Country Profile - France      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for France
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for France -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 65.21
     2030: 68.09
     2060: 70.09
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.442
     2030: 0.256
     2060: 0.011
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 11.77
     2030: 11.20
     2060: 10.58
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.259
     2030: 10.10
     2060: 11.47
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.084
     2030: 2.129
     2060: 0.969
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 82.09
     2030: 83.64
     2060: 86.64
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 78.66
     2030: 80.19
     2060: 83.08
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 85.31
     2030: 86.91
     2060: 90.05
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.907
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.217
     2030: 0.177
     2060: 0.058
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.662
     2030: 4.552
     2060: 4.456
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 11.75
     2030: 11.50
     2060: 11.27
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 40.90
     2030: 40.67
     2060: 40.38
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 12.55
     2030: 15.93
     2060: 18.44
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 59.82
     2030: 62.65
     2060: 64.48
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.463
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.430
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.71
     2030: 49.76
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for France -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 11.81
     2030: 11.46
     2060: 11.33
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 30.52
     2030: 29.54
     2060: 28.63
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 0.557
     2030: 0.861
     2060: 1.488
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.197
     2030: 3.163
     2060: 4.335
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 5.135
     2030: 7.161
     2060: 5.052

Education Forecast for France -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 109.8
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.86
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 99.84
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.88
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 108.6
     2030: 102.3
     2060: 98.64
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 112.0
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 97.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 57.42
     2030: 62.47
     2060: 67.06
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.98
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 14.13
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for France
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.164
     2030: 0.087
     2060: 0.028
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.773
     2030: 1.046
     2060: 0.349
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.982
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.913
     2030: 0.774
     2060: 0.679
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,525
     2030: 3,490
     2060: 3,477
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 1.063
     2030: 1.048
     2060: 0.770
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.841
     2030: 0.915
     2060: 0.930

Economy Forecast for France
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2,507
     2030: 3,126
     2060: 5,512
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 2,908
     2030: 3,540
     2060: 5,944
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 38.45
     2030: 45.90
     2060: 78.64
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.318
     2030: 0.326
     2060: 0.358
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 43.27
     2030: 43.86
     2060: 43.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 60.07
     2030: 70.97
     2060: 79.65

Energy Forecast for France
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.006
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for France
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.096
     2030: 0.092
     2060: 0.032

International Politics Forecast for France
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 2.299
     2030: 1.792
     2060: 1.307

Domestic Government Forecast for France
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.05
     2030: 19.14
     2060: 19.34
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 7.100
     2030: 8.191
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.976
     2030: 4.088
     2060: 4.415
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.423
     2030: 7.511
     2060: 7.769