Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 7.333
     2030: 7.681
     2060: 6.892
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.665
     2030: 0.044
     2060: -0.682
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.879
     2030: 6.768
     2060: 7.478
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.373
     2030: 10.17
     2060: 16.92
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 1.676
     2030: 1.298
     2060: 0.867
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 82.54
     2030: 83.25
     2060: 84.26
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 81.47
     2030: 82.14
     2060: 83.02
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 83.49
     2030: 84.25
     2060: 85.41
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.287
     2030: 1.365
     2060: 1.559
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.379
     2030: 0.278
     2060: 0.267
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.896
     2030: 0.976
     2060: 0.867
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 5.296
     2030: 4.682
     2060: 3.677
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.141
     2030: 2.024
     2060: 2.348
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 7.296
     2030: 7.573
     2060: 6.887
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.511
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.387
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.34
     2030: 49.32
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 26.09
     2030: 27.86
     2060: 29.08
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 17.01
     2030: 17.08
     2060: 17.38
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 2.784
     2030: 2.522
     2060: 2.403
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.752
     2030: 6.287
     2060: 4.237
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.061
     2030: 0.232
     2060: 0.526

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 111.1
     2030: 96.69
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 96.78
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 105.3
     2030: 91.46
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 106.3
     2030: 97.28
     2060: 99.52
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 69.38
     2030: 84.38
     2060: 86.46
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.83
     2030: 11.86
     2060: 14.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.961
     2030: 1.903
     2060: 1.841
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,346
     2030: 3,458
     2060: 3,536
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.506
     2030: 0.605
     2060: 0.856
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.265
     2030: 1.284
     2060: 1.051

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 393.8
     2030: 484.8
     2060: 508.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 279.5
     2030: 359.1
     2060: 415.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 53.71
     2030: 63.11
     2060: 73.72
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.370
     2030: 0.367
     2060: 0.385
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 62.81
     2030: 50.54
     2060: 44.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 30.05
     2030: 49.75
     2060: 68.54

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.313
     2030: 0.288
     2060: 0.173

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 2.365
     2030: 2.487
     2060: 2.748
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.58
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 8.589
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 4.348
     2030: 4.427
     2060: 4.480
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 8.982
     2030: 9.076
     2060: 9.168