Country Profile - France      IFs Version 7.53
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for France
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for France -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 65.52
     2030: 66.90
     2060: 67.66
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 0.226
     2030: 0.198
     2060: -0.031
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 11.11
     2030: 11.08
     2060: 10.58
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 9.966
     2030: 10.26
     2060: 11.94
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 3.059
     2030: 2.263
     2060: 1.104
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 82.53
     2030: 83.53
     2060: 86.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 79.28
     2030: 80.26
     2060: 82.89
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 85.68
     2030: 86.69
     2060: 89.22
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.906
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.282
     2030: 0.239
     2060: 0.078
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 3.734
     2030: 3.654
     2060: 3.564
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 11.64
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 10.84
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 40.34
     2030: 40.01
     2060: 39.28
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 13.54
     2030: 15.82
     2060: 17.54
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 54.91
     2030: 57.63
     2060: 59.46
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.466
     2030: 0.456
     2060: 0.442
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 48.09
     2030: 49.30
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for France -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 13.52
     2030: 14.10
     2060: 13.98
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 27.44
     2030: 26.56
     2060: 24.98
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 2.000
     2030: 1.963
     2060: 1.998
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.134
     2030: 1.481
     2060: 2.638
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.176
     2030: 1.872
     2060: 1.486

Education Forecast for France -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 102.4
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 99.59
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 100.9
     2030: 103.1
     2060: 100.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 104.1
     2030: 103.2
     2060: 100.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 62.71
     2030: 62.62
     2060: 68.25
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 11.05
     2030: 11.68
     2060: 13.18
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for France
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.979
     2030: 0.994
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.992
     2030: 0.949
     2060: 0.768
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 3,531
     2030: 3,582
     2060: 3,572
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 1.077
     2030: 1.136
     2060: 1.198
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.837
     2030: 0.923
     2060: 1.069

Economy Forecast for France
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 2,302
     2030: 2,779
     2060: 4,016
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 2,747
     2030: 3,250
     2060: 4,428
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 35.13
     2030: 41.55
     2060: 59.36
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.322
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.317
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 48.98
     2030: 45.26
     2060: 40.81
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 61.76
     2030: 65.08
     2060: 70.09

Energy Forecast for France
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.006
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for France
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.081
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.019

International Politics Forecast for France
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 2.189
     2030: 1.921
     2060: 1.414

Domestic Government Forecast for France
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 19.04
     2030: 19.11
     2060: 19.31
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 6.786
     2030: 7.636
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 3.894
     2030: 4.002
     2060: 4.230
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 7.372
     2030: 7.455
     2060: 7.627