Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 7.07
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 48.96
     2030: 56.70
     2060: 63.11
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.232
     2030: 0.673
     2060: 0.065
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 18.54
     2030: 14.23
     2060: 11.32
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.738
     2030: 7.081
     2060: 10.39
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 15.88
     2030: 8.925
     2060: 3.351
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.17
     2030: 76.71
     2060: 80.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 70.25
     2030: 72.21
     2060: 74.84
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.97
     2030: 81.05
     2060: 85.91
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.265
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.364
     2030: 0.293
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.409
     2030: 4.762
     2060: 4.305
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 13.38
     2030: 12.27
     2060: 10.95
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 32.44
     2030: 37.78
     2060: 38.42
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 3.147
     2030: 6.650
     2060: 13.74
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 37.36
     2030: 47.01
     2060: 55.83
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.487
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 0.469
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 43.60
     2030: 46.66
     2060: 49.01

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 31.54
     2030: 34.00
     2060: 39.87
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 19.24
     2030: 19.57
     2060: 20.18
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 3.305
     2030: 3.045
     2060: 2.486
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 2.736
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 11.68
     2030: 9.503
     2060: 5.262

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 116.9
     2030: 103.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 91.18
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 105.6
     2030: 109.0
     2060: 101.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 78.29
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 105.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 39.37
     2030: 41.95
     2060: 53.91
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 7.954
     2030: 9.098
     2060: 10.70
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 94.40
     2030: 97.39
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 3.393
     2030: 1.552
     2060: 0.299
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 6.732
     2030: 3.588
     2060: 0.874
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.853
     2030: 0.898
     2060: 0.969
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 5.288
     2030: 3.352
     2060: 1.264
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,768
     2030: 2,893
     2060: 3,165
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.274
     2030: 0.331
     2060: 0.316
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.312
     2030: 0.396
     2060: 0.520

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 579.7
     2030: 961.8
     2060: 2,240
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 380.5
     2030: 747.1
     2060: 2,110
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.84
     2030: 16.96
     2060: 35.49
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.563
     2030: 0.558
     2060: 0.559
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 706,922,807,296
     2030: 543,842,304,000
     2060: 395,642,273,792
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 16.76
     2030: 22.98
     2060: 50.81

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.300
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.072

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.029
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.023

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.600
     2030: 0.618
     2060: 0.586

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.147
     2030: 9.897
     2060: 11.08
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 17.24
     2030: 18.36
     2060: 19.59
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.676
     2030: 4.511
     2060: 7.046
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.544
     2030: 2.863
     2060: 3.475
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.571
     2030: 6.771
     2060: 7.152