Country Profile - Guatemala      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Guatemala
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Guatemala -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 16.25
     2030: 22.45
     2060: 32.00
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.472
     2030: 1.783
     2060: 0.767
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 30.87
     2030: 23.29
     2060: 14.02
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.327
     2030: 4.805
     2060: 6.039
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 23.91
     2030: 13.40
     2060: 4.493
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 72.34
     2030: 75.93
     2060: 80.93
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 68.58
     2030: 71.81
     2060: 75.94
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 75.95
     2030: 79.93
     2060: 85.77
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 3.749
     2030: 2.820
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.407
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.108
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.764
     2030: 3.116
     2060: 2.691
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 6.435
     2030: 7.629
     2060: 6.665
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 9.045
     2030: 13.57
     2060: 21.27
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.766
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 4.065
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 8.348
     2030: 13.13
     2060: 22.97
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.412
     2030: 0.461
     2060: 0.525
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 39.56
     2030: 42.89
     2060: 46.70

Health Forecast for Guatemala -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 37.87
     2030: 41.52
     2060: 54.10
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 13.15
     2030: 13.69
     2060: 16.19
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 11.88
     2030: 8.926
     2060: 4.803
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 13.27
     2030: 6.649
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 28.06
     2030: 22.50
     2060: 10.55

Education Forecast for Guatemala -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 116.9
     2030: 109.9
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 95.01
     2030: 96.59
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 75.00
     2030: 84.98
     2060: 99.82
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 37.81
     2030: 65.07
     2060: 88.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 18.41
     2030: 21.94
     2060: 34.65
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 5.216
     2030: 6.777
     2060: 9.522
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 80.18
     2030: 88.97
     2060: 98.42

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Guatemala
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 2.442
     2030: 2.945
     2060: 2.021
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 4.963
     2030: 6.110
     2060: 4.476
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.767
     2030: 0.830
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 14.40
     2030: 8.237
     2060: 2.202
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,304
     2030: 2,461
     2060: 2,929
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.035
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.047
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.071
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.254

Economy Forecast for Guatemala
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 114.6
     2030: 201.1
     2060: 681.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 54.44
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 551.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 7.053
     2030: 8.958
     2060: 21.28
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.538
     2030: 0.548
     2060: 0.613
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 43.87
     2030: 32.99
     2060: 11.22
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 5.098
     2030: 10.32
     2060: 27.47

Energy Forecast for Guatemala
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.015
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Guatemala
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Guatemala
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.103
     2030: 0.120
     2060: 0.169

Domestic Government Forecast for Guatemala
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 8.207
     2030: 9.227
     2060: 11.28
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.99
     2030: 18.66
     2060: 18.96
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.261
     2030: 3.666
     2060: 5.531
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.884
     2030: 2.211
     2060: 3.039
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.209
     2030: 7.368
     2060: 7.844