Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 7.357
     2030: 7.432
     2060: 6.333
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.384
     2030: -0.155
     2060: -0.779
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.54
     2030: 7.098
     2060: 8.301
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.67
     2030: 12.56
     2060: 19.43
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 0.665
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.251
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 75.52
     2030: 76.78
     2060: 79.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 62.12
     2030: 62.68
     2060: 64.09
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 86.87
     2030: 87.72
     2060: 89.24
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.323
     2030: 1.367
     2060: 1.557
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.339
     2030: 0.287
     2060: 0.272
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.901
     2030: 1.044
     2060: 0.873
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 5.206
     2030: 4.358
     2060: 3.261
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.251
     2030: 2.029
     2060: 2.199
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 7.323
     2030: 7.407
     2060: 6.333
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.468
     2030: 0.245
     2060: 0.175
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.77
     2030: 48.77
     2060: 48.77

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 26.17
     2030: 27.87
     2060: 28.87
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 16.03
     2030: 15.29
     2060: 13.93
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.111
     2030: 2.706
     2060: 2.640
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.207
     2030: 1.684
     2060: 1.328

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 99.12
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 93.34
     2030: 99.97
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 103.3
     2030: 110.3
     2060: 99.65
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 95.68
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 98.38
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 71.41
     2030: 88.21
     2060: 99.15
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 11.37
     2030: 12.14
     2060: 14.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.967
     2030: 0.983
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.081
     2030: 0.939
     2060: 0.939
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,341
     2030: 3,434
     2060: 3,473
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.515
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 0.852
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.281
     2030: 1.290
     2060: 1.062

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 416.2
     2030: 497.8
     2060: 537.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 297.4
     2030: 368.8
     2060: 439.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 56.57
     2030: 66.98
     2060: 84.92
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.406
     2030: 0.396
     2060: 0.404
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 62.20
     2030: 52.45
     2060: 45.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 33.11
     2030: 54.22
     2060: 68.79

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.309
     2030: 0.285
     2060: 0.155

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 2.341
     2030: 2.433
     2060: 2.665
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.60
     2030: 19.63
     2060: 19.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 8.846
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 4.368
     2030: 4.456
     2060: 4.562
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 9.002
     2030: 9.100
     2060: 9.239