Country Profile - United Kingdom      IFs Version 7.24
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for United Kingdom
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United Kingdom -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 65.14
     2030: 69.72
     2060: 75.06
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.634
     2030: 0.379
     2060: 0.096
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.45
     2030: 11.05
     2060: 10.60
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.973
     2030: 9.763
     2060: 11.21
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.759
     2030: 2.375
     2060: 1.056
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 81.24
     2030: 83.12
     2060: 86.34
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 79.32
     2030: 81.11
     2060: 84.13
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 83.12
     2030: 85.09
     2060: 88.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.909
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.146
     2030: 0.127
     2060: 0.047
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.044
     2030: 3.878
     2060: 3.996
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 11.66
     2030: 12.07
     2060: 12.28
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 41.78
     2030: 42.60
     2060: 43.30
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 11.70
     2030: 15.05
     2060: 19.48
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 54.37
     2030: 61.89
     2060: 69.06
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.511
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.473
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 46.54
     2030: 48.83
     2060: 49.88

Health Forecast for United Kingdom -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 33.13
     2030: 34.64
     2060: 35.06
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 19.86
     2030: 18.83
     2060: 18.77
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.904
     2030: 1.894
     2060: 1.994
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 2.322
     2030: 5.114
     2060: 6.444
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.461
     2030: 3.404
     2060: 2.301

Education Forecast for United Kingdom -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 107.9
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.88
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 98.64
     2030: 99.74
     2060: 99.88
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 114.0
     2030: 108.0
     2060: 106.7
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 133.2
     2030: 111.0
     2060: 99.02
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 56.18
     2030: 58.81
     2060: 64.16
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.909
     2030: 11.60
     2060: 14.65
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for United Kingdom
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.065
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.027
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.087
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.036
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.978
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 1.075
     2030: 0.973
     2060: 0.799
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,548
     2030: 3,629
     2060: 3,651
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.114
     2030: 1.007
     2060: 0.345
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.219
     2030: 1.281
     2060: 1.317

Economy Forecast for United Kingdom
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2,562
     2030: 3,342
     2060: 5,327
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2,870
     2030: 3,679
     2060: 5,658
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 39.33
     2030: 47.93
     2060: 70.96
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.328
     2030: 0.333
     2060: 0.364
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 65.22
     2030: 55.14
     2060: 52.00
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 63.80
     2030: 67.24
     2060: 71.96

Energy Forecast for United Kingdom
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.312
     2030: 0.104
     2060: 0.008

Environment Forecast for United Kingdom
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.137
     2030: 0.149
     2060: 0.130

International Politics Forecast for United Kingdom
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 2.295
     2030: 2.032
     2060: 1.887

Domestic Government Forecast for United Kingdom
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 7.965
     2030: 9.101
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 4.132
     2030: 4.238
     2060: 4.444
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.887
     2030: 7.991
     2060: 8.197