Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 5.114
     2030: 6.190
     2060: 10.23
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 1.436
     2030: 1.876
     2060: 1.180
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 30.41
     2030: 27.88
     2060: 18.64
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 6.690
     2030: 5.789
     2060: 6.286
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 36.47
     2030: 25.06
     2060: 10.12
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 65.73
     2030: 68.49
     2060: 73.79
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 63.57
     2030: 66.27
     2060: 71.36
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 67.93
     2030: 70.77
     2060: 76.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 4.035
     2030: 3.590
     2060: 2.449
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.306
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.055
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 0.751
     2030: 0.812
     2060: 0.946
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 2.132
     2030: 2.273
     2060: 2.829
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 2.800
     2030: 3.705
     2060: 6.682
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 0.182
     2030: 0.212
     2060: 0.715
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 1.083
     2030: 1.612
     2060: 4.105
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.457
     2030: 0.528
     2060: 0.296
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 47.92
     2030: 49.31
     2060: 49.97

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 0.057
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.607
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 7.132
     2030: 7.474
     2060: 8.482
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 35.67
     2030: 23.58
     2060: 6.464
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 37.33
     2030: 32.65
     2060: 22.68
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 48.92
     2030: 30.89
     2060: 11.22

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 57.13
     2030: 70.55
     2060: 97.41
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 50.10
     2030: 62.56
     2060: 86.64
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 42.25
     2030: 48.57
     2060: 72.06
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 24.23
     2030: 30.36
     2060: 48.39
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 3.350
     2030: 6.409
     2060: 18.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 3.455
     2030: 3.823
     2060: 5.028
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 66.03
     2030: 74.48
     2060: 90.39

Social/Human Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 2.073
     2030: 1.990
     2060: 1.448
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 3.213
     2030: 3.419
     2060: 3.096
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.599
     2030: 0.657
     2060: 0.778
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 30.40
     2030: 20.69
     2060: 6.843
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 2,195
     2030: 2,353
     2060: 2,706
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.305
     2030: -0.262
     2060: -0.105
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: -0.833
     2030: -0.680
     2060: -0.336

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 7.898
     2030: 12.59
     2060: 41.14
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 3.636
     2030: 5.958
     2060: 21.66
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 1.544
     2030: 2.033
     2060: 4.023
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.464
     2030: 0.444
     2060: 0.471
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 19.43
     2030: 33.75
     2060: 34.87
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 3.216
     2030: 4.179
     2060: 8.781

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 0.022
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.033

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 2.031
     2030: 2.156
     2060: 2.533
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 3.421
     2030: 4.149
     2060: 7.238
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 2.564
     2030: 2.647
     2060: 3.234
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 0.975
     2030: 1.232
     2060: 1.908
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 5.667
     2030: 5.806
     2060: 6.164