Country Profile - Guatemala      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Guatemala
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Guatemala -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 15.85
     2030: 22.45
     2060: 32.03
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.497
     2030: 1.786
     2060: 0.766
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 31.11
     2030: 23.34
     2060: 14.04
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.368
     2030: 4.820
     2060: 6.062
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 24.85
     2030: 13.57
     2060: 4.608
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 72.10
     2030: 75.88
     2060: 80.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 68.36
     2030: 71.75
     2060: 75.81
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 75.67
     2030: 79.90
     2060: 85.69
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.790
     2030: 2.826
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.409
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.108
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.722
     2030: 3.119
     2060: 2.695
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 6.337
     2030: 7.631
     2060: 6.680
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 8.774
     2030: 13.57
     2060: 21.29
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.737
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 4.058
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 8.079
     2030: 13.13
     2060: 22.99
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.408
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.525
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 39.29
     2030: 42.89
     2060: 46.70

Health Forecast for Guatemala -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 37.62
     2030: 41.15
     2060: 52.79
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 13.04
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 16.07
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 12.08
     2030: 9.093
     2060: 4.949
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 13.66
     2030: 6.780
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 28.48
     2030: 22.88
     2060: 11.38

Education Forecast for Guatemala -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 117.3
     2030: 110.0
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 95.17
     2030: 96.74
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 74.26
     2030: 85.15
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 36.47
     2030: 65.22
     2060: 89.07
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 18.26
     2030: 21.84
     2060: 34.35
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 5.098
     2030: 6.780
     2060: 9.525
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 79.38
     2030: 89.00
     2060: 98.47

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Guatemala
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 2.233
     2030: 2.686
     2060: 1.219
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 4.249
     2030: 5.260
     2060: 2.890
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.763
     2030: 0.828
     2060: 0.934
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 14.93
     2030: 8.281
     2060: 2.238
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,292
     2030: 2,446
     2060: 2,884
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.032
     2030: 0.039
     2060: 0.035
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.067
     2030: 0.106
     2060: 0.231

Economy Forecast for Guatemala
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 110.9
     2030: 197.4
     2060: 647.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 52.51
     2030: 104.7
     2060: 514.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 7.000
     2030: 8.795
     2060: 20.21
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.572
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.596
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 977,519,509,504
     2030: 824,133,615,616
     2060: 496,221,978,624
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 4.838
     2030: 10.20
     2060: 26.78

Energy Forecast for Guatemala
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.017
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Guatemala
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.004
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Guatemala
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.102
     2030: 0.118
     2060: 0.157

Domestic Government Forecast for Guatemala
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 8.146
     2030: 9.220
     2060: 11.25
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 17.98
     2030: 18.66
     2060: 18.94
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.247
     2030: 3.646
     2060: 5.398
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.868
     2030: 2.200
     2060: 3.007
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.204
     2030: 7.358
     2060: 7.816