Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 16.91
     2030: 19.54
     2060: 23.16
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.483
     2030: 0.900
     2060: 0.227
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 19.58
     2030: 14.79
     2060: 11.42
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 5.255
     2030: 5.952
     2060: 9.046
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 18.53
     2030: 12.07
     2060: 4.639
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 76.56
     2030: 78.36
     2060: 82.14
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 73.74
     2030: 75.27
     2060: 78.93
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 79.38
     2030: 81.44
     2060: 85.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.428
     2030: 1.941
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.203
     2030: 0.194
     2060: 0.092
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.623
     2030: 1.484
     2060: 1.332
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 4.758
     2030: 4.672
     2060: 4.102
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 10.91
     2030: 12.84
     2060: 14.38
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.243
     2030: 2.034
     2060: 4.673
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 10.90
     2030: 13.41
     2060: 17.98
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.436
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.169
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 40.44
     2030: 43.27
     2060: 47.19

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 20.68
     2030: 23.13
     2060: 30.21
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 9.135
     2030: 9.550
     2060: 11.95
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 6.201
     2030: 5.027
     2060: 3.593
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 6.210
     2030: 5.757
     2060: 2.564
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 10.85
     2030: 7.651
     2060: 3.248

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 109.4
     2030: 102.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 97.75
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 117.8
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 99.78
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 94.81
     2030: 90.35
     2060: 93.49
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 41.03
     2030: 49.76
     2060: 66.76
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.257
     2030: 9.665
     2060: 12.15
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 95.22
     2030: 97.55
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.676
     2030: 0.785
     2060: 0.494
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.997
     2030: 1.144
     2060: 0.732
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.861
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.940
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 5.410
     2030: 3.287
     2060: 1.779
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,436
     2030: 2,594
     2060: 2,990
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.143
     2030: 0.154
     2060: 0.070
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.318
     2030: 0.328
     2060: 0.300

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 173.4
     2030: 220.5
     2060: 416.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 90.90
     2030: 121.6
     2060: 298.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 10.25
     2030: 11.28
     2060: 17.96
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.465
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.508
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 46.65
     2030: 28.65
     2060: 14.82
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 34.07
     2030: 42.38
     2060: 61.16

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.215
     2030: 0.281
     2060: 0.111

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.013
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.016

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.153
     2030: 0.154
     2060: 0.157

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 10.17
     2030: 10.93
     2060: 12.57
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 15.21
     2030: 16.12
     2060: 18.23
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.734
     2030: 3.181
     2060: 4.767
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.011
     2030: 2.182
     2060: 2.861
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 5.857
     2030: 5.885
     2060: 6.138