Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 5.392
     2030: 7.518
     2060: 12.17
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 2.594
     2030: 2.183
     2060: 0.977
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 32.42
     2030: 27.72
     2060: 16.36
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 6.444
     2030: 5.780
     2060: 6.540
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 43.02
     2030: 29.81
     2060: 10.11
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 64.49
     2030: 67.75
     2060: 74.41
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 62.28
     2030: 65.16
     2060: 71.22
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 66.72
     2030: 70.40
     2060: 77.65
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 4.088
     2030: 3.509
     2060: 2.122
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.304
     2030: 0.212
     2060: 0.079
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.819
     2030: 0.982
     2060: 1.007
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 2.272
     2030: 2.715
     2060: 3.096
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.975
     2030: 4.572
     2060: 8.111
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.145
     2030: 0.231
     2060: 0.962
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.083
     2030: 1.802
     2060: 4.407
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.463
     2030: 0.518
     2060: 0.569
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.44
     2030: 49.82
     2060: 50.00

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 0.078
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.403
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 7.071
     2030: 7.632
     2060: 8.967
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 37.42
     2030: 22.24
     2060: 4.193
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 38.22
     2030: 30.61
     2060: 17.38
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 58.58
     2030: 36.03
     2060: 11.39

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 58.78
     2030: 81.12
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 43.39
     2030: 68.92
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 48.06
     2030: 79.59
     2060: 103.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 27.08
     2030: 39.38
     2060: 74.79
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 2.929
     2030: 6.178
     2060: 25.05
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 3.378
     2030: 3.755
     2060: 6.336
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 72.22
     2030: 80.57
     2060: 97.96

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.107
     2030: 2.474
     2060: 0.956
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 3.284
     2030: 4.150
     2060: 2.242
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.611
     2030: 0.671
     2060: 0.821
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 30.52
     2030: 20.36
     2060: 2.765
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,552
     2030: 2,713
     2060: 3,064
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.305
     2030: -0.272
     2060: -0.080
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.845
     2030: -0.700
     2060: -0.291

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 8.123
     2030: 14.46
     2060: 63.12
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3.280
     2030: 5.992
     2060: 35.27
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 1.507
     2030: 1.923
     2060: 5.187
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.473
     2030: 0.459
     2060: 0.503
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 30.53
     2030: 35.33
     2060: 36.21
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.123
     2030: 4.417
     2060: 18.04

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.032
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.056

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 2.004
     2030: 2.207
     2060: 2.864
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.257
     2030: 4.407
     2060: 7.587
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.534
     2030: 2.709
     2060: 3.456
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 0.931
     2030: 1.203
     2060: 2.065
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.655
     2030: 5.789
     2060: 6.293