Country Profile - Ethiopia      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Ethiopia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ethiopia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 104.0
     2030: 139.6
     2060: 214.9
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.282
     2030: 2.126
     2060: 0.837
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 30.20
     2030: 27.82
     2060: 14.76
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.267
     2030: 6.478
     2060: 6.355
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 45.06
     2030: 31.88
     2060: 7.082
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 64.98
     2030: 68.13
     2060: 75.88
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 63.04
     2030: 66.13
     2060: 73.46
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 66.92
     2030: 70.16
     2060: 78.33
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 3.993
     2030: 3.384
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.706
     2030: 0.495
     2060: 0.111
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 14.90
     2030: 18.34
     2060: 15.85
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 42.21
     2030: 49.25
     2060: 49.51
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 58.08
     2030: 84.72
     2060: 146.1
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 3.694
     2030: 5.603
     2060: 19.26
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 21.32
     2030: 39.20
     2060: 111.8
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.488
     2030: 0.539
     2060: 0.606
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.88
     2030: 49.54
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Ethiopia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 0.272
     2030: 0.835
     2060: 3.122
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 4.790
     2030: 5.496
     2060: 7.305
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 23.19
     2030: 16.15
     2060: 3.516
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 23.50
     2030: 15.58
     2060: 0.792
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 29.09
     2030: 15.43
     2060: 3.875

Education Forecast for Ethiopia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 104.5
     2030: 119.8
     2060: 109.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 50.61
     2030: 63.51
     2060: 94.41
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 44.46
     2030: 66.18
     2060: 89.91
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 18.83
     2030: 38.46
     2060: 74.15
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 8.356
     2030: 12.91
     2060: 39.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 3.470
     2030: 3.611
     2060: 5.910
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 40.60
     2030: 70.85
     2060: 96.68

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ethiopia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 29.65
     2030: 20.93
     2060: 2.929
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 63.70
     2030: 53.35
     2060: 12.87
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.513
     2030: 0.658
     2060: 0.855
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 43.44
     2030: 24.27
     2060: 3.269
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,244
     2030: 2,483
     2060: 3,056
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.106
     2030: -0.140
     2060: -0.186
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.813
     2030: -0.632
     2060: -0.195

Economy Forecast for Ethiopia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 170.3
     2030: 370.3
     2060: 1,923
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 52.32
     2030: 139.2
     2060: 1,204
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.638
     2030: 2.653
     2060: 8.946
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.337
     2030: 0.386
     2060: 0.431
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 34.85
     2030: 37.78
     2060: 37.08
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 7.145
     2030: 8.546
     2060: 29.70

Energy Forecast for Ethiopia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ethiopia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Ethiopia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.417
     2030: 0.526
     2060: 0.950

Domestic Government Forecast for Ethiopia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 4.086
     2030: 4.459
     2060: 5.744
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 7.138
     2030: 8.303
     2060: 11.58
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.717
     2030: 2.983
     2060: 4.187
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.064
     2030: 2.342
     2060: 3.040
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.716
     2030: 5.981
     2060: 6.656