Country Profile - Cuba      IFs Version 7.26
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Cuba
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Cuba -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 11.38
     2030: 11.11
     2060: 9.257
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.049
     2030: -0.336
     2060: -0.809
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.908
     2030: 8.716
     2060: 8.298
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.968
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 16.39
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 5.030
     2030: 3.241
     2060: 1.514
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 79.92
     2030: 81.95
     2060: 85.81
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 77.84
     2030: 79.66
     2060: 83.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 82.03
     2030: 84.26
     2060: 88.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.596
     2030: 1.650
     2060: 1.740
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.149
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.048
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.581
     2030: 0.499
     2060: 0.389
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.831
     2030: 1.563
     2060: 1.192
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 7.901
     2030: 6.980
     2060: 4.880
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 1.649
     2030: 2.568
     2060: 3.185
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 8.790
     2030: 8.867
     2060: 7.767
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.473
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.381
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 38.96
     2030: 42.34
     2060: 46.50

Health Forecast for Cuba -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 32.42
     2030: 34.78
     2060: 36.77
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 36.06
     2030: 36.56
     2060: 35.06
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 3.341
     2030: 2.990
     2060: 2.581
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 3.078
     2030: 0.198
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.516
     2030: 3.107
     2060: 1.853

Education Forecast for Cuba -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 99.81
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 87.51
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 101.7
     2030: 107.4
     2060: 101.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 98.84
     2030: 108.1
     2060: 110.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 40.45
     2030: 45.58
     2060: 76.63
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.81
     2030: 11.45
     2060: 13.38
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.95
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Cuba
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.936
     2030: 0.965
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 3.024
     2030: 2.517
     2060: 1.540
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,305
     2030: 3,431
     2060: 3,530
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.290
     2030: 0.338
     2060: 0.359
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.704
     2030: 0.768
     2060: 0.830

Economy Forecast for Cuba
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 240.4
     2030: 319.4
     2060: 430.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 80.48
     2030: 137.2
     2060: 293.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 21.12
     2030: 28.75
     2060: 46.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.411
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.480
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 17.09
     2030: 20.33
     2060: 22.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 38.05
     2030: 46.58
     2060: 72.38

Energy Forecast for Cuba
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.023
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.070

Environment Forecast for Cuba
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.012
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.022

International Politics Forecast for Cuba
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.135
     2030: 0.125
     2060: 0.098

Domestic Government Forecast for Cuba
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 3.012
     2030: 3.150
     2060: 3.494
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.334
     2030: 5.075
     2060: 8.461
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.342
     2030: 5.547
     2060: 8.177
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.495
     2030: 2.830
     2060: 3.423
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.232
     2030: 7.413
     2060: 7.686