Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 5.506
     2030: 7.487
     2060: 12.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.520
     2030: 2.222
     2060: 1.218
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 31.97
     2030: 28.27
     2060: 19.29
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.406
     2030: 5.941
     2060: 7.056
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 42.73
     2030: 31.33
     2060: 16.72
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 64.54
     2030: 67.32
     2060: 72.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 62.30
     2030: 64.80
     2060: 69.14
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 66.80
     2030: 69.88
     2060: 74.95
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.030
     2030: 3.569
     2060: 2.553
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.295
     2030: 0.213
     2060: 0.051
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.833
     2030: 0.986
     2060: 1.188
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 2.319
     2030: 2.701
     2060: 3.498
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 3.039
     2030: 4.555
     2060: 8.156
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.148
     2030: 0.231
     2060: 0.922
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.083
     2030: 1.744
     2060: 4.403
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.453
     2030: 0.507
     2060: 0.541
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.44
     2030: 49.79
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 0.081
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.460
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 7.071
     2030: 7.576
     2060: 8.624
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 37.44
     2030: 26.24
     2060: 11.40
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 38.14
     2030: 34.01
     2060: 25.83
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 54.36
     2030: 34.11
     2060: 12.61

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 54.09
     2030: 70.89
     2060: 92.14
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 43.63
     2030: 60.20
     2060: 83.26
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 40.67
     2030: 49.88
     2060: 69.32
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 23.11
     2030: 28.22
     2060: 41.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 2.884
     2030: 6.349
     2060: 16.31
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 3.383
     2030: 3.773
     2060: 4.873
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 72.19
     2030: 77.24
     2060: 91.98

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 2.178
     2030: 2.854
     2060: 3.329
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 3.398
     2030: 4.606
     2060: 5.620
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.610
     2030: 0.654
     2060: 0.760
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 30.50
     2030: 24.48
     2060: 13.50
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,549
     2030: 2,708
     2060: 3,051
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.310
     2030: -0.282
     2060: -0.163
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.859
     2030: -0.725
     2060: -0.450

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 8.058
     2030: 13.64
     2060: 39.59
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.385
     2030: 5.776
     2060: 17.94
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.464
     2030: 1.821
     2060: 3.148
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.468
     2030: 0.446
     2060: 0.523
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 28.47
     2030: 37.05
     2060: 38.71
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.010
     2030: 3.957
     2060: 8.797

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.039

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 2.010
     2030: 2.137
     2060: 2.460
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.257
     2030: 4.321
     2060: 7.362
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.533
     2030: 2.692
     2060: 3.178
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 0.925
     2030: 1.172
     2060: 1.761
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.638
     2030: 5.760
     2060: 6.048