Country Profile - Cuba      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Cuba
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Cuba -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 11.52
     2030: 11.47
     2060: 10.02
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.109
     2030: -0.170
     2060: -0.721
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 10.70
     2030: 9.195
     2060: 8.835
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 8.377
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 15.53
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 4.957
     2030: 3.798
     2060: 1.761
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 79.87
     2030: 81.10
     2060: 84.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 77.72
     2030: 78.75
     2060: 82.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 82.02
     2030: 83.45
     2060: 87.53
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.735
     2030: 1.741
     2060: 1.798
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.192
     2030: 0.437
     2060: 1.128
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.632
     2030: 0.540
     2060: 0.450
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.843
     2030: 1.726
     2060: 1.401
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 7.923
     2030: 7.188
     2060: 5.434
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 1.751
     2030: 2.553
     2060: 3.181
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 8.890
     2030: 9.011
     2060: 8.204
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.416
     2030: 0.267
     2060: 0.175
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 39.39
     2030: 42.27
     2060: 46.51

Health Forecast for Cuba -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 39.22
     2030: 40.35
     2060: 42.37
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 35.89
     2030: 35.55
     2060: 35.62
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.364
     2030: 3.178
     2060: 2.752
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.510
     2030: 3.242
     2060: 2.158
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.345
     2030: 2.039
     2060: 1.467

Education Forecast for Cuba -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 98.26
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 95.29
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 99.84
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 99.77
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 98.44
     2030: 93.83
     2060: 95.55
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 36.49
     2030: 41.42
     2060: 76.87
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 9.840
     2030: 10.27
     2060: 11.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Cuba
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.934
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 0.989
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 2.267
     2030: 2.068
     2060: 1.383
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,321
     2030: 3,373
     2060: 3,463
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.298
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.311
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.723
     2030: 0.749
     2060: 0.740

Economy Forecast for Cuba
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 234.6
     2030: 248.6
     2060: 327.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 65.54
     2030: 78.30
     2060: 166.3
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 20.37
     2030: 21.68
     2060: 32.65
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.416
     2030: 0.408
     2060: 0.406
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 17.35
     2030: 18.50
     2060: 19.98
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 35.24
     2030: 40.04
     2060: 71.28

Energy Forecast for Cuba
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.024
     2030: 0.031
     2060: 0.060

Environment Forecast for Cuba
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.015

International Politics Forecast for Cuba
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.124
     2030: 0.103
     2060: 0.081

Domestic Government Forecast for Cuba
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 3.005
     2030: 3.083
     2060: 3.396
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 3.454
     2030: 4.884
     2060: 8.349
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.201
     2030: 4.609
     2060: 6.424
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.464
     2030: 2.624
     2060: 3.158
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.218
     2030: 7.266
     2060: 7.483