Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 1.961
     2030: 2.956
     2060: 5.202
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 3.060
     2030: 2.477
     2060: 1.246
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 40.78
     2030: 31.89
     2060: 18.69
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 8.875
     2030: 6.275
     2060: 5.871
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 49.74
     2030: 32.88
     2060: 15.86
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 61.33
     2030: 66.73
     2060: 73.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 59.85
     2030: 65.01
     2060: 71.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 62.80
     2030: 68.47
     2060: 75.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 5.536
     2030: 4.225
     2060: 2.403
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.478
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.127
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.418
     2030: 0.517
     2060: 0.581
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.895
     2030: 1.190
     2060: 1.456
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.022
     2030: 1.680
     2060: 3.408
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.045
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.337
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 1.182
     2030: 2.109
     2060: 4.322
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.429
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.547
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 48.89
     2030: 49.87
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 2.704
     2030: 2.583
     2060: 2.780
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 17.11
     2030: 17.60
     2060: 18.63
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 15.08
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 6.952
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 15.16
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 5.784
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 14.33
     2030: 14.72
     2060: 12.85

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 87.65
     2030: 97.14
     2060: 104.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 64.03
     2030: 72.10
     2060: 98.69
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 66.16
     2030: 72.23
     2060: 104.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 41.27
     2030: 47.10
     2060: 84.16
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 2.229
     2030: 6.758
     2060: 20.15
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 3.875
     2030: 5.259
     2060: 7.943
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 55.84
     2030: 76.82
     2060: 96.61

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.615
     2030: 0.968
     2060: 0.912
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.040
     2030: 1.607
     2060: 1.741
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.547
     2030: 0.657
     2060: 0.797
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 31.80
     2030: 17.17
     2060: 4.818
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,641
     2030: 2,603
     2060: 2,680
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.303
     2030: -0.391
     2060: -0.523
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.757
     2030: -0.680
     2060: -0.500

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 3.412
     2030: 6.146
     2060: 21.39
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.142
     2030: 2.155
     2060: 9.453
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.739
     2030: 2.079
     2060: 4.113
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.473
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.518
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 43.15
     2030: 43.77
     2060: 43.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 1.580
     2030: 4.804
     2060: 15.28

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.008
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.016

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 6.221
     2030: 7.039
     2060: 8.893
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 5.382
     2030: 6.219
     2060: 8.876
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.192
     2030: 3.197
     2060: 3.495
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.873
     2030: 1.983
     2060: 2.399
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.734
     2030: 5.841
     2060: 6.195