Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 15.13
     2030: 18.39
     2060: 21.41
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.446
     2030: 0.833
     2060: 0.163
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 19.56
     2030: 14.44
     2060: 11.27
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 5.093
     2030: 6.108
     2060: 9.646
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 17.87
     2030: 10.41
     2060: 5.113
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 76.14
     2030: 78.67
     2060: 81.57
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 73.16
     2030: 75.36
     2060: 77.53
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 79.14
     2030: 81.97
     2060: 85.52
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.362
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.180
     2030: 0.144
     2060: 0.047
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.755
     2030: 1.618
     2060: 1.458
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 4.387
     2030: 4.160
     2060: 3.712
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 9.743
     2030: 12.26
     2060: 13.17
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.003
     2030: 1.971
     2060: 4.533
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 10.39
     2030: 14.47
     2060: 18.47
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.406
     2030: 0.436
     2060: 0.416
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 38.78
     2030: 42.68
     2060: 46.55

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 18.65
     2030: 21.93
     2060: 28.16
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 14.70
     2030: 15.53
     2060: 16.54
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 5.917
     2030: 4.971
     2060: 3.639
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 5.282
     2030: 3.991
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 17.39
     2030: 12.96
     2060: 5.441

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 109.2
     2030: 99.65
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 95.99
     2030: 98.25
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 92.31
     2030: 82.25
     2060: 90.40
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 71.95
     2030: 69.77
     2060: 80.11
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 42.07
     2030: 40.48
     2060: 37.49
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 7.947
     2030: 9.315
     2060: 10.66
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 85.39
     2030: 91.46
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.784
     2030: 0.648
     2060: 0.804
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 2.015
     2030: 1.753
     2060: 2.037
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.811
     2030: 0.857
     2060: 0.916
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 10.48
     2030: 6.435
     2060: 1.982
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,321
     2030: 2,536
     2060: 2,886
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.279
     2030: -0.213
     2060: -0.224
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.654
     2030: -0.380
     2060: -0.334

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 116.9
     2030: 177.1
     2060: 264.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 50.12
     2030: 87.82
     2060: 155.4
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 7.726
     2030: 9.630
     2060: 12.35
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.490
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 0.530
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 33.46
     2030: 27.83
     2060: 22.01
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 14.40
     2030: 19.42
     2060: 27.29

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.219
     2030: 0.203
     2060: 0.042

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.009
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.151
     2030: 0.144
     2060: 0.121

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 10.11
     2030: 10.57
     2060: 11.12
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 15.23
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 18.59
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.638
     2030: 3.320
     2060: 4.359
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.895
     2030: 2.250
     2060: 2.758
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 5.855
     2030: 5.997
     2060: 6.164