Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 49.43
     2030: 53.51
     2060: 56.17
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.763
     2030: 0.495
     2060: -0.123
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.91
     2030: 13.42
     2060: 10.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.291
     2030: 7.762
     2060: 11.73
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 15.45
     2030: 10.11
     2060: 4.134
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 74.65
     2030: 76.27
     2060: 80.32
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 70.91
     2030: 72.10
     2060: 76.05
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.28
     2030: 80.28
     2060: 84.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.846
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.890
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.243
     2030: 0.201
     2060: 0.066
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 3.672
     2030: 3.603
     2060: 3.102
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 11.40
     2030: 10.80
     2060: 9.434
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 34.07
     2030: 35.89
     2060: 33.47
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 3.962
     2030: 6.818
     2060: 13.26
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 38.50
     2030: 44.69
     2060: 50.50
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.474
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.152
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 43.76
     2030: 46.28
     2060: 48.98

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 38.65
     2030: 42.36
     2060: 49.70
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 11.95
     2030: 12.82
     2060: 14.86
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.329
     2030: 3.027
     2060: 2.611
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.922
     2030: 1.473
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 6.096
     2030: 4.117
     2060: 2.076

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 109.9
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 94.91
     2030: 98.88
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 105.8
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 99.35
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 83.43
     2030: 88.05
     2060: 96.26
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 56.13
     2030: 63.55
     2060: 72.69
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 9.100
     2030: 9.874
     2060: 11.44
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 94.69
     2030: 95.99
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 2.063
     2030: 1.160
     2060: 0.442
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 3.155
     2030: 1.872
     2060: 0.758
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.864
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.952
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 4.435
     2030: 3.394
     2060: 1.640
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,772
     2030: 2,935
     2060: 3,229
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.261
     2030: 0.308
     2060: 0.284
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.296
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.374

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 657.2
     2030: 893.8
     2060: 1,522
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 419.9
     2030: 639.2
     2060: 1,379
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 13.29
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 27.09
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.512
     2030: 0.510
     2060: 0.522
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 34.56
     2030: 20.22
     2060: 20.21
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 36.34
     2030: 49.74
     2060: 64.72

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.374
     2030: 0.321
     2060: 0.082

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.027
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.029

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.596
     2030: 0.574
     2060: 0.523

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.078
     2030: 9.547
     2060: 10.51
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 17.20
     2030: 18.15
     2060: 19.13
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.490
     2030: 4.115
     2060: 5.716
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.437
     2030: 2.698
     2060: 3.218
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.415
     2030: 6.563
     2060: 6.815