Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 49.07
     2030: 57.13
     2060: 64.12
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.270
     2030: 0.721
     2060: 0.082
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 18.44
     2030: 14.29
     2060: 11.40
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 5.740
     2030: 7.078
     2060: 10.58
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 15.89
     2030: 8.582
     2060: 3.572
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 74.14
     2030: 76.72
     2060: 79.99
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 70.30
     2030: 72.23
     2060: 74.16
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 77.87
     2030: 81.03
     2060: 85.47
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.251
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.364
     2030: 0.293
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 5.424
     2030: 4.813
     2060: 4.401
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 13.41
     2030: 12.29
     2060: 11.16
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 32.51
     2030: 38.16
     2060: 39.20
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 3.150
     2030: 6.673
     2060: 13.76
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 37.24
     2030: 46.92
     2060: 56.22
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.486
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 0.470
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 43.61
     2030: 46.67
     2060: 49.02

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 31.45
     2030: 35.26
     2060: 41.75
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 24.87
     2030: 24.55
     2060: 24.75
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 3.307
     2030: 2.906
     2060: 2.382
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 2.779
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 11.75
     2030: 8.553
     2060: 4.133

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 116.6
     2030: 104.2
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 90.62
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 105.5
     2030: 108.4
     2060: 101.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 81.63
     2030: 97.62
     2060: 100.5
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 39.21
     2030: 41.83
     2060: 44.72
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 7.757
     2030: 9.082
     2060: 10.71
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 94.40
     2030: 97.41
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 3.297
     2030: 1.408
     2060: 0.407
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 6.562
     2030: 3.206
     2060: 1.092
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.839
     2030: 0.886
     2060: 0.944
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 5.038
     2030: 2.988
     2060: 1.262
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,764
     2030: 2,954
     2060: 3,247
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.277
     2030: 0.357
     2060: 0.375
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.316
     2030: 0.436
     2060: 0.608

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 451.8
     2030: 780.5
     2060: 1,543
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 220.8
     2030: 472.5
     2060: 1,277
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 9.209
     2030: 13.66
     2060: 24.07
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.564
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.583
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 46.30
     2030: 37.21
     2060: 31.58
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 16.62
     2030: 22.99
     2060: 34.49

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.281
     2030: 0.220
     2060: 0.075

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.028
     2030: 0.061
     2060: 0.021

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.553
     2030: 0.615
     2060: 0.625

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 9.184
     2030: 10.05
     2060: 11.17
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 17.23
     2030: 18.34
     2060: 19.48
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.626
     2030: 4.339
     2060: 5.814
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.530
     2030: 2.848
     2060: 3.315
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.569
     2030: 6.800
     2060: 7.121