Country Profile - Cuba      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Cuba
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Cuba -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 11.38
     2030: 11.11
     2060: 9.257
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.077
     2030: -0.336
     2060: -0.809
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.823
     2030: 8.716
     2060: 8.298
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 8.137
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 16.39
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 4.879
     2030: 3.241
     2060: 1.514
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 80.05
     2030: 81.95
     2060: 85.81
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 77.95
     2030: 79.66
     2060: 83.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 82.17
     2030: 84.26
     2060: 88.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.599
     2030: 1.650
     2060: 1.740
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.149
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.048
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.575
     2030: 0.499
     2060: 0.389
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.805
     2030: 1.563
     2060: 1.192
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 7.868
     2030: 6.980
     2060: 4.880
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.705
     2030: 2.568
     2060: 3.185
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 8.804
     2030: 8.867
     2060: 7.767
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.472
     2030: 0.439
     2060: 0.381
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 39.24
     2030: 42.34
     2060: 46.50

Health Forecast for Cuba -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 32.65
     2030: 34.78
     2060: 36.77
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 36.01
     2030: 36.56
     2060: 35.06
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.308
     2030: 2.990
     2060: 2.581
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.917
     2030: 0.198
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 4.375
     2030: 3.107
     2060: 1.853

Education Forecast for Cuba -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 100.7
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 88.20
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.9
     2030: 107.4
     2060: 101.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.26
     2030: 108.1
     2060: 110.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 40.24
     2030: 45.58
     2060: 76.63
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.85
     2030: 11.45
     2060: 13.38
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Cuba
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.938
     2030: 0.965
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.982
     2030: 2.517
     2060: 1.540
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,318
     2030: 3,431
     2060: 3,530
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.296
     2030: 0.338
     2060: 0.359
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.710
     2030: 0.768
     2060: 0.830

Economy Forecast for Cuba
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 244.9
     2030: 319.4
     2060: 430.9
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 83.45
     2030: 137.2
     2060: 293.2
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 21.52
     2030: 28.75
     2060: 46.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.412
     2030: 0.445
     2060: 0.480
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 17.62
     2030: 20.33
     2060: 22.70
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 37.97
     2030: 46.58
     2060: 72.38

Energy Forecast for Cuba
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.034
     2060: 0.070

Environment Forecast for Cuba
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.012
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.022

International Politics Forecast for Cuba
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.134
     2030: 0.125
     2060: 0.098

Domestic Government Forecast for Cuba
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 3.020
     2030: 3.150
     2060: 3.494
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.456
     2030: 5.075
     2060: 8.461
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 4.412
     2030: 5.547
     2060: 8.177
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.517
     2030: 2.830
     2060: 3.423
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.244
     2030: 7.413
     2060: 7.686