Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.022
     2030: 2.956
     2060: 5.202
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.011
     2030: 2.477
     2060: 1.246
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 39.98
     2030: 31.89
     2060: 18.69
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.601
     2030: 6.275
     2060: 5.871
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 48.33
     2030: 32.88
     2060: 15.86
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 61.79
     2030: 66.73
     2060: 73.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 60.28
     2030: 65.01
     2060: 71.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 63.29
     2030: 68.47
     2060: 75.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.445
     2030: 4.225
     2060: 2.403
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.475
     2030: 0.387
     2060: 0.127
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.427
     2030: 0.517
     2060: 0.581
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.919
     2030: 1.190
     2060: 1.456
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.056
     2030: 1.680
     2060: 3.408
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.047
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.337
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.234
     2030: 2.109
     2060: 4.322
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.431
     2030: 0.474
     2060: 0.547
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 49.04
     2030: 49.87
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 2.694
     2030: 2.583
     2060: 2.780
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 17.16
     2030: 17.60
     2060: 18.63
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 14.85
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 6.952
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 14.95
     2030: 13.35
     2060: 5.784
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 14.36
     2030: 14.72
     2060: 12.85

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 87.82
     2030: 97.14
     2060: 104.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 63.96
     2030: 72.10
     2060: 98.69
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 67.26
     2030: 72.23
     2060: 104.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 41.59
     2030: 47.10
     2060: 84.16
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 2.523
     2030: 6.758
     2060: 20.15
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.976
     2030: 5.259
     2060: 7.943
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 56.70
     2030: 76.82
     2060: 96.61

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.614
     2030: 0.968
     2060: 0.912
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.047
     2030: 1.607
     2060: 1.741
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.553
     2030: 0.657
     2060: 0.797
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 31.16
     2030: 17.17
     2060: 4.818
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,638
     2030: 2,603
     2060: 2,680
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.308
     2030: -0.391
     2060: -0.523
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.751
     2030: -0.680
     2060: -0.500

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.543
     2030: 6.146
     2060: 21.39
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.199
     2030: 2.155
     2060: 9.453
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.752
     2030: 2.079
     2060: 4.113
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.475
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.518
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 43.09
     2030: 43.77
     2060: 43.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 1.737
     2030: 4.804
     2060: 15.28

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.008
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.016

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 6.276
     2030: 7.039
     2060: 8.893
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.445
     2030: 6.219
     2060: 8.876
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.198
     2030: 3.197
     2060: 3.495
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.878
     2030: 1.983
     2060: 2.399
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.742
     2030: 5.841
     2060: 6.195