Country Profile - Ethiopia      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Ethiopia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ethiopia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 95.91
     2030: 142.9
     2060: 226.6
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.527
     2030: 2.219
     2060: 0.956
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 34.37
     2030: 28.88
     2060: 15.16
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 8.973
     2030: 6.604
     2060: 5.555
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 53.30
     2030: 29.13
     2060: 3.849
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 61.19
     2030: 67.16
     2060: 77.24
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 59.45
     2030: 65.22
     2060: 74.15
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 62.94
     2030: 69.14
     2060: 80.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 4.663
     2030: 3.674
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 1.110
     2030: 0.893
     2060: 0.292
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 17.15
     2030: 23.54
     2060: 20.76
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 40.24
     2030: 54.47
     2060: 53.97
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 52.36
     2030: 83.09
     2060: 153.7
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 3.316
     2030: 5.321
     2060: 19.00
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 17.06
     2030: 31.38
     2060: 78.60
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.492
     2030: 0.533
     2060: 0.623
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 48.04
     2030: 49.64
     2060: 49.98

Health Forecast for Ethiopia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 0.280
     2030: 0.893
     2060: 3.742
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 4.715
     2030: 5.554
     2060: 8.720
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 25.85
     2030: 15.14
     2060: 3.226
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 26.93
     2030: 15.52
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 36.70
     2030: 26.47
     2060: 8.405

Education Forecast for Ethiopia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 103.6
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 79.58
     2030: 91.72
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 50.07
     2030: 79.52
     2060: 99.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 13.21
     2030: 44.02
     2060: 114.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 6.341
     2030: 13.75
     2060: 36.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 2.887
     2030: 3.364
     2060: 4.903
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 43.08
     2030: 79.93
     2060: 98.51

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ethiopia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 22.30
     2030: 5.321
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 53.71
     2030: 24.55
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.487
     2030: 0.688
     2060: 0.919
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 43.36
     2030: 20.16
     2060: 2.330
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,172
     2030: 2,425
     2060: 3,089
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.106
     2030: -0.123
     2060: -0.027
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.983
     2030: -0.660
     2060: 0.157

Economy Forecast for Ethiopia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 123.4
     2030: 417.2
     2060: 5,003
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 40.56
     2030: 187.1
     2060: 3,944
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.287
     2030: 2.920
     2060: 22.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.354
     2030: 0.372
     2060: 0.336
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 726,104,932,352
     2030: 671,221,678,080
     2060: 663,842,914,304
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 4.191
     2030: 8.523
     2060: 27.18

Energy Forecast for Ethiopia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ethiopia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Ethiopia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.392
     2030: 0.545
     2060: 1.203

Domestic Government Forecast for Ethiopia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 4.094
     2030: 4.681
     2060: 6.090
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 7.194
     2030: 8.603
     2060: 12.42
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.730
     2030: 3.111
     2060: 5.985
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.174
     2030: 2.612
     2060: 3.738
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.751
     2030: 6.201
     2060: 7.316