Country Profile - Costa Rica      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Costa Rica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Costa Rica -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 5.062
     2030: 5.826
     2060: 6.437
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.258
     2030: 0.726
     2060: -0.008
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 15.28
     2030: 12.61
     2060: 10.33
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 4.613
     2030: 5.958
     2060: 10.45
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 8.127
     2030: 5.368
     2060: 2.484
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 79.98
     2030: 81.83
     2060: 85.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 77.48
     2030: 79.15
     2060: 82.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 82.55
     2030: 84.56
     2060: 87.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.846
     2030: 1.874
     2060: 1.884
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.204
     2030: 0.166
     2060: 0.054
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.446
     2030: 0.450
     2060: 0.405
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.129
     2030: 1.149
     2060: 1.028
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.537
     2030: 3.872
     2060: 3.720
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.397
     2030: 0.804
     2060: 1.690
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.413
     2030: 4.400
     2060: 5.462
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.486
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.425
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 38.01
     2030: 41.20
     2060: 45.47

Health Forecast for Costa Rica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 33.15
     2030: 35.11
     2060: 39.65
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 16.35
     2030: 17.38
     2060: 18.63
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.242
     2030: 1.477
     2060: 1.913
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.012
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.798
     2030: 4.403
     2060: 3.076

Education Forecast for Costa Rica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 112.7
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 98.88
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.63
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 98.60
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 118.9
     2030: 122.3
     2060: 109.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 76.01
     2030: 86.98
     2060: 93.01
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 42.61
     2030: 46.14
     2060: 52.60
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.958
     2030: 9.711
     2060: 11.17
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 96.90
     2030: 98.49
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Costa Rica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.052
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.012
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.120
     2030: 0.078
     2060: 0.030
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.903
     2030: 0.936
     2060: 0.993
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.593
     2030: 1.731
     2060: 1.392
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,941
     2030: 3,038
     2060: 3,248
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.199
     2030: 0.233
     2060: 0.216
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.435
     2030: 0.496
     2060: 0.591

Economy Forecast for Costa Rica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 69.89
     2030: 110.0
     2060: 224.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 50.51
     2030: 91.22
     2060: 214.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 13.81
     2030: 18.88
     2060: 34.82
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.486
     2030: 0.502
     2060: 0.548
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 15.32
     2030: 11.41
     2060: 7.660
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 34.68
     2030: 41.05
     2060: 58.02

Energy Forecast for Costa Rica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Costa Rica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Costa Rica
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.045
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.043

Domestic Government Forecast for Costa Rica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.92
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 5.510
     2030: 6.236
     2060: 8.208
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.916
     2030: 3.179
     2060: 3.673
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.419
     2030: 7.582
     2060: 7.875