Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 6.699
     2030: 9.862
     2060: 16.18
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 2.934
     2030: 2.316
     2060: 0.913
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 36.66
     2030: 29.62
     2060: 15.59
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.818
     2030: 6.366
     2060: 6.418
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 48.58
     2030: 30.98
     2060: 8.277
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 61.37
     2030: 65.74
     2060: 73.42
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 59.00
     2030: 63.12
     2060: 69.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 63.73
     2030: 68.41
     2060: 77.18
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 4.782
     2030: 3.982
     2060: 1.955
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.780
     2030: 0.631
     2060: 0.207
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.296
     2030: 1.639
     2060: 1.579
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 2.873
     2030: 3.820
     2060: 4.138
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 3.664
     2030: 5.760
     2060: 10.92
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.162
     2030: 0.282
     2060: 1.122
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 1.525
     2030: 2.988
     2060: 8.173
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.485
     2030: 0.522
     2060: 0.603
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 49.21
     2030: 49.94
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 0.043
     2030: 0.093
     2060: 1.700
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 6.251
     2030: 6.752
     2060: 8.266
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 32.53
     2030: 19.40
     2060: 4.333
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 32.29
     2030: 22.93
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 60.43
     2030: 47.88
     2060: 21.10

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 59.62
     2030: 93.77
     2060: 103.9
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 42.58
     2030: 62.18
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 53.02
     2030: 83.98
     2060: 115.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 24.06
     2030: 40.38
     2060: 106.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 3.544
     2030: 7.765
     2060: 30.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 2.770
     2030: 3.387
     2060: 7.234
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 70.45
     2030: 80.69
     2060: 98.10

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 3.041
     2030: 3.927
     2060: 0.246
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 4.625
     2030: 6.299
     2060: 0.944
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.572
     2030: 0.651
     2060: 0.833
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 29.34
     2030: 17.64
     2060: 2.771
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 1,701
     2030: 1,889
     2060: 2,547
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.373
     2030: -0.329
     2060: -0.031
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.991
     2030: -0.818
     2060: -0.215

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 7.642
     2030: 16.09
     2060: 114.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 2.932
     2030: 6.429
     2060: 74.83
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.141
     2030: 1.632
     2060: 7.076
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.466
     2030: 0.466
     2060: 0.478
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 41.56
     2030: 40.28
     2060: 26.88
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.096
     2030: 6.478
     2060: 24.66

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.034
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.073

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 2.018
     2030: 2.282
     2060: 3.358
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.577
     2030: 4.810
     2060: 8.110
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.670
     2030: 2.860
     2060: 3.851
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.188
     2030: 1.476
     2060: 2.485
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.479
     2030: 5.679
     2060: 6.400