Country Profile - Cuba      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Cuba
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Cuba -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 11.48
     2030: 11.30
     2060: 9.557
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: -0.010
     2030: -0.303
     2060: -0.731
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.67
     2030: 9.036
     2060: 8.785
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 8.296
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 16.10
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 4.739
     2030: 3.307
     2060: 1.501
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 80.04
     2030: 81.63
     2060: 85.14
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 77.90
     2030: 79.28
     2060: 82.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 82.20
     2030: 83.98
     2060: 87.85
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.735
     2030: 1.741
     2060: 1.798
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.192
     2030: 0.437
     2060: 1.128
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.631
     2030: 0.527
     2060: 0.426
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.836
     2030: 1.690
     2060: 1.319
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 7.896
     2030: 7.042
     2060: 5.087
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.751
     2030: 2.564
     2060: 3.150
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 8.826
     2030: 8.895
     2060: 7.915
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.459
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.376
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 39.15
     2030: 42.05
     2060: 46.35

Health Forecast for Cuba -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 39.63
     2030: 41.90
     2060: 46.00
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 35.93
     2030: 36.24
     2060: 35.53
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.309
     2030: 2.991
     2060: 2.453
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.165
     2030: 1.784
     2060: 0.592
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.378
     2030: 1.160
     2060: 0.883

Education Forecast for Cuba -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 98.47
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 95.95
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 100.2
     2030: 103.4
     2060: 99.71
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 99.53
     2030: 98.40
     2060: 96.39
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 37.71
     2030: 48.64
     2060: 78.71
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 10.90
     2030: 11.40
     2060: 13.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.98
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Cuba
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.939
     2030: 0.959
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 2.907
     2030: 2.468
     2060: 1.519
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,340
     2030: 3,445
     2060: 3,623
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.301
     2030: 0.335
     2060: 0.346
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.729
     2030: 0.775
     2060: 0.811

Economy Forecast for Cuba
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 251.0
     2030: 300.1
     2060: 378.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 81.50
     2030: 117.2
     2060: 231.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 21.86
     2030: 26.57
     2060: 39.63
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.411
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.482
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 17.49
     2030: 19.96
     2060: 22.77
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 38.26
     2030: 48.13
     2060: 73.79

Energy Forecast for Cuba
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.023
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.059

Environment Forecast for Cuba
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.012
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.018

International Politics Forecast for Cuba
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.132
     2030: 0.121
     2060: 0.095

Domestic Government Forecast for Cuba
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 3.015
     2030: 3.118
     2060: 3.437
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 3.462
     2030: 4.937
     2060: 8.349
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.378
     2030: 5.202
     2060: 7.267
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.508
     2030: 2.754
     2060: 3.301
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.255
     2030: 7.374
     2060: 7.603