Country Profile - Germany      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Germany
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Germany -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 82.35
     2030: 78.32
     2060: 64.69
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.200
     2030: -0.469
     2060: -0.739
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 8.356
     2030: 7.565
     2060: 7.884
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 11.61
     2030: 13.40
     2060: 16.26
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 3.056
     2030: 2.165
     2060: 1.076
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 81.01
     2030: 82.71
     2060: 85.96
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 78.44
     2030: 80.07
     2060: 83.07
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 83.49
     2030: 85.26
     2060: 88.72
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.425
     2030: 1.496
     2060: 1.649
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.063
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.017
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 4.127
     2030: 3.681
     2060: 3.122
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 10.59
     2030: 9.782
     2060: 8.077
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 53.79
     2030: 46.25
     2060: 34.67
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 17.97
     2030: 22.29
     2060: 21.94
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 60.39
     2030: 59.45
     2060: 51.64
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.509
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.428
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 47.16
     2030: 48.95
     2060: 49.88

Health Forecast for Germany -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 31.36
     2030: 30.94
     2060: 30.07
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 28.09
     2030: 27.57
     2060: 27.01
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.180
     2030: 1.387
     2060: 1.843
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.579
     2030: 1.070
     2060: 2.137
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 3.420
     2030: 1.976
     2060: 3.565

Education Forecast for Germany -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 103.3
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 99.90
     2060: 99.73
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 103.6
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 98.10
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 107.5
     2030: 107.8
     2060: 98.31
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 50.86
     2030: 57.59
     2060: 62.95
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 12.24
     2030: 12.69
     2060: 14.18
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Germany
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.206
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.021
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.206
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.021
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.982
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.842
     2030: 0.775
     2060: 0.791
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,564
     2030: 3,540
     2060: 3,490
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.644
     2030: 0.662
     2060: 0.573
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.526
     2030: 0.678
     2060: 0.857

Economy Forecast for Germany
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3,558
     2030: 4,126
     2060: 5,324
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 3,829
     2030: 4,389
     2060: 5,530
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 43.21
     2030: 52.67
     2060: 82.30
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.309
     2030: 0.318
     2060: 0.349
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 37.76
     2030: 38.80
     2060: 39.49
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 63.04
     2030: 72.73
     2060: 80.84

Energy Forecast for Germany
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.012
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Germany
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.201
     2030: 0.179
     2060: 0.084

International Politics Forecast for Germany
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 2.740
     2030: 2.012
     2060: 1.080

Domestic Government Forecast for Germany
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 8.456
     2030: 9.723
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 4.124
     2030: 4.238
     2060: 4.495
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.620
     2030: 7.719
     2060: 7.939