Country Profile - Eritrea      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Eritrea
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Eritrea -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 5.701
     2030: 8.464
     2060: 13.55
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 2.685
     2030: 2.076
     2060: 1.014
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 34.58
     2030: 27.57
     2060: 18.44
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 7.725
     2030: 6.805
     2060: 8.301
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 47.04
     2030: 28.08
     2060: 8.694
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 61.45
     2030: 64.76
     2060: 68.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 59.02
     2030: 62.06
     2060: 65.99
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 63.83
     2030: 67.48
     2060: 72.02
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 4.331
     2030: 3.589
     2060: 2.392
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.862
     2030: 0.690
     2060: 0.226
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.079
     2030: 1.304
     2060: 1.500
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 2.370
     2030: 3.055
     2060: 3.751
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 3.184
     2030: 5.197
     2060: 8.980
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.148
     2030: 0.212
     2060: 0.823
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 1.311
     2030: 2.818
     2060: 7.523
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.395
     2030: 0.449
     2060: 0.494
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 44.46
     2030: 47.55
     2060: 49.42

Health Forecast for Eritrea -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 0.048
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 1.289
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 8.619
     2030: 9.266
     2060: 10.28
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 33.60
     2030: 26.30
     2060: 10.58
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 33.04
     2030: 25.54
     2060: 7.782
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 61.63
     2030: 46.83
     2060: 21.75

Education Forecast for Eritrea -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 55.33
     2030: 88.76
     2060: 107.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 39.05
     2030: 62.19
     2060: 95.05
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 47.67
     2030: 66.42
     2060: 109.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 21.67
     2030: 35.87
     2060: 77.47
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 2.165
     2030: 6.496
     2060: 17.86
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 1.219
     2030: 1.782
     2060: 4.472
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 67.63
     2030: 76.70
     2060: 96.52

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Eritrea
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 3.126
     2030: 3.060
     2060: 2.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 4.810
     2030: 5.905
     2060: 5.659
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.526
     2030: 0.601
     2060: 0.751
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 30.46
     2030: 24.26
     2060: 9.949
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 1,696
     2030: 1,927
     2060: 2,453
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.307
     2030: -0.294
     2060: -0.289
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.858
     2030: -0.814
     2060: -0.878

Economy Forecast for Eritrea
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 3.319
     2030: 7.931
     2060: 37.58
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.281
     2030: 3.090
     2060: 17.89
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 0.582
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 2.773
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.494
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.519
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 39.89
     2030: 47.00
     2060: 48.04
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 1.519
     2030: 5.558
     2060: 15.61

Energy Forecast for Eritrea
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Eritrea
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Eritrea
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.027
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.049

Domestic Government Forecast for Eritrea
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 2.069
     2030: 2.394
     2060: 3.178
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 3.369
     2030: 4.755
     2060: 7.866
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.654
     2030: 2.809
     2060: 3.319
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.201
     2030: 1.490
     2060: 2.124
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 5.084
     2030: 5.353
     2060: 5.935