Country Profile - Ethiopia      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Ethiopia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ethiopia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 107.6
     2030: 143.7
     2060: 225.3
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.496
     2030: 2.216
     2060: 0.876
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 31.64
     2030: 28.09
     2060: 14.86
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.019
     2030: 6.009
     2060: 6.049
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 38.84
     2030: 25.80
     2060: 5.521
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 65.68
     2030: 69.01
     2060: 76.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 63.84
     2030: 67.08
     2060: 74.07
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 67.53
     2030: 70.96
     2060: 78.74
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 4.088
     2030: 3.485
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.688
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.111
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 15.65
     2030: 19.29
     2060: 16.84
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 42.92
     2030: 52.34
     2060: 52.60
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 60.85
     2030: 85.79
     2060: 153.0
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 3.844
     2030: 5.582
     2060: 19.75
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 22.48
     2030: 39.33
     2060: 113.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.488
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.232
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.96
     2030: 49.46
     2060: 49.98

Health Forecast for Ethiopia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 0.319
     2030: 0.829
     2060: 2.616
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 4.827
     2030: 5.384
     2060: 7.497
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 22.47
     2030: 14.07
     2060: 3.175
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 21.91
     2030: 14.16
     2060: 2.073
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 25.01
     2030: 14.11
     2060: 4.311

Education Forecast for Ethiopia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 106.9
     2030: 113.8
     2060: 104.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 63.19
     2030: 76.33
     2060: 97.61
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 47.71
     2030: 67.01
     2060: 88.93
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 21.76
     2030: 37.61
     2060: 70.47
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 8.679
     2030: 13.76
     2060: 39.92
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 3.488
     2030: 3.717
     2060: 6.090
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 41.68
     2030: 70.97
     2060: 96.84

Social/Human Forecast for Ethiopia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 25.77
     2030: 24.26
     2060: 1.842
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 28.84
     2030: 27.29
     2060: 2.297
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.523
     2030: 0.663
     2060: 0.855
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 41.96
     2030: 21.39
     2060: 2.948
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,268
     2030: 2,481
     2060: 2,952
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.107
     2030: -0.139
     2060: -0.192
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.795
     2030: -0.630
     2060: -0.203

Economy Forecast for Ethiopia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 185.1
     2030: 381.2
     2060: 1,893
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 58.12
     2030: 142.6
     2060: 1,147
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.720
     2030: 2.653
     2060: 8.403
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.408
     2030: 0.447
     2060: 0.440
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.78
     2030: 31.83
     2060: 34.53
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.763
     2030: 9.238
     2060: 24.17

Energy Forecast for Ethiopia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ethiopia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.003
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Ethiopia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.427
     2030: 0.539
     2060: 0.920

Domestic Government Forecast for Ethiopia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 3.073
     2030: 3.353
     2060: 4.322
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.195
     2030: 8.355
     2060: 11.51
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.730
     2030: 2.993
     2060: 4.094
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.090
     2030: 2.341
     2060: 2.966
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 5.589
     2030: 5.822
     2060: 6.418