Country Profile - Costa Rica      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Costa Rica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Costa Rica -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 4.956
     2030: 5.459
     2060: 5.920
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.959
     2030: 0.617
     2060: -0.019
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.06
     2030: 12.36
     2060: 10.15
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 5.175
     2030: 6.605
     2060: 10.63
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 7.851
     2030: 5.211
     2060: 2.013
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 80.12
     2030: 81.65
     2060: 85.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 77.59
     2030: 78.92
     2060: 82.68
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 82.66
     2030: 84.37
     2060: 88.17
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.778
     2030: 1.822
     2060: 1.850
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.205
     2030: 0.280
     2060: 0.315
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.345
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.303
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 1.063
     2030: 1.036
     2060: 0.923
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 3.408
     2030: 3.608
     2060: 3.433
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.485
     2030: 0.815
     2060: 1.564
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 4.019
     2030: 5.022
     2060: 5.446
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.442
     2030: 0.285
     2060: 0.149
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 40.35
     2030: 43.18
     2060: 47.14

Health Forecast for Costa Rica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 40.06
     2030: 43.77
     2060: 50.88
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 14.28
     2030: 15.25
     2060: 16.01
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 1.996
     2030: 2.007
     2060: 1.990
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.830
     2030: 3.487
     2060: 3.516
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 4.799
     2030: 3.236
     2060: 1.613

Education Forecast for Costa Rica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 107.4
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 99.32
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 130.2
     2030: 112.2
     2060: 99.85
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 108.7
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 98.70
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 54.97
     2030: 66.23
     2060: 91.91
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.340
     2030: 9.283
     2060: 11.74
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 97.99
     2030: 99.88
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Costa Rica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.062
     2030: 0.025
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.086
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.914
     2030: 0.944
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 1.923
     2030: 1.428
     2060: 0.886
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,930
     2030: 3,089
     2060: 3,369
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.224
     2030: 0.271
     2060: 0.276
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.529
     2030: 0.585
     2060: 0.672

Economy Forecast for Costa Rica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 78.12
     2030: 111.4
     2060: 234.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 53.82
     2030: 87.20
     2060: 221.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 15.76
     2030: 20.41
     2060: 39.66
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.484
     2030: 0.478
     2060: 0.494
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 25.68
     2030: 23.23
     2060: 26.50
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 43.86
     2030: 57.34
     2060: 76.17

Energy Forecast for Costa Rica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Costa Rica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Costa Rica
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.045
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.061

Domestic Government Forecast for Costa Rica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.95
     2030: 19.96
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 4.942
     2030: 5.674
     2060: 8.284
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.953
     2030: 3.175
     2060: 3.741
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.549
     2030: 7.685
     2060: 8.035