Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 7.15
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 49.57
     2030: 56.70
     2060: 63.15
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.188
     2030: 0.675
     2060: 0.066
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 18.17
     2030: 14.23
     2060: 11.31
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 5.805
     2030: 7.063
     2060: 10.38
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 15.31
     2030: 8.814
     2060: 3.317
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 74.31
     2030: 76.76
     2060: 80.59
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 70.34
     2030: 72.26
     2060: 74.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 78.15
     2030: 81.10
     2060: 85.94
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 2.232
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.362
     2030: 0.293
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 5.391
     2030: 4.762
     2060: 4.306
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 13.37
     2030: 12.27
     2060: 10.96
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 32.88
     2030: 37.79
     2060: 38.44
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 3.308
     2030: 6.652
     2060: 13.76
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 37.99
     2030: 47.01
     2060: 55.86
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.489
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 0.469
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 43.85
     2030: 46.66
     2060: 49.01

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 31.75
     2030: 34.34
     2060: 40.70
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 19.32
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 20.08
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 3.287
     2030: 3.030
     2060: 2.633
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 2.449
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 11.48
     2030: 9.246
     2060: 4.754

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 116.8
     2030: 103.2
     2060: 99.90
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 92.34
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 99.77
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 106.2
     2030: 109.1
     2060: 100.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 79.15
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 104.9
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 39.52
     2030: 42.12
     2060: 54.55
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 8.039
     2030: 9.098
     2060: 10.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 94.62
     2030: 97.39
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 2.571
     2030: 1.655
     2060: 1.177
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 5.817
     2030: 3.976
     2060: 2.721
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.856
     2030: 0.899
     2060: 0.971
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 5.158
     2030: 3.380
     2060: 1.815
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,779
     2030: 2,909
     2060: 3,202
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.281
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.323
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.318
     2030: 0.400
     2060: 0.534

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 598.9
     2030: 983.2
     2060: 2,318
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 397.4
     2030: 771.4
     2060: 2,189
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 12.08
     2030: 17.34
     2060: 36.71
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.562
     2030: 0.585
     2060: 0.647
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 24.75
     2030: 14.68
     2060: 5.641
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.12
     2030: 23.19
     2060: 52.67

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.293
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.072

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.031
     2030: 0.066
     2060: 0.025

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.602
     2030: 0.636
     2060: 0.638

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 9.194
     2030: 9.909
     2060: 11.10
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 17.31
     2030: 18.38
     2060: 19.62
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.720
     2030: 4.558
     2060: 7.196
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.563
     2030: 2.885
     2060: 3.515
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.582
     2030: 6.789
     2060: 7.184