Country Profile - Ethiopia      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Ethiopia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ethiopia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 107.4
     2030: 142.9
     2060: 225.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 2.427
     2030: 2.218
     2060: 0.874
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 31.40
     2030: 28.52
     2060: 14.93
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.020
     2030: 6.258
     2060: 6.146
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 38.77
     2030: 28.20
     2060: 6.067
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 65.59
     2030: 68.34
     2060: 75.79
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 63.75
     2030: 66.44
     2060: 73.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 67.43
     2030: 70.27
     2060: 78.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 4.088
     2030: 3.518
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.688
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.111
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 15.47
     2030: 19.37
     2060: 17.12
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 43.16
     2030: 52.16
     2060: 53.51
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 60.40
     2030: 85.24
     2060: 152.8
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 3.816
     2030: 5.523
     2060: 19.06
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 22.37
     2030: 39.20
     2060: 113.4
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.503
     2030: 0.542
     2060: 0.619
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.74
     2030: 49.34
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Ethiopia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 0.313
     2030: 0.837
     2060: 3.145
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 4.830
     2030: 5.501
     2060: 7.349
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 21.62
     2030: 15.59
     2060: 3.358
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 22.16
     2030: 14.56
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 27.69
     2030: 15.43
     2060: 3.820

Education Forecast for Ethiopia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 107.0
     2030: 119.3
     2060: 109.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 51.45
     2030: 63.98
     2060: 94.98
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 45.91
     2030: 67.41
     2060: 90.29
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 20.30
     2030: 39.50
     2060: 75.65
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 8.332
     2030: 12.48
     2060: 39.69
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 3.465
     2030: 3.606
     2060: 5.943
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 50.73
     2030: 72.65
     2060: 96.84

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ethiopia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 28.85
     2030: 22.60
     2060: 2.722
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 60.06
     2030: 52.56
     2060: 10.89
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.552
     2030: 0.666
     2060: 0.857
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 36.93
     2030: 23.20
     2060: 3.053
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,266
     2030: 2,483
     2060: 3,059
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.107
     2030: -0.139
     2060: -0.178
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.797
     2030: -0.630
     2060: -0.173

Economy Forecast for Ethiopia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 183.2
     2030: 381.0
     2060: 2,090
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 57.18
     2030: 143.1
     2060: 1,329
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 1.706
     2030: 2.666
     2060: 9.274
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.341
     2030: 0.389
     2060: 0.432
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.43
     2030: 37.01
     2060: 36.69
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.027
     2030: 8.342
     2060: 24.02

Energy Forecast for Ethiopia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Ethiopia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Ethiopia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.426
     2030: 0.536
     2060: 0.985

Domestic Government Forecast for Ethiopia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 4.098
     2030: 4.458
     2060: 5.773
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 7.185
     2030: 8.294
     2060: 11.49
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.727
     2030: 2.981
     2060: 4.204
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.086
     2030: 2.344
     2060: 3.059
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 5.737
     2030: 5.982
     2060: 6.669