Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 6.503
     2030: 9.851
     2060: 16.02
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.010
     2030: 2.299
     2060: 0.876
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 36.84
     2030: 29.37
     2060: 15.20
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.814
     2030: 6.277
     2060: 6.399
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 49.08
     2030: 29.84
     2060: 7.740
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 61.29
     2030: 65.94
     2060: 73.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 58.93
     2030: 63.31
     2060: 69.92
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 63.64
     2030: 68.62
     2060: 77.48
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 4.788
     2030: 3.941
     2060: 1.903
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.785
     2030: 0.631
     2060: 0.207
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.272
     2030: 1.628
     2060: 1.531
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.794
     2030: 3.805
     2060: 4.032
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.556
     2030: 5.764
     2060: 10.86
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.154
     2030: 0.282
     2060: 1.130
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.455
     2030: 2.987
     2060: 8.122
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.484
     2030: 0.523
     2060: 0.606
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.06
     2030: 49.94
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 0.050
     2030: 0.102
     2060: 1.703
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 6.223
     2030: 6.775
     2060: 8.367
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 33.18
     2030: 19.25
     2060: 4.326
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 32.76
     2030: 22.54
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 61.13
     2030: 47.47
     2060: 21.08

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 57.31
     2030: 93.94
     2060: 103.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 40.97
     2030: 62.65
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 50.91
     2030: 84.30
     2060: 114.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 23.18
     2030: 41.37
     2060: 106.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 3.383
     2030: 8.461
     2060: 32.36
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 2.762
     2030: 3.406
     2060: 7.384
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 70.10
     2030: 80.78
     2060: 98.22

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 3.356
     2030: 3.498
     2060: 0.056
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 4.623
     2030: 5.860
     2060: 0.392
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.571
     2030: 0.656
     2060: 0.840
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 29.77
     2030: 17.51
     2060: 2.673
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 1,693
     2030: 1,899
     2060: 2,548
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.372
     2030: -0.315
     2060: -0.007
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.998
     2030: -0.792
     2060: -0.170

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 7.432
     2030: 17.18
     2060: 124.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.873
     2030: 7.084
     2060: 84.21
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.143
     2030: 1.744
     2060: 7.767
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.578
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.430
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 945,597,054,976
     2030: 927,355,240,448
     2060: 588,984,483,840
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.021
     2030: 6.949
     2060: 25.97

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.034
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.073

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 2.015
     2030: 2.300
     2060: 3.404
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.470
     2030: 4.813
     2060: 8.159
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.645
     2030: 2.874
     2060: 3.944
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.183
     2030: 1.516
     2060: 2.539
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.475
     2030: 5.712
     2060: 6.442