Country Profile - Honduras      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Honduras
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Honduras -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 8.428
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 13.82
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.975
     2030: 1.288
     2060: 0.430
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 25.65
     2030: 18.61
     2060: 12.33
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 4.793
     2030: 4.811
     2060: 7.511
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 22.23
     2030: 13.29
     2060: 5.462
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 74.28
     2030: 77.11
     2060: 80.95
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 71.89
     2030: 74.44
     2060: 77.71
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 76.69
     2030: 79.80
     2060: 84.20
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.973
     2030: 2.313
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.338
     2030: 0.262
     2060: 0.086
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.217
     2030: 1.227
     2060: 1.037
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 2.891
     2030: 3.111
     2060: 2.625
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 5.148
     2030: 6.987
     2060: 8.886
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.389
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 2.307
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 4.585
     2030: 6.896
     2060: 10.53
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.413
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.466
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 35.52
     2030: 39.12
     2060: 43.85

Health Forecast for Honduras -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 15.69
     2030: 16.19
     2060: 18.23
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 12.90
     2030: 13.73
     2060: 15.19
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 8.055
     2030: 6.847
     2060: 4.807
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 7.598
     2030: 7.117
     2060: 1.932
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 9.462
     2030: 9.216
     2060: 7.746

Education Forecast for Honduras -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 106.9
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 99.38
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.01
     2030: 98.01
     2060: 99.12
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 78.97
     2030: 79.60
     2060: 97.06
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 71.34
     2030: 69.20
     2060: 79.99
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 21.13
     2030: 24.21
     2060: 30.72
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 7.424
     2030: 8.397
     2060: 9.607
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 86.62
     2030: 92.27
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Honduras
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.541
     2030: 1.644
     2060: 1.590
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 2.509
     2030: 2.744
     2060: 2.708
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.775
     2030: 0.823
     2060: 0.906
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 10.62
     2030: 6.704
     2060: 2.688
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,715
     2030: 2,758
     2060: 2,911
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.065
     2030: -0.084
     2060: -0.153
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.203
     2030: -0.154
     2060: -0.075

Economy Forecast for Honduras
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 38.15
     2030: 62.91
     2060: 152.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 20.16
     2030: 35.73
     2060: 107.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 4.526
     2030: 5.814
     2060: 11.03
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.588
     2030: 0.599
     2060: 0.628
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 1,119,069,405,1
     2030: 1,128,735,703,0
     2060: 876,534,890,496
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 6.508
     2030: 11.02
     2060: 21.48

Energy Forecast for Honduras
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Honduras
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.008

International Politics Forecast for Honduras
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.047
     2030: 0.050
     2060: 0.053

Domestic Government Forecast for Honduras
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 8.172
     2030: 8.675
     2060: 9.628
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.33
     2030: 18.95
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.556
     2030: 3.125
     2060: 4.448
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.948
     2030: 2.254
     2060: 2.891
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.278
     2030: 7.443
     2060: 7.816