Country Profile - Ecuador      IFs Version 7.00
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Ecuador
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Ecuador -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 15.91
     2030: 19.01
     2060: 22.27
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.392
     2030: 0.871
     2060: 0.193
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 18.99
     2030: 14.66
     2060: 11.19
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.079
     2030: 5.953
     2060: 9.255
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 17.66
     2030: 10.97
     2060: 5.758
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 76.44
     2030: 79.13
     2060: 82.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 73.48
     2030: 75.89
     2060: 78.91
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 79.40
     2030: 82.34
     2060: 86.24
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.330
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.172
     2030: 0.139
     2060: 0.045
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.829
     2030: 1.653
     2060: 1.501
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 4.640
     2030: 4.231
     2060: 3.811
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 10.20
     2030: 12.69
     2060: 13.64
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.071
     2030: 2.084
     2060: 4.826
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 10.62
     2030: 14.50
     2060: 18.76
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.470
     2030: 0.504
     2060: 0.475
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 40.88
     2030: 44.32
     2060: 47.67

Health Forecast for Ecuador -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 18.92
     2030: 22.50
     2060: 30.22
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 14.73
     2030: 15.69
     2060: 17.15
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 5.730
     2030: 4.505
     2060: 3.316
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.967
     2030: 2.568
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 17.06
     2030: 13.33
     2060: 7.239

Education Forecast for Ecuador -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.8
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 96.88
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 99.58
     2030: 90.79
     2060: 95.81
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 78.80
     2030: 78.82
     2060: 89.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 39.84
     2030: 40.37
     2060: 40.64
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.060
     2030: 9.394
     2060: 10.96
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 93.04
     2030: 95.82
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Ecuador
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.632
     2030: 0.854
     2060: 0.956
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 1.467
     2030: 1.877
     2060: 1.958
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.842
     2030: 0.882
     2060: 0.939
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 6.340
     2030: 3.983
     2060: 1.863
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,340
     2030: 2,571
     2060: 2,991
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.086
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.141
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.154
     2030: 0.254
     2060: 0.368

Economy Forecast for Ecuador
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 133.9
     2030: 208.8
     2060: 379.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 59.71
     2030: 109.0
     2060: 259.1
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 8.414
     2030: 10.99
     2060: 17.04
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.501
     2030: 0.521
     2060: 0.572
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 44.93
     2030: 37.52
     2060: 26.94
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 15.38
     2030: 20.43
     2060: 29.31

Energy Forecast for Ecuador
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.192
     2030: 0.202
     2060: 0.074

Environment Forecast for Ecuador
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.011
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Ecuador
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.167
     2030: 0.172
     2060: 0.163

Domestic Government Forecast for Ecuador
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.21
     2030: 11.03
     2060: 12.22
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 15.29
     2030: 16.62
     2060: 18.71
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.703
     2030: 3.436
     2060: 4.910
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.897
     2030: 2.289
     2060: 2.920
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 5.844
     2030: 6.004
     2060: 6.228