Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 2.116
     2030: 3.056
     2060: 5.639
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 3.081
     2030: 2.621
     2060: 1.413
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 40.42
     2030: 32.96
     2060: 20.12
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.388
     2030: 5.908
     2060: 5.630
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 42.87
     2030: 26.42
     2060: 11.48
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 61.69
     2030: 67.00
     2060: 72.85
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 60.18
     2030: 65.13
     2060: 70.65
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 63.17
     2030: 68.87
     2060: 75.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 5.512
     2030: 4.385
     2060: 2.575
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.982
     2030: 0.765
     2060: 0.221
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.388
     2030: 0.466
     2060: 0.562
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.975
     2030: 1.268
     2060: 1.668
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.093
     2030: 1.704
     2060: 3.647
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.049
     2030: 0.083
     2060: 0.324
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.300
     2030: 2.238
     2060: 4.962
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.407
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.520
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.42
     2030: 49.78
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 3.971
     2030: 4.579
     2060: 6.389
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 17.46
     2030: 17.94
     2060: 19.06
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 16.49
     2030: 10.71
     2060: 5.697
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 16.42
     2030: 12.46
     2060: 5.137
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.939
     2030: 3.859
     2060: 2.451

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 94.05
     2030: 101.7
     2060: 105.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 71.77
     2030: 76.86
     2060: 96.11
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 68.17
     2030: 77.56
     2060: 95.00
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 47.40
     2030: 49.99
     2060: 66.50
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 3.800
     2030: 9.010
     2060: 17.95
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 4.066
     2030: 5.525
     2060: 7.959
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 55.28
     2030: 72.21
     2060: 96.61

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.767
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.528
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.231
     2030: 1.025
     2060: 1.165
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.541
     2030: 0.642
     2060: 0.805
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 32.04
     2030: 19.82
     2060: 4.210
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,772
     2030: 2,917
     2060: 3,235
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.304
     2030: -0.362
     2060: -0.447
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.814
     2030: -0.709
     2060: -0.429

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.315
     2030: 6.308
     2060: 27.93
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.101
     2030: 2.271
     2060: 13.81
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.566
     2030: 2.064
     2060: 4.952
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.464
     2030: 0.413
     2060: 0.510
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 43.54
     2030: 44.98
     2060: 45.75
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 2.301
     2030: 3.304
     2060: 8.573

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.009
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.020

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 4.068
     2030: 4.622
     2060: 5.730
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 5.163
     2030: 5.867
     2060: 8.411
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.480
     2030: 3.455
     2060: 3.746
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.890
     2030: 2.050
     2060: 2.578
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.122
     2030: 7.308
     2060: 7.893