Country Profile - Guatemala      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Guatemala
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Guatemala -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 16.67
     2030: 21.27
     2060: 28.11
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.991
     2030: 1.436
     2060: 0.536
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 26.01
     2030: 20.10
     2060: 13.05
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.222
     2030: 5.081
     2060: 7.376
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 19.95
     2030: 11.17
     2060: 4.588
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 72.85
     2030: 76.21
     2060: 79.71
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 69.19
     2030: 72.15
     2060: 74.47
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 76.36
     2030: 80.14
     2060: 84.75
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 3.061
     2030: 2.401
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.306
     2030: 0.265
     2060: 0.098
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.101
     2030: 2.138
     2060: 1.848
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 6.010
     2030: 6.384
     2060: 5.557
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 9.839
     2030: 13.55
     2060: 18.30
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.825
     2030: 1.335
     2060: 4.261
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 8.696
     2030: 12.82
     2060: 21.07
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.435
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.512
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 38.76
     2030: 42.15
     2060: 46.37

Health Forecast for Guatemala -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 37.28
     2030: 41.96
     2060: 52.46
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 11.04
     2030: 12.11
     2060: 13.88
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 12.46
     2030: 9.083
     2060: 5.172
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 11.88
     2030: 8.372
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 14.07
     2030: 8.351
     2060: 3.514

Education Forecast for Guatemala -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 107.1
     2030: 98.80
     2060: 99.89
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 85.49
     2030: 92.99
     2060: 99.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 72.78
     2030: 73.09
     2060: 86.29
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 56.91
     2030: 61.42
     2060: 75.46
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 18.58
     2030: 20.46
     2060: 27.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 5.428
     2030: 7.209
     2060: 9.186
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 78.84
     2030: 86.85
     2060: 97.90

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Guatemala
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.246
     2030: 2.527
     2060: 2.828
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 4.881
     2030: 5.572
     2060: 5.934
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.767
     2030: 0.823
     2060: 0.907
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 15.26
     2030: 9.621
     2060: 2.573
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,468
     2030: 2,674
     2060: 3,076
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.025
     2030: 0.045
     2060: -0.012
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.080
     2030: 0.119
     2060: 0.120

Economy Forecast for Guatemala
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 121.6
     2030: 188.4
     2060: 407.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 57.39
     2030: 98.63
     2060: 275.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 7.290
     2030: 8.857
     2060: 14.49
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.531
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.605
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 44.79
     2030: 40.49
     2060: 27.63
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.119
     2030: 7.510
     2060: 15.57

Energy Forecast for Guatemala
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.023
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Guatemala
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Guatemala
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.105
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.146

Domestic Government Forecast for Guatemala
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.134
     2030: 10.17
     2060: 11.60
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.01
     2030: 18.97
     2060: 19.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.757
     2030: 3.230
     2060: 4.386
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.835
     2030: 2.144
     2060: 2.769
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.465
     2030: 7.614
     2060: 7.878