Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 16.63
     2030: 19.38
     2060: 22.81
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 1.435
     2030: 0.877
     2060: 0.209
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 19.96
     2030: 15.06
     2060: 11.46
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.258
     2030: 5.987
     2060: 9.180
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 19.67
     2030: 12.88
     2060: 5.440
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 76.28
     2030: 78.28
     2060: 81.72
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 73.48
     2030: 75.24
     2060: 78.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 79.09
     2030: 81.32
     2060: 85.12
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 2.467
     2030: 1.989
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.203
     2030: 0.194
     2060: 0.092
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.622
     2030: 1.494
     2060: 1.318
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 4.727
     2030: 4.675
     2060: 4.059
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 10.72
     2030: 12.68
     2060: 14.15
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.184
     2030: 2.024
     2060: 4.602
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 10.70
     2030: 13.41
     2060: 17.90
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.459
     2030: 0.479
     2060: 0.469
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 39.07
     2030: 42.24
     2060: 46.49

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 20.57
     2030: 23.78
     2060: 32.94
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 9.130
     2030: 9.714
     2060: 11.89
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 6.249
     2030: 4.712
     2060: 3.178
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 6.340
     2030: 4.921
     2060: 0.491
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 10.03
     2030: 6.630
     2060: 2.592

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 113.1
     2030: 107.3
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 97.23
     2030: 98.61
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 117.7
     2030: 106.7
     2060: 100.00
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 94.76
     2030: 90.60
     2060: 93.02
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 39.78
     2030: 45.51
     2060: 59.61
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 8.582
     2030: 9.839
     2060: 11.82
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 95.02
     2030: 97.42
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.641
     2030: 0.875
     2060: 1.390
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 1.997
     2030: 2.527
     2060: 3.149
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.858
     2030: 0.882
     2060: 0.933
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 7.112
     2030: 3.506
     2060: 1.794
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,429
     2030: 2,635
     2060: 3,125
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.139
     2030: 0.150
     2060: 0.056
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.314
     2030: 0.321
     2060: 0.278

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 167.4
     2030: 212.2
     2060: 378.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 87.84
     2030: 115.0
     2060: 260.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 10.07
     2030: 10.95
     2060: 16.57
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.460
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.573
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 47.37
     2030: 36.59
     2060: 21.53
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 21.61
     2030: 28.59
     2060: 48.20

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.213
     2030: 0.236
     2060: 0.130

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.013
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.018

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.152
     2030: 0.150
     2060: 0.152

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 10.04
     2030: 10.70
     2060: 11.99
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.12
     2030: 16.10
     2060: 18.14
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.666
     2030: 3.137
     2060: 4.586
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 1.985
     2030: 2.182
     2060: 2.809
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 5.949
     2030: 5.996
     2060: 6.216