Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.050
     2030: 3.035
     2060: 5.367
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.105
     2030: 2.518
     2060: 1.226
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 40.59
     2030: 31.30
     2060: 17.85
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.269
     2030: 5.281
     2060: 5.223
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 42.34
     2030: 22.89
     2060: 9.180
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 61.94
     2030: 68.69
     2060: 75.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 60.46
     2030: 66.95
     2060: 73.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 63.39
     2030: 70.44
     2060: 77.10
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.537
     2030: 4.141
     2060: 2.277
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 1.032
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.330
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.376
     2030: 0.448
     2060: 0.484
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.945
     2030: 1.241
     2060: 1.475
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.058
     2030: 1.707
     2060: 3.546
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.047
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.346
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.246
     2030: 2.223
     2060: 4.703
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.420
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.548
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.42
     2030: 49.81
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 2.741
     2030: 3.133
     2060: 4.137
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 17.46
     2030: 17.97
     2060: 19.25
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 15.87
     2030: 9.057
     2060: 5.727
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.16
     2030: 7.624
     2060: 3.348
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.982
     2030: 3.956
     2060: 2.601

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 92.43
     2030: 96.15
     2060: 100.00
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 67.12
     2030: 83.88
     2060: 99.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 68.50
     2030: 89.36
     2060: 99.97
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 50.44
     2030: 75.12
     2060: 95.23
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 4.064
     2030: 10.04
     2060: 21.62
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.979
     2030: 6.074
     2060: 9.516
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 55.49
     2030: 75.80
     2060: 98.39

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.645
     2030: 0.431
     2060: 0.313
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.102
     2030: 1.013
     2060: 0.794
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.543
     2030: 0.665
     2060: 0.834
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 31.84
     2030: 17.23
     2060: 3.286
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,860
     2030: 2,989
     2060: 3,231
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.305
     2030: -0.369
     2060: -0.420
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.816
     2030: -0.708
     2060: -0.375

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.202
     2030: 6.355
     2060: 31.83
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.066
     2030: 2.296
     2060: 17.10
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.562
     2030: 2.094
     2060: 5.931
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.469
     2030: 0.427
     2060: 0.511
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.76
     2030: 43.93
     2060: 45.24
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 2.436
     2030: 4.559
     2060: 12.55

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.008
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.021

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 4.062
     2030: 4.924
     2060: 6.339
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.163
     2030: 5.930
     2060: 8.655
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.481
     2030: 3.454
     2060: 3.886
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.893
     2030: 2.061
     2060: 2.691
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.125
     2030: 7.322
     2060: 8.009