Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.07
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 1.902
     2030: 2.957
     2060: 5.240
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.098
     2030: 2.492
     2060: 1.273
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 41.54
     2030: 32.15
     2060: 18.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 9.228
     2030: 6.385
     2060: 5.873
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 51.82
     2030: 34.12
     2060: 16.46
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 60.75
     2030: 66.54
     2060: 73.25
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 59.31
     2030: 64.81
     2060: 71.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 62.19
     2030: 68.29
     2060: 75.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 5.620
     2030: 4.264
     2060: 2.444
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.481
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.127
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.408
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.593
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.870
     2030: 1.192
     2060: 1.482
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.988
     2030: 1.679
     2060: 3.420
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.044
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.338
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.133
     2030: 2.109
     2060: 4.349
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.427
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.545
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 48.72
     2030: 49.87
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 2.697
     2030: 2.495
     2060: 2.611
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 17.07
     2030: 17.58
     2060: 18.58
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 15.62
     2030: 11.74
     2060: 7.226
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 15.38
     2030: 13.37
     2060: 6.113
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 14.40
     2030: 15.36
     2060: 13.85

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 88.25
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 102.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 63.97
     2030: 71.17
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 65.88
     2030: 74.94
     2060: 107.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 40.24
     2030: 39.53
     2060: 77.19
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 2.021
     2030: 6.197
     2060: 20.29
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 3.761
     2030: 5.276
     2060: 8.032
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 55.24
     2030: 77.89
     2060: 98.16

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.961
     2030: 1.305
     2060: 0.523
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 1.252
     2030: 1.854
     2060: 1.319
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.541
     2030: 0.656
     2060: 0.797
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 32.34
     2030: 16.69
     2060: 4.777
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,638
     2030: 2,568
     2060: 2,621
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.299
     2030: -0.403
     2060: -0.552
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.765
     2030: -0.704
     2060: -0.555

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.260
     2030: 5.787
     2060: 19.85
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.080
     2030: 1.971
     2060: 8.432
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.714
     2030: 1.957
     2060: 3.788
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.632
     2030: 0.550
     2060: 0.438
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,006,192,820,2
     2030: 1,031,855,538,1
     2060: 1,003,801,280,5
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 0.918
     2030: 3.820
     2060: 14.66

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.008
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.016

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 6.170
     2030: 7.038
     2060: 8.879
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 5.316
     2030: 6.217
     2060: 8.847
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.178
     2030: 3.182
     2060: 3.452
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.861
     2030: 1.946
     2060: 2.350
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.720
     2030: 5.811
     2060: 6.156