Country Profile - Gambia, The      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Gambia, The
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Gambia, The -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.050
     2030: 3.044
     2060: 5.550
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 3.106
     2030: 2.587
     2060: 1.365
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 40.59
     2030: 32.26
     2060: 19.27
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.266
     2030: 5.548
     2060: 5.259
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 42.45
     2030: 25.09
     2060: 10.99
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 61.95
     2030: 68.05
     2060: 74.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 60.47
     2030: 66.32
     2060: 72.70
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 63.41
     2030: 69.80
     2060: 76.44
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 5.537
     2030: 4.282
     2060: 2.473
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 1.032
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.330
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.376
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.533
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.945
     2030: 1.252
     2060: 1.599
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.058
     2030: 1.706
     2060: 3.610
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.047
     2030: 0.086
     2060: 0.341
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.246
     2030: 2.228
     2060: 4.849
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.420
     2030: 0.464
     2060: 0.539
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.42
     2030: 49.81
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Gambia, The -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 2.741
     2030: 3.113
     2060: 3.904
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 17.46
     2030: 17.97
     2060: 19.10
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 15.87
     2030: 10.28
     2060: 5.917
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.61
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 4.586
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.982
     2030: 4.027
     2060: 2.957

Education Forecast for Gambia, The -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 90.11
     2030: 93.18
     2060: 101.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 65.51
     2030: 73.94
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 66.83
     2030: 78.03
     2060: 99.04
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 48.35
     2030: 58.09
     2060: 86.84
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 3.783
     2030: 8.458
     2060: 18.03
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.992
     2030: 5.785
     2060: 8.577
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 55.47
     2030: 74.39
     2060: 97.32

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Gambia, The
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.646
     2030: 0.413
     2060: 0.468
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.105
     2030: 0.987
     2060: 1.093
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.543
     2030: 0.655
     2060: 0.816
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 31.86
     2030: 18.31
     2060: 3.768
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,860
     2030: 2,984
     2060: 3,183
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.305
     2030: -0.374
     2060: -0.462
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.816
     2030: -0.716
     2060: -0.448

Economy Forecast for Gambia, The
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.202
     2030: 6.183
     2060: 27.17
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.066
     2030: 2.202
     2060: 13.32
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.562
     2030: 2.032
     2060: 4.895
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.469
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.510
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.76
     2030: 43.97
     2060: 44.92
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 2.177
     2030: 3.146
     2060: 9.422

Energy Forecast for Gambia, The
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Gambia, The
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Gambia, The
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.008
     2030: 0.011
     2060: 0.020

Domestic Government Forecast for Gambia, The
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 4.062
     2030: 4.729
     2060: 5.960
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 5.163
     2030: 5.928
     2060: 8.530
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.481
     2030: 3.446
     2060: 3.744
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.893
     2030: 2.042
     2060: 2.570
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.125
     2030: 7.303
     2060: 7.888