
     2030: 19.55
     2060: 19.92
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.170
     2030: 5.026
     2060: 7.432
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.235
     2030: 3.421
     2060: 3.824
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.932
     2030: 7.033
     2060: 7.252