Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 6.371
     2030: 9.247
     2060: 14.25
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 2.585
     2030: 2.075
     2060: 0.770
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 32.85
     2030: 26.54
     2060: 15.64
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.994
     2030: 5.785
     2060: 7.946
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 43.67
     2030: 22.48
     2060: 8.249
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 62.73
     2030: 67.77
     2060: 71.53
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 60.14
     2030: 64.64
     2060: 68.16
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 65.33
     2030: 70.93
     2060: 74.92
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 4.228
     2030: 3.370
     2060: 2.025
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.785
     2030: 0.631
     2060: 0.207
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.174
     2030: 1.396
     2060: 1.370
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.695
     2030: 3.290
     2060: 3.523
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 3.523
     2030: 5.667
     2060: 9.673
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.153
     2030: 0.290
     2060: 1.056
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.327
     2030: 2.715
     2060: 7.269
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.456
     2030: 0.505
     2060: 0.559
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 48.59
     2030: 48.59
     2060: 48.59

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 0.051
     2030: 0.157
     2060: 1.530
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 8.721
     2030: 9.286
     2060: 10.31
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 33.50
     2030: 24.96
     2060: 8.781
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 32.40
     2030: 22.70
     2060: 6.083
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 61.16
     2030: 45.39
     2060: 22.00

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 56.14
     2030: 93.61
     2060: 110.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 39.64
     2030: 59.28
     2060: 93.03
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 50.32
     2030: 80.59
     2060: 112.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 23.48
     2030: 38.65
     2060: 82.28
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 2.866
     2030: 6.557
     2060: 18.79
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 0.997
     2030: 1.844
     2060: 5.456
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 70.39
     2030: 79.87
     2060: 96.28

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 3.571
     2030: 3.704
     2060: 1.743
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 5.599
     2030: 7.109
     2060: 6.030
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.533
     2030: 0.625
     2060: 0.769
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 29.52
     2030: 21.97
     2060: 7.884
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 1,693
     2030: 1,952
     2060: 2,510
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.577
     2030: -0.516
     2060: -0.256
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.508
     2030: -1.233
     2060: -0.684

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 3.159
     2030: 8.192
     2060: 42.80
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 1.277
     2030: 3.387
     2060: 22.09
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 0.496
     2030: 0.886
     2060: 3.003
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.487
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.508
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 33.47
     2030: 44.94
     2060: 47.51
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 1.918
     2030: 5.173
     2060: 14.73

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.029
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.050

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 2.053
     2030: 2.516
     2060: 3.872
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.485
     2030: 4.934
     2060: 8.470
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.679
     2030: 2.889
     2060: 3.540
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.189
     2030: 1.532
     2060: 2.250
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 4.985
     2030: 5.280
     2060: 5.885