Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 16.38
     2030: 19.35
     2060: 22.69
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.446
     2030: 0.892
     2060: 0.192
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 20.00
     2030: 15.29
     2060: 11.49
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.181
     2030: 6.068
     2060: 9.380
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 20.28
     2030: 14.83
     2060: 7.682
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 76.32
     2030: 78.06
     2060: 81.03
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 73.50
     2030: 74.86
     2060: 76.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 79.13
     2030: 81.26
     2060: 84.99
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.461
     2030: 2.020
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.208
     2030: 0.180
     2060: 0.067
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.613
     2030: 1.500
     2060: 1.313
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 4.698
     2030: 4.650
     2060: 4.035
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 10.55
     2030: 12.68
     2060: 14.04
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.136
     2030: 2.029
     2060: 4.614
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 10.50
     2030: 13.39
     2060: 17.56
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.490
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.497
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 40.98
     2030: 44.21
     2060: 47.76

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 18.12
     2030: 20.59
     2060: 26.07
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 9.129
     2030: 9.631
     2060: 11.52
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 6.270
     2030: 5.454
     2060: 3.725
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 6.204
     2030: 7.113
     2060: 1.029
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 10.36
     2030: 7.329
     2060: 3.583

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 110.8
     2030: 99.69
     2060: 99.81
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 94.66
     2030: 97.23
     2060: 99.82
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 115.8
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 104.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 92.20
     2030: 80.85
     2060: 91.93
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 39.51
     2030: 37.15
     2060: 39.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.488
     2030: 9.686
     2060: 11.04
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 93.84
     2030: 96.42
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.597
     2030: 1.066
     2060: 1.286
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.345
     2030: 2.185
     2060: 2.386
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.854
     2030: 0.872
     2060: 0.917
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 7.423
     2030: 6.298
     2060: 3.481
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,566
     2030: 2,739
     2060: 3,074
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.139
     2030: 0.134
     2060: 0.007
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.316
     2030: 0.293
     2060: 0.192

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 163.6
     2030: 193.4
     2060: 303.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 86.42
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 188.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 9.987
     2030: 9.992
     2060: 13.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.481
     2030: 0.498
     2060: 0.568
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 27.90
     2030: 25.69
     2060: 22.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 22.15
     2030: 21.64
     2060: 28.69

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.211
     2030: 0.276
     2060: 0.122

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.013

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.158
     2030: 0.134
     2060: 0.127

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.03
     2030: 10.58
     2060: 11.51
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.13
     2030: 16.13
     2060: 18.07
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.668
     2030: 3.037
     2060: 4.214
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.980
     2030: 2.098
     2060: 2.659
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.952
     2030: 5.924
     2060: 6.094