Country Profile - Guatemala      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Guatemala
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Guatemala -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 17.23
     2030: 21.16
     2060: 27.83
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.909
     2030: 1.430
     2060: 0.524
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 24.80
     2030: 19.77
     2060: 12.83
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 4.827
     2030: 4.817
     2060: 7.277
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 21.50
     2030: 12.98
     2060: 4.881
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 73.98
     2030: 76.49
     2060: 80.20
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 70.64
     2030: 72.91
     2060: 76.06
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 77.23
     2030: 80.00
     2060: 84.23
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.891
     2030: 2.369
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.321
     2030: 0.394
     2060: 0.517
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.062
     2030: 2.109
     2060: 1.802
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 5.930
     2030: 6.279
     2060: 5.430
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 10.47
     2030: 13.60
     2060: 18.13
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.829
     2030: 1.284
     2060: 4.266
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 9.222
     2030: 12.85
     2060: 21.16
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.405
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.465
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 35.94
     2030: 38.98
     2060: 44.00

Health Forecast for Guatemala -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 44.58
     2030: 49.23
     2060: 62.51
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 11.22
     2030: 12.12
     2060: 13.85
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 11.69
     2030: 9.021
     2060: 4.508
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 11.19
     2030: 7.224
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 13.31
     2030: 8.435
     2060: 3.163

Education Forecast for Guatemala -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 105.6
     2030: 106.6
     2060: 101.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 91.61
     2030: 95.18
     2060: 99.82
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 72.31
     2030: 78.42
     2060: 90.45
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 57.91
     2030: 64.33
     2060: 79.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 19.08
     2030: 22.42
     2060: 41.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 5.687
     2030: 7.056
     2060: 9.330
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 81.27
     2030: 87.40
     2060: 97.47

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Guatemala
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 2.235
     2030: 2.460
     2060: 3.055
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 4.125
     2030: 4.575
     2060: 5.354
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.783
     2030: 0.826
     2060: 0.908
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 13.58
     2030: 9.247
     2060: 2.502
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,524
     2030: 2,702
     2060: 3,153
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.028
     2030: 0.043
     2060: -0.010
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.094
     2030: 0.125
     2060: 0.127

Economy Forecast for Guatemala
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 127.8
     2030: 185.9
     2060: 398.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 60.74
     2030: 96.43
     2060: 266.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 7.418
     2030: 8.781
     2060: 14.30
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.494
     2030: 0.505
     2060: 0.563
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 44.42
     2030: 32.91
     2060: 20.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 5.512
     2030: 7.234
     2060: 20.14

Energy Forecast for Guatemala
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.005
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Guatemala
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.004
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.015

International Politics Forecast for Guatemala
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.105
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.155

Domestic Government Forecast for Guatemala
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.192
     2030: 10.03
     2060: 11.64
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.05
     2030: 19.22
     2060: 19.06
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.774
     2030: 3.203
     2060: 4.347
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 1.846
     2030: 2.119
     2060: 2.743
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.465
     2030: 7.589
     2060: 7.844