Country Profile - Ethiopia      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Ethiopia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ethiopia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 101.6
     2030: 140.2
     2060: 217.1
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.343
     2030: 2.129
     2060: 0.868
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 30.82
     2030: 27.49
     2060: 14.64
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.278
     2030: 6.116
     2060: 5.923
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 45.13
     2030: 29.16
     2060: 8.551
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 65.02
     2030: 69.14
     2060: 77.60
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 63.09
     2030: 67.11
     2060: 74.95
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 66.94
     2030: 71.19
     2060: 80.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 4.080
     2030: 3.377
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.684
     2030: 0.465
     2060: 0.172
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 14.67
     2030: 18.35
     2060: 15.90
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 41.31
     2030: 49.86
     2060: 49.73
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 56.66
     2030: 84.66
     2060: 146.7
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 3.604
     2030: 5.704
     2060: 20.67
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 20.32
     2030: 39.10
     2060: 111.2
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.499
     2030: 0.549
     2060: 0.617
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.88
     2030: 49.60
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Ethiopia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 0.217
     2030: 0.768
     2060: 2.709
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 4.790
     2030: 5.534
     2060: 7.080
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 23.95
     2030: 13.68
     2060: 3.490
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 24.20
     2030: 15.51
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 30.28
     2030: 15.84
     2060: 4.869

Education Forecast for Ethiopia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.8
     2030: 106.0
     2060: 102.8
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 84.31
     2030: 93.39
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 44.43
     2030: 72.37
     2060: 99.18
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 13.83
     2030: 31.44
     2060: 92.82
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 8.385
     2030: 12.85
     2060: 34.68
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.325
     2030: 3.601
     2060: 6.309
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 40.57
     2030: 73.28
     2060: 97.16

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ethiopia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 28.30
     2030: 23.59
     2060: 5.452
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 61.68
     2030: 58.44
     2060: 20.29
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.509
     2030: 0.667
     2060: 0.854
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 43.69
     2030: 21.23
     2060: 2.960
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,176
     2030: 2,422
     2060: 2,935
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.105
     2030: -0.153
     2060: -0.242
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.852
     2030: -0.672
     2060: -0.304

Economy Forecast for Ethiopia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 155.3
     2030: 339.8
     2060: 1,560
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 47.80
     2030: 124.6
     2060: 888.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.529
     2030: 2.423
     2060: 7.185
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.339
     2030: 0.384
     2060: 0.445
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 34.21
     2030: 36.00
     2060: 35.61
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 7.014
     2030: 9.045
     2060: 29.29

Energy Forecast for Ethiopia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ethiopia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Ethiopia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.409
     2030: 0.518
     2060: 0.843

Domestic Government Forecast for Ethiopia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 4.092
     2030: 4.526
     2060: 5.928
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 7.140
     2030: 8.432
     2060: 11.63
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.717
     2030: 2.990
     2060: 4.000
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.062
     2030: 2.321
     2060: 2.874
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.715
     2030: 5.974
     2060: 6.543