Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 2.097
     2030: 2.998
     2060: 5.480
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.961
     2030: 2.571
     2060: 1.393
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 38.72
     2030: 32.29
     2060: 19.98
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.892
     2030: 5.748
     2060: 5.693
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 44.52
     2030: 28.45
     2060: 12.84
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 62.19
     2030: 67.16
     2060: 72.81
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 60.74
     2030: 65.36
     2060: 70.69
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 63.61
     2030: 68.98
     2060: 74.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 5.371
     2030: 4.338
     2060: 2.597
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.988
     2030: 0.770
     2060: 0.222
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.380
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.542
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.963
     2030: 1.220
     2060: 1.611
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.086
     2030: 1.696
     2060: 3.550
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.048
     2030: 0.082
     2060: 0.319
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.300
     2030: 2.236
     2060: 4.906
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.425
     2030: 0.471
     2060: 0.541
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.48
     2030: 49.80
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 3.971
     2030: 4.548
     2060: 6.338
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 17.46
     2030: 17.93
     2060: 19.00
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 16.48
     2030: 11.18
     2060: 5.725
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 16.53
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 5.707
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.941
     2030: 3.980
     2060: 2.546

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 93.93
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 105.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 71.67
     2030: 76.24
     2060: 95.61
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 68.10
     2030: 76.08
     2060: 93.96
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 47.27
     2030: 47.37
     2060: 64.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 3.452
     2030: 6.520
     2060: 17.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 4.068
     2030: 5.497
     2060: 7.804
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 57.66
     2030: 72.81
     2060: 96.45

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.658
     2030: 0.373
     2060: 0.445
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.393
     2030: 1.354
     2060: 1.568
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.552
     2030: 0.642
     2060: 0.799
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 30.36
     2030: 19.41
     2060: 4.159
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,772
     2030: 2,910
     2060: 3,228
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.303
     2030: -0.371
     2060: -0.472
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.810
     2030: -0.727
     2060: -0.481

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.304
     2030: 5.859
     2060: 24.56
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.110
     2030: 2.067
     2060: 11.62
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.576
     2030: 1.955
     2060: 4.482
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.464
     2030: 0.414
     2060: 0.500
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 42.65
     2030: 44.19
     2060: 44.78
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 2.253
     2030: 3.326
     2060: 7.481

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.008
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.019

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 4.068
     2030: 4.585
     2060: 5.642
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 5.162
     2030: 5.859
     2060: 8.424
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.480
     2030: 3.439
     2060: 3.692
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.890
     2030: 2.013
     2060: 2.515
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.122
     2030: 7.269
     2060: 7.827