Country Profile - United Kingdom      IFs Version 7.45
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for United Kingdom
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United Kingdom -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 67.30
     2030: 69.51
     2060: 73.62
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 0.402
     2030: 0.266
     2060: 0.113
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 11.91
     2030: 10.83
     2060: 10.58
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 9.812
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 11.49
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 3.279
     2030: 2.482
     2060: 1.119
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 81.44
     2030: 82.51
     2060: 85.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 79.43
     2030: 80.45
     2060: 83.46
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 83.39
     2030: 84.53
     2060: 87.71
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.875
     2030: 1.878
     2060: 1.886
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.136
     2030: 0.116
     2060: 0.038
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 4.033
     2030: 3.801
     2060: 3.907
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 12.15
     2030: 11.91
     2060: 12.02
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 42.44
     2030: 42.55
     2060: 42.79
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 12.70
     2030: 15.06
     2060: 18.80
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 56.50
     2030: 60.53
     2060: 65.73
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.483
     2030: 0.414
     2060: 0.336
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 47.71
     2030: 49.05
     2060: 49.93

Health Forecast for United Kingdom -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 36.44
     2030: 37.83
     2060: 38.82
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 19.32
     2030: 18.74
     2060: 18.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 1.950
     2030: 1.901
     2060: 1.873
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.736
     2030: 4.335
     2060: 6.851
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.052
     2030: 1.719
     2060: 1.258

Education Forecast for United Kingdom -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 106.1
     2030: 101.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 98.26
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 112.1
     2030: 106.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 129.5
     2030: 115.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 57.31
     2030: 60.01
     2060: 72.73
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 12.39
     2030: 12.87
     2060: 14.18
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for United Kingdom
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.008
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.123
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.982
     2030: 0.996
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.981
     2030: 0.954
     2060: 0.723
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 3,453
     2030: 3,521
     2060: 3,568
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 1.139
     2030: 1.154
     2060: 1.124
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 1.247
     2030: 1.314
     2060: 1.541

Economy Forecast for United Kingdom
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 2,786
     2030: 3,295
     2060: 5,731
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 3,042
     2030: 3,562
     2060: 6,022
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 41.41
     2030: 47.39
     2060: 77.85
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.328
     2030: 0.320
     2060: 0.300
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 67.34
     2030: 60.85
     2060: 57.23
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 65.09
     2030: 66.24
     2060: 73.55

Energy Forecast for United Kingdom
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.312
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 0.038

Environment Forecast for United Kingdom
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.110
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.052

International Politics Forecast for United Kingdom
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 2.127
     2030: 1.905
     2060: 1.663

Domestic Government Forecast for United Kingdom
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 8.136
     2030: 8.921
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 4.266
     2030: 4.325
     2060: 4.553
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 8.081
     2030: 8.153
     2060: 8.411