Country Profile - Spain      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Spain
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Spain -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 46.46
     2030: 45.83
     2060: 39.81
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 0.200
     2030: -0.230
     2060: -0.774
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 10.44
     2030: 7.787
     2060: 7.931
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 9.231
     2030: 10.85
     2060: 16.42
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 3.493
     2030: 2.157
     2060: 1.047
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 81.40
     2030: 83.25
     2060: 86.11
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 78.24
     2030: 80.02
     2060: 82.80
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 84.49
     2030: 86.38
     2060: 89.25
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.501
     2030: 1.571
     2060: 1.696
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.304
     2030: 0.243
     2060: 0.080
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 3.028
     2030: 2.132
     2060: 1.904
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 7.189
     2030: 5.822
     2060: 5.053
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 31.05
     2030: 29.01
     2060: 21.36
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 8.219
     2030: 11.00
     2060: 13.40
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 36.43
     2030: 39.17
     2060: 35.73
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.489
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.410
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 43.86
     2030: 47.09
     2060: 49.22

Health Forecast for Spain -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 24.89
     2030: 26.04
     2060: 28.32
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 31.60
     2030: 31.00
     2060: 28.54
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 3.591
     2030: 3.319
     2060: 2.846
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 4.084
     2030: 7.531
     2060: 7.629
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 2.317
     2030: 1.045
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Spain -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 103.9
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 99.90
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 99.97
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 116.4
     2030: 101.8
     2060: 98.79
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 122.4
     2030: 103.9
     2060: 98.81
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 70.03
     2030: 70.71
     2060: 73.38
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 10.65
     2030: 12.12
     2060: 14.17
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 98.03
     2030: 99.57
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Spain
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.950
     2030: 0.977
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 1.726
     2030: 1.235
     2060: 1.016
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,238
     2030: 3,309
     2060: 3,444
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.805
     2030: 0.895
     2060: 0.773
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.424
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.782

Economy Forecast for Spain
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1,209
     2030: 1,493
     2060: 1,931
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1,168
     2030: 1,469
     2060: 1,925
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 26.03
     2030: 32.57
     2060: 48.51
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.346
     2030: 0.367
     2060: 0.430
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 48.20
     2030: 56.57
     2060: 60.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 45.36
     2030: 59.62
     2060: 86.86

Energy Forecast for Spain
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Spain
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.078
     2030: 0.083
     2060: 0.069

International Politics Forecast for Spain
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 1.178
     2030: 0.916
     2060: 0.573

Domestic Government Forecast for Spain
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 13.99
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 6.098
     2030: 7.062
     2060: 9.312
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.482
     2030: 3.671
     2060: 4.005
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.310
     2030: 7.428
     2060: 7.636