Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 16.22
     2030: 19.26
     2060: 22.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.451
     2030: 0.822
     2060: 0.196
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 20.04
     2030: 14.50
     2060: 11.31
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.183
     2030: 5.972
     2060: 9.170
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 17.18
     2030: 10.75
     2060: 5.134
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 76.44
     2030: 78.76
     2060: 82.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 73.41
     2030: 75.34
     2060: 78.15
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 79.47
     2030: 82.17
     2060: 86.07
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.485
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.171
     2030: 0.139
     2060: 0.045
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.920
     2030: 1.726
     2060: 1.547
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 4.738
     2030: 4.502
     2060: 3.956
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 10.36
     2030: 12.69
     2060: 13.89
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.114
     2030: 2.067
     2060: 4.732
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 11.39
     2030: 15.50
     2060: 19.96
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.483
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.490
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 41.21
     2030: 44.38
     2060: 47.71

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 19.15
     2030: 22.10
     2060: 28.78
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 14.77
     2030: 15.90
     2060: 17.75
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 5.688
     2030: 4.715
     2060: 3.407
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.181
     2030: 2.214
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 16.79
     2030: 13.72
     2060: 8.262

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 101.9
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.75
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 101.4
     2030: 92.23
     2060: 96.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 80.53
     2030: 77.93
     2060: 90.29
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 40.23
     2030: 41.59
     2060: 43.04
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 8.389
     2030: 9.487
     2060: 11.03
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 93.29
     2030: 95.92
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.589
     2030: 0.407
     2060: 0.700
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.399
     2030: 1.024
     2060: 1.451
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.853
     2030: 0.891
     2060: 0.952
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 7.392
     2030: 5.075
     2060: 2.236
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,356
     2030: 2,546
     2060: 2,918
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.123
     2030: 0.147
     2060: 0.096
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.249
     2030: 0.317
     2060: 0.383

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 162.6
     2030: 257.5
     2060: 508.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 90.61
     2030: 165.5
     2060: 426.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 10.02
     2030: 13.37
     2060: 22.50
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.499
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.598
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 20.94
     2030: 14.55
     2060: 7.463
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 16.27
     2030: 21.62
     2060: 32.49

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.197
     2030: 0.231
     2060: 0.068

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.011
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.166
     2030: 0.171
     2060: 0.161

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 10.26
     2030: 10.95
     2060: 12.17
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 15.38
     2030: 16.56
     2060: 18.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.771
     2030: 3.583
     2060: 5.481
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.925
     2030: 2.309
     2060: 3.009
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.851
     2030: 5.997
     2060: 6.241