Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.45
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 3.572
     2030: 4.240
     2060: 6.870
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 1.476
     2030: 1.842
     2060: 1.082
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 30.01
     2030: 27.81
     2060: 17.87
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 6.913
     2030: 6.061
     2060: 6.500
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 29.34
     2030: 21.25
     2060: 7.746
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 65.03
     2030: 67.52
     2060: 73.09
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 64.18
     2030: 66.86
     2060: 72.29
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 65.90
     2030: 68.21
     2060: 73.92
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 3.993
     2030: 3.563
     2060: 2.320
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.381
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.070
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.519
     2030: 0.554
     2060: 0.614
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 1.478
     2030: 1.557
     2060: 1.859
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 1.971
     2030: 2.544
     2060: 4.549
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.123
     2030: 0.139
     2060: 0.462
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 1.878
     2030: 2.498
     2060: 4.811
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.688
     2030: 0.794
     2060: 0.429
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 48.12
     2030: 49.31
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 0.044
     2030: 0.113
     2060: 0.768
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 7.182
     2030: 7.516
     2060: 8.825
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 33.79
     2030: 22.00
     2060: 4.363
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 36.43
     2030: 32.44
     2060: 21.63
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 46.00
     2030: 29.02
     2060: 9.277

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 59.11
     2030: 70.72
     2060: 98.50
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 51.90
     2030: 62.80
     2060: 88.24
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 43.76
     2030: 50.42
     2060: 77.10
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 25.41
     2030: 30.99
     2060: 52.08
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 4.191
     2030: 7.429
     2060: 22.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 4.285
     2030: 4.670
     2060: 6.092
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 66.39
     2030: 74.59
     2060: 90.80

Social/Human Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 1.351
     2030: 1.357
     2060: 0.219
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 2.170
     2030: 2.405
     2060: 0.858
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.600
     2030: 0.652
     2060: 0.788
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 29.39
     2030: 20.17
     2060: 6.524
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,225
     2030: 2,379
     2060: 2,774
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.298
     2030: -0.259
     2060: -0.061
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.811
     2030: -0.674
     2060: -0.252

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 5.880
     2030: 8.504
     2060: 34.85
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 3.709
     2030: 5.176
     2060: 23.51
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 1.646
     2030: 2.005
     2060: 5.072
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.452
     2030: 0.418
     2060: 0.381
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 12.96
     2030: 34.92
     2060: 35.71
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 4.288
     2030: 6.078
     2060: 17.11

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.015
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.023

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 2.045
     2030: 2.148
     2060: 2.564
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 3.492
     2030: 4.132
     2060: 7.238
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.581
     2030: 2.619
     2060: 3.361
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 1.044
     2030: 1.240
     2060: 2.065
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 5.699
     2030: 5.788
     2060: 6.284