Country Profile - Honduras      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Honduras
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Honduras -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 8.428
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 13.81
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.977
     2030: 1.283
     2060: 0.431
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 25.69
     2030: 18.56
     2060: 12.30
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 4.808
     2030: 4.812
     2060: 7.488
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 22.42
     2030: 13.25
     2060: 5.296
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 74.24
     2030: 77.09
     2060: 81.03
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 71.84
     2030: 74.43
     2060: 77.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 76.65
     2030: 79.79
     2060: 84.26
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.976
     2030: 2.307
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.338
     2030: 0.262
     2060: 0.086
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.218
     2030: 1.225
     2060: 1.036
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 2.891
     2030: 3.111
     2060: 2.624
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 5.148
     2030: 6.987
     2060: 8.878
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.389
     2030: 0.723
     2060: 2.307
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 4.585
     2030: 6.896
     2060: 10.53
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.413
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.465
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 35.52
     2030: 39.12
     2060: 43.85

Health Forecast for Honduras -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 15.69
     2030: 16.41
     2060: 18.95
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 12.90
     2030: 13.74
     2060: 15.28
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 8.086
     2030: 6.857
     2060: 4.731
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 7.743
     2030: 6.766
     2060: 1.417
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 9.456
     2030: 8.998
     2060: 7.065

Education Forecast for Honduras -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 112.3
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 99.92
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 95.59
     2030: 97.82
     2060: 99.27
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 77.93
     2030: 79.07
     2060: 96.76
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 70.90
     2030: 71.03
     2060: 80.56
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 21.02
     2030: 24.23
     2060: 31.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 7.390
     2030: 8.353
     2060: 9.652
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 86.56
     2030: 92.32
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Honduras
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.256
     2030: 1.382
     2060: 1.364
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 2.347
     2030: 2.598
     2060: 2.540
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.774
     2030: 0.824
     2060: 0.910
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 10.70
     2030: 6.771
     2060: 2.683
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,715
     2030: 2,775
     2060: 2,964
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.066
     2030: -0.083
     2060: -0.142
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.204
     2030: -0.152
     2060: -0.055

Economy Forecast for Honduras
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 37.84
     2030: 63.90
     2060: 161.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 20.00
     2030: 36.56
     2060: 117.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 4.490
     2030: 5.905
     2060: 11.72
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.553
     2030: 0.576
     2060: 0.625
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 46.88
     2030: 46.95
     2060: 31.78
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 6.409
     2030: 11.10
     2060: 22.10

Energy Forecast for Honduras
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Honduras
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.003
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.008

International Politics Forecast for Honduras
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.047
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.056

Domestic Government Forecast for Honduras
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 8.160
     2030: 8.699
     2060: 9.715
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.33
     2030: 18.96
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.552
     2030: 3.136
     2060: 4.534
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.943
     2030: 2.264
     2060: 2.927
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.273
     2030: 7.451
     2060: 7.849