Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.07
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 6.503
     2030: 9.851
     2060: 16.02
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 3.010
     2030: 2.299
     2060: 0.876
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 36.84
     2030: 29.37
     2060: 15.21
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.814
     2030: 6.277
     2060: 6.399
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 49.08
     2030: 29.84
     2060: 7.743
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 61.29
     2030: 65.94
     2060: 73.68
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 58.93
     2030: 63.31
     2060: 69.92
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 63.64
     2030: 68.62
     2060: 77.48
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 4.788
     2030: 3.941
     2060: 1.903
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.785
     2030: 0.631
     2060: 0.207
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.272
     2030: 1.628
     2060: 1.531
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.794
     2030: 3.805
     2060: 4.032
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.556
     2030: 5.764
     2060: 10.86
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.154
     2030: 0.282
     2060: 1.130
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.455
     2030: 2.987
     2060: 8.122
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.484
     2030: 0.523
     2060: 0.606
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.06
     2030: 49.94
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 0.050
     2030: 0.102
     2060: 1.702
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 6.223
     2030: 6.775
     2060: 8.366
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 33.18
     2030: 19.25
     2060: 4.327
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 32.76
     2030: 22.54
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 61.13
     2030: 47.47
     2060: 21.08

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 57.31
     2030: 93.94
     2060: 103.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 40.97
     2030: 62.65
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 50.91
     2030: 84.30
     2060: 114.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 23.18
     2030: 41.37
     2060: 106.8
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 3.383
     2030: 8.459
     2060: 32.36
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 2.762
     2030: 3.406
     2060: 7.384
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 70.10
     2030: 80.78
     2060: 98.22

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 3.357
     2030: 3.499
     2060: 0.056
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 4.623
     2030: 5.862
     2060: 0.393
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.571
     2030: 0.656
     2060: 0.840
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 29.77
     2030: 17.51
     2060: 2.673
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 1,693
     2030: 1,899
     2060: 2,547
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.372
     2030: -0.315
     2060: -0.007
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.998
     2030: -0.792
     2060: -0.170

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 7.432
     2030: 17.17
     2060: 124.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 2.873
     2030: 7.082
     2060: 84.14
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.143
     2030: 1.743
     2060: 7.762
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.578
     2030: 0.501
     2060: 0.430
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 945,596,858,368
     2030: 927,375,491,072
     2060: 588,756,090,880
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.021
     2030: 6.948
     2060: 25.96

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.034
     2030: 0.038
     2060: 0.073

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 2.015
     2030: 2.300
     2060: 3.404
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.470
     2030: 4.813
     2060: 8.158
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.645
     2030: 2.874
     2060: 3.943
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.183
     2030: 1.516
     2060: 2.538
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.475
     2030: 5.712
     2060: 6.442