Country Profile - Costa Rica      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Costa Rica
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Costa Rica -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 4.871
     2030: 5.520
     2060: 5.970
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.136
     2030: 0.644
     2060: -0.056
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 14.38
     2030: 12.37
     2060: 10.07
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 4.955
     2030: 6.534
     2060: 10.66
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 8.557
     2030: 5.696
     2060: 2.609
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 79.94
     2030: 81.72
     2060: 85.02
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 77.44
     2030: 79.02
     2060: 82.03
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 82.43
     2030: 84.41
     2060: 87.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.783
     2030: 1.819
     2060: 1.848
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.185
     2030: 0.160
     2060: 0.059
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.350
     2030: 0.345
     2060: 0.304
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 1.072
     2030: 1.049
     2060: 0.927
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.353
     2030: 3.650
     2060: 3.453
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.447
     2030: 0.821
     2060: 1.590
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 3.824
     2030: 5.078
     2060: 5.492
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.490
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.437
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 37.86
     2030: 41.31
     2060: 45.75

Health Forecast for Costa Rica -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 32.63
     2030: 35.92
     2060: 41.20
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 14.22
     2030: 15.17
     2060: 16.61
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 1.156
     2030: 1.332
     2060: 1.695
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 1.275
     2030: 1.083
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.996
     2030: 3.405
     2060: 1.874

Education Forecast for Costa Rica -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 111.7
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 95.71
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 132.5
     2030: 130.6
     2060: 128.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 101.5
     2030: 103.5
     2060: 117.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 52.58
     2030: 61.90
     2060: 69.80
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.210
     2030: 10.05
     2060: 11.79
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 97.68
     2030: 99.02
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Costa Rica
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.024
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.010
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.090
     2030: 0.080
     2060: 0.038
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.909
     2030: 0.938
     2060: 0.990
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.169
     2030: 1.514
     2060: 0.995
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,946
     2030: 3,111
     2060: 3,355
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.209
     2030: 0.259
     2060: 0.238
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.494
     2030: 0.556
     2060: 0.604

Economy Forecast for Costa Rica
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 71.79
     2030: 106.3
     2060: 199.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 49.10
     2030: 82.93
     2060: 187.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 14.74
     2030: 19.27
     2060: 33.34
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.493
     2030: 0.518
     2060: 0.554
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 22.77
     2030: 21.30
     2060: 23.85
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 42.22
     2030: 53.93
     2060: 69.83

Energy Forecast for Costa Rica
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Costa Rica
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Costa Rica
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.044
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.049

Domestic Government Forecast for Costa Rica
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.96
     2030: 19.96
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 4.882
     2030: 5.614
     2060: 7.559
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.934
     2030: 3.168
     2060: 3.649
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.548
     2030: 7.689
     2060: 7.974