Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 1.961
     2030: 2.957
     2060: 5.240
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 3.049
     2030: 2.492
     2060: 1.273
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 40.81
     2030: 32.15
     2060: 18.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 9.012
     2030: 6.386
     2060: 5.873
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 51.00
     2030: 34.13
     2060: 16.47
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 61.11
     2030: 66.54
     2060: 73.24
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 59.63
     2030: 64.81
     2060: 71.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 62.58
     2030: 68.29
     2060: 75.09
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 5.540
     2030: 4.264
     2060: 2.444
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.478
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.127
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.418
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.593
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.894
     2030: 1.192
     2060: 1.482
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.022
     2030: 1.679
     2060: 3.420
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.045
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.338
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 1.182
     2030: 2.109
     2060: 4.349
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.429
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.545
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 48.89
     2030: 49.87
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 2.654
     2030: 2.495
     2060: 2.610
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 17.11
     2030: 17.57
     2060: 18.58
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 15.59
     2030: 11.74
     2060: 7.228
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 15.28
     2030: 13.37
     2060: 6.117
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 14.65
     2030: 15.36
     2060: 13.85

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 88.93
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 102.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 63.85
     2030: 71.17
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 67.31
     2030: 74.94
     2060: 107.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 40.13
     2030: 39.53
     2060: 77.18
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 2.157
     2030: 6.195
     2060: 20.28
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 3.866
     2030: 5.275
     2060: 8.032
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 56.19
     2030: 77.89
     2060: 98.16

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.974
     2030: 1.305
     2060: 0.524
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.276
     2030: 1.854
     2060: 1.321
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.545
     2030: 0.656
     2060: 0.797
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 31.67
     2030: 16.69
     2060: 4.778
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,623
     2030: 2,568
     2060: 2,621
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.306
     2030: -0.403
     2060: -0.552
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.763
     2030: -0.704
     2060: -0.556

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 3.295
     2030: 5.786
     2060: 19.84
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.104
     2030: 1.971
     2060: 8.423
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.680
     2030: 1.957
     2060: 3.785
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.631
     2030: 0.550
     2060: 0.438
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 1,001,833,103,3
     2030: 1,031,796,686,8
     2060: 1,003,863,605,2
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 0.923
     2030: 3.819
     2060: 14.66

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.008
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.016

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 6.211
     2030: 7.038
     2060: 8.878
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 5.382
     2030: 6.217
     2060: 8.847
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.186
     2030: 3.182
     2060: 3.452
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.851
     2030: 1.945
     2060: 2.349
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.717
     2030: 5.811
     2060: 6.155