Country Profile - Cuba      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Cuba
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Cuba -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 11.39
     2030: 11.15
     2060: 9.278
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.055
     2030: -0.317
     2060: -0.821
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.875
     2030: 8.767
     2060: 8.250
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.972
     2030: 10.16
     2060: 16.46
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 5.036
     2030: 3.359
     2060: 1.532
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 79.91
     2030: 81.70
     2060: 85.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 77.83
     2030: 79.40
     2060: 82.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 82.02
     2030: 84.02
     2060: 87.87
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.591
     2030: 1.643
     2060: 1.735
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.177
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 1.129
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.581
     2030: 0.504
     2060: 0.387
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.832
     2030: 1.575
     2060: 1.189
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 7.908
     2030: 7.104
     2060: 4.913
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.651
     2030: 2.473
     2060: 3.175
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 8.807
     2030: 8.777
     2060: 7.671
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.472
     2030: 0.444
     2060: 0.382
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 38.96
     2030: 42.14
     2060: 46.41

Health Forecast for Cuba -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 39.33
     2030: 41.93
     2060: 46.05
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 36.05
     2030: 36.33
     2060: 35.57
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.344
     2030: 2.981
     2060: 2.448
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 3.306
     2030: 1.746
     2060: 0.627
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.411
     2030: 1.164
     2060: 0.880

Education Forecast for Cuba -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 98.03
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 95.30
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 100.3
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 99.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.55
     2030: 99.23
     2060: 96.88
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 36.76
     2030: 52.85
     2060: 71.55
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.86
     2030: 11.45
     2060: 13.23
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.94
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Cuba
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.935
     2030: 0.958
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.950
     2030: 2.452
     2060: 1.509
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,327
     2030: 3,448
     2060: 3,626
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.290
     2030: 0.332
     2060: 0.344
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.704
     2030: 0.757
     2060: 0.795

Economy Forecast for Cuba
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 238.1
     2030: 293.5
     2060: 365.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 79.20
     2030: 119.9
     2060: 231.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 20.90
     2030: 26.32
     2060: 39.39
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.409
     2030: 0.440
     2060: 0.487
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 16.84
     2030: 19.93
     2060: 23.01
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 36.87
     2030: 54.21
     2060: 69.96

Energy Forecast for Cuba
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.023
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.057

Environment Forecast for Cuba
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.012
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.018

International Politics Forecast for Cuba
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.131
     2030: 0.121
     2060: 0.096

Domestic Government Forecast for Cuba
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 3.007
     2030: 3.130
     2060: 3.442
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.333
     2030: 4.932
     2060: 8.349
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.315
     2030: 5.236
     2060: 7.299
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.488
     2030: 2.765
     2060: 3.310
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.226
     2030: 7.366
     2060: 7.600