Country Profile - Hong Kong      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Hong Kong
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Hong Kong -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 7.362
     2030: 7.797
     2060: 7.172
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.786
     2030: 0.142
     2060: -0.596
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 10.77
     2030: 6.921
     2060: 7.568
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.961
     2030: 9.368
     2060: 16.18
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 1.431
     2030: 1.128
     2060: 0.752
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 84.24
     2030: 84.95
     2060: 86.04
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 80.93
     2030: 81.52
     2060: 82.38
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 87.08
     2030: 87.85
     2060: 89.15
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.313
     2030: 1.367
     2060: 1.557
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.318
     2030: 0.292
     2060: 0.283
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.869
     2030: 1.058
     2060: 0.898
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 5.293
     2030: 4.688
     2060: 3.759
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.201
     2030: 2.051
     2060: 2.515
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 7.321
     2030: 7.656
     2060: 7.120
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.526
     2030: 0.446
     2060: 0.390
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.04
     2030: 49.62
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Hong Kong -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 25.76
     2030: 27.90
     2060: 30.83
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 16.16
     2030: 16.06
     2060: 16.05
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.164
     2030: 2.791
     2060: 2.415
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.036
     2030: 0.187
     2060: 0.097
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.932
     2030: 1.431
     2060: 0.997

Education Forecast for Hong Kong -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 96.17
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 92.83
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 103.6
     2030: 107.6
     2060: 99.66
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 97.16
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 98.07
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 70.01
     2030: 90.59
     2060: 100.2
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.98
     2030: 12.10
     2060: 14.64
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Hong Kong
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.000
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.156
     2030: 1.032
     2060: 0.940
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,317
     2030: 3,449
     2060: 3,622
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.508
     2030: 0.601
     2060: 0.839
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 1.274
     2030: 1.292
     2060: 1.057

Economy Forecast for Hong Kong
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 400.6
     2030: 487.6
     2060: 519.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 286.0
     2030: 362.0
     2060: 424.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 54.42
     2030: 62.54
     2060: 72.43
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.373
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.398
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 64.03
     2030: 53.68
     2060: 46.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 30.71
     2030: 57.04
     2060: 68.50

Energy Forecast for Hong Kong
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Hong Kong
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.013
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Hong Kong
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.307
     2030: 0.278
     2060: 0.159

Domestic Government Forecast for Hong Kong
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 2.337
     2030: 2.465
     2060: 2.744
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.59
     2030: 19.63
     2060: 19.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 8.576
     2030: 9.888
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 4.347
     2030: 4.415
     2060: 4.465
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 8.981
     2030: 9.062
     2060: 9.148