Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 7.319
     2030: 7.994
     2060: 7.644
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.905
     2030: 0.285
     2060: -0.347
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 9.399
     2030: 6.666
     2060: 7.456
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.908
     2030: 9.652
     2060: 15.90
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 1.682
     2030: 1.264
     2060: 0.822
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 83.02
     2030: 83.92
     2060: 85.08
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 79.95
     2030: 80.72
     2060: 81.63
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 85.72
     2030: 86.70
     2060: 88.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.178
     2030: 1.274
     2060: 1.512
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.381
     2030: 0.337
     2060: 0.346
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.870
     2030: 0.951
     2060: 0.915
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.394
     2030: 5.006
     2060: 4.207
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.054
     2030: 2.036
     2060: 2.523
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 7.249
     2030: 7.868
     2060: 7.607
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.520
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.398
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 47.07
     2030: 49.16
     2060: 49.92

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 29.53
     2030: 30.21
     2060: 30.03
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 22.26
     2030: 21.62
     2060: 21.72
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 0.042
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 112.7
     2030: 104.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 95.89
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.84
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 101.5
     2030: 113.8
     2060: 111.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 73.07
     2030: 89.88
     2060: 98.53
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 61.53
     2030: 66.54
     2060: 67.92
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 10.13
     2030: 10.79
     2060: 13.13
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.997
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.765
     2030: 0.664
     2060: 0.529
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,590
     2030: 3,626
     2060: 3,617
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.487
     2030: 0.625
     2060: 0.942
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.158
     2030: 1.178
     2060: 0.996

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 340.9
     2030: 447.0
     2060: 501.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 251.8
     2030: 345.4
     2060: 424.1
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 46.58
     2030: 55.92
     2060: 65.60
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.435
     2030: 0.411
     2060: 0.421
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 88.25
     2030: 90.18
     2060: 79.25
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 31.49
     2030: 44.98
     2060: 63.17

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.011
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.367
     2030: 0.308
     2060: 0.151

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.080
     2030: 9.492
     2060: 10.56
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.14
     2030: 19.23
     2060: 19.41
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 8.879
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 4.242
     2030: 4.333
     2060: 4.392
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 9.010
     2030: 9.118
     2060: 9.215