Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 5.115
     2030: 7.014
     2060: 11.94
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 2.603
     2030: 2.271
     2060: 1.248
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 32.56
     2030: 28.57
     2060: 19.23
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 6.171
     2030: 5.759
     2060: 6.700
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 38.85
     2030: 28.24
     2060: 13.24
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 65.13
     2030: 67.90
     2060: 72.86
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 62.97
     2030: 65.57
     2060: 70.30
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 67.31
     2030: 70.27
     2060: 75.47
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 4.101
     2030: 3.634
     2060: 2.522
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.319
     2030: 0.229
     2060: 0.055
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.781
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 1.131
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 2.159
     2030: 2.572
     2060: 3.343
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.818
     2030: 4.222
     2060: 7.716
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.138
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 0.885
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.083
     2030: 1.741
     2060: 4.367
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.482
     2030: 0.536
     2060: 0.579
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 47.63
     2030: 49.42
     2060: 49.98

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 0.081
     2030: 0.056
     2060: 0.483
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 7.071
     2030: 7.573
     2060: 8.666
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 37.43
     2030: 25.97
     2060: 8.546
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 38.24
     2030: 34.20
     2060: 25.09
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 54.38
     2030: 34.32
     2060: 12.14

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 54.21
     2030: 71.01
     2060: 92.69
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 43.78
     2030: 60.54
     2060: 85.08
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 40.74
     2030: 50.22
     2060: 71.52
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 23.15
     2030: 28.78
     2060: 44.71
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 2.822
     2030: 5.783
     2060: 15.38
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 3.383
     2030: 3.784
     2060: 5.046
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 74.38
     2030: 78.52
     2060: 92.44

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 2.035
     2030: 2.836
     2060: 2.810
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 3.168
     2030: 4.434
     2060: 4.890
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.620
     2030: 0.662
     2060: 0.770
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 29.85
     2030: 23.99
     2060: 9.697
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,549
     2030: 2,709
     2060: 3,064
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.310
     2030: -0.282
     2060: -0.150
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.859
     2030: -0.726
     2060: -0.425

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 7.495
     2030: 12.79
     2060: 40.71
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 3.385
     2030: 5.745
     2060: 19.79
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 1.465
     2030: 1.823
     2060: 3.408
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.469
     2030: 0.457
     2060: 0.525
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 17.04
     2030: 36.62
     2060: 37.92
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 2.951
     2030: 3.861
     2060: 7.394

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.022
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.037

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 2.010
     2030: 2.141
     2060: 2.510
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.258
     2030: 4.325
     2060: 7.346
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.533
     2030: 2.694
     2060: 3.205
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 0.926
     2030: 1.172
     2060: 1.810
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.639
     2030: 5.760
     2060: 6.088