Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.53
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 3.554
     2030: 4.204
     2060: 6.571
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: 1.454
     2030: 1.793
     2060: 0.874
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 29.91
     2030: 27.22
     2060: 15.46
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 6.946
     2030: 5.882
     2060: 6.197
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 29.66
     2030: 19.63
     2060: 4.470
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 64.95
     2030: 67.98
     2060: 74.69
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 64.14
     2030: 67.32
     2060: 73.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 65.77
     2030: 68.66
     2060: 75.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 3.992
     2030: 3.479
     2060: 1.975
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.381
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.070
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.516
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.520
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 1.473
     2030: 1.536
     2060: 1.634
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 1.958
     2030: 2.529
     2060: 4.463
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 0.123
     2030: 0.139
     2060: 0.474
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 1.880
     2030: 2.525
     2060: 4.718
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.638
     2030: 0.648
     2060: 0.658
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 48.12
     2030: 49.31
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 0.054
     2030: 0.123
     2060: 1.352
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 7.176
     2030: 7.516
     2060: 9.842
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 33.88
     2030: 20.42
     2060: 3.708
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 36.64
     2030: 32.09
     2060: 18.98
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 49.94
     2030: 29.06
     2060: 5.752

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 84.64
     2030: 88.04
     2060: 101.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 69.40
     2030: 74.61
     2060: 98.26
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 72.09
     2030: 79.96
     2060: 99.89
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 42.33
     2030: 48.22
     2060: 77.17
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 4.831
     2030: 8.729
     2060: 33.08
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 4.341
     2030: 4.879
     2060: 7.225
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 67.36
     2030: 76.83
     2060: 96.80

Social/Human Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 1.447
     2030: 1.408
     2060: 0.073
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 2.240
     2030: 2.402
     2060: 0.323
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.598
     2030: 0.664
     2060: 0.848
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 28.92
     2030: 18.49
     2060: 2.667
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 2,200
     2030: 2,390
     2060: 2,958
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.306
     2030: -0.257
     2060: 0.038
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -0.826
     2030: -0.671
     2060: -0.064

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 5.449
     2030: 8.843
     2060: 57.75
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 2.798
     2030: 4.691
     2060: 46.29
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 1.533
     2030: 2.104
     2060: 8.790
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.463
     2030: 0.437
     2060: 0.420
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 16.45
     2030: 16.51
     2060: 19.33
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 3.654
     2030: 6.410
     2060: 24.96

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.015
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.028

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 2.049
     2030: 2.210
     2060: 2.866
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 3.490
     2030: 4.127
     2060: 7.420
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.514
     2030: 2.646
     2060: 3.836
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 0.992
     2030: 1.273
     2060: 2.425
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 5.634
     2030: 5.823
     2060: 6.571