Country Profile - Guatemala      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Guatemala
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Guatemala -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 17.00
     2030: 21.32
     2060: 28.27
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.955
     2030: 1.460
     2060: 0.550
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 25.69
     2030: 20.40
     2060: 13.10
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.233
     2030: 5.138
     2060: 7.293
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 19.97
     2030: 11.42
     2060: 4.289
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 72.81
     2030: 75.70
     2060: 79.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 69.15
     2030: 71.81
     2060: 75.10
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 76.31
     2030: 79.48
     2060: 83.86
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.021
     2030: 2.417
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.313
     2030: 0.393
     2060: 0.517
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.132
     2030: 2.173
     2060: 1.866
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 6.122
     2030: 6.438
     2060: 5.610
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 10.04
     2030: 13.58
     2060: 18.54
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.842
     2030: 1.304
     2060: 4.128
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 8.953
     2030: 12.87
     2060: 21.35
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.427
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.506
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 38.76
     2030: 41.95
     2060: 46.27

Health Forecast for Guatemala -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 44.22
     2030: 49.31
     2060: 62.66
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 11.04
     2030: 12.09
     2060: 13.85
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 12.46
     2030: 9.251
     2060: 4.580
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 12.06
     2030: 7.838
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 14.03
     2030: 8.411
     2060: 3.164

Education Forecast for Guatemala -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 105.1
     2030: 106.8
     2060: 101.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 91.31
     2030: 95.13
     2060: 99.83
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 71.63
     2030: 78.20
     2060: 90.61
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 56.43
     2030: 63.65
     2060: 80.08
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 18.92
     2030: 22.08
     2060: 40.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 5.553
     2030: 7.104
     2060: 9.518
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 78.61
     2030: 85.81
     2060: 97.68

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Guatemala
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 2.212
     2030: 2.433
     2060: 3.310
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 4.873
     2030: 5.466
     2060: 6.766
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.767
     2030: 0.817
     2060: 0.905
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 15.41
     2030: 10.31
     2060: 2.678
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,507
     2030: 2,704
     2060: 3,157
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.046
     2060: -0.005
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.091
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.130

Economy Forecast for Guatemala
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 125.8
     2030: 189.1
     2060: 409.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 59.28
     2030: 98.11
     2060: 274.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 7.398
     2030: 8.869
     2060: 14.47
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.530
     2030: 0.540
     2060: 0.601
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 44.80
     2030: 31.53
     2060: 20.96
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 5.646
     2030: 7.948
     2060: 24.83

Energy Forecast for Guatemala
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.006
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Guatemala
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.004
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.015

International Politics Forecast for Guatemala
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.106
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.164

Domestic Government Forecast for Guatemala
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 9.124
     2030: 10.07
     2060: 11.75
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.01
     2030: 18.86
     2060: 19.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.753
     2030: 3.184
     2060: 4.345
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.832
     2030: 2.116
     2060: 2.749
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.462
     2030: 7.589
     2060: 7.851