Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 16.22
     2030: 19.25
     2060: 22.58
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.450
     2030: 0.823
     2060: 0.198
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 20.03
     2030: 14.50
     2060: 11.31
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.177
     2030: 5.966
     2060: 9.147
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 17.11
     2030: 10.69
     2060: 5.054
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 76.46
     2030: 78.79
     2060: 82.23
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 73.43
     2030: 75.37
     2060: 78.23
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 79.49
     2030: 82.19
     2060: 86.13
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.483
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.171
     2030: 0.139
     2060: 0.045
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 1.920
     2030: 1.722
     2060: 1.545
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 4.738
     2030: 4.493
     2060: 3.952
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 10.36
     2030: 12.69
     2060: 13.89
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.114
     2030: 2.067
     2060: 4.739
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 11.39
     2030: 15.49
     2060: 19.96
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.483
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.490
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 41.21
     2030: 44.38
     2060: 47.71

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 19.15
     2030: 21.99
     2060: 28.30
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 14.77
     2030: 15.93
     2060: 17.79
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 5.690
     2030: 4.722
     2060: 3.358
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.173
     2030: 2.216
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 16.79
     2030: 13.83
     2060: 8.612

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 101.9
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.90
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 101.5
     2030: 92.49
     2060: 97.01
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 80.55
     2030: 78.27
     2060: 91.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 40.26
     2030: 41.74
     2060: 43.55
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 8.389
     2030: 9.497
     2060: 11.06
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 93.29
     2030: 95.93
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.597
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.188
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 1.408
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.526
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.854
     2030: 0.892
     2060: 0.954
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 7.382
     2030: 5.035
     2060: 1.880
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,355
     2030: 2,539
     2060: 2,893
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.123
     2030: 0.148
     2060: 0.099
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.250
     2030: 0.320
     2060: 0.389

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 163.8
     2030: 260.0
     2060: 517.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 91.28
     2030: 167.9
     2060: 437.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 10.10
     2030: 13.50
     2060: 22.91
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.500
     2030: 0.505
     2060: 0.524
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 629,322,481,664
     2030: 539,314,421,760
     2060: 435,449,462,784
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 16.36
     2030: 21.82
     2060: 33.03

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.198
     2030: 0.235
     2060: 0.067

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.011
     2030: 0.019
     2060: 0.007

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.167
     2030: 0.171
     2060: 0.155

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 10.26
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 12.20
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 15.38
     2030: 16.56
     2060: 18.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.780
     2030: 3.599
     2060: 5.530
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.929
     2030: 2.313
     2060: 3.010
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.854
     2030: 5.999
     2060: 6.241