Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 48.68
     2030: 53.95
     2060: 56.76
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.877
     2030: 0.537
     2060: -0.135
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 15.21
     2030: 13.40
     2060: 10.97
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.969
     2030: 7.608
     2060: 12.04
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 16.54
     2030: 10.58
     2060: 4.924
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.68
     2030: 76.58
     2060: 79.15
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 71.00
     2030: 72.39
     2060: 73.51
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.24
     2030: 80.63
     2060: 84.45
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.851
     2030: 1.878
     2060: 1.886
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.251
     2030: 0.217
     2060: 0.081
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.701
     2030: 3.625
     2060: 3.135
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 11.60
     2030: 10.87
     2060: 9.536
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 33.49
     2030: 36.18
     2060: 33.69
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 3.587
     2030: 6.900
     2060: 13.54
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 37.48
     2030: 44.79
     2060: 50.38
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.513
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.463
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 43.18
     2030: 46.18
     2060: 48.90

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 31.00
     2030: 34.48
     2060: 40.16
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 11.86
     2030: 12.91
     2060: 14.60
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 3.361
     2030: 3.012
     2060: 2.630
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 2.952
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 8.483
     2030: 5.374
     2060: 2.706

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 112.0
     2030: 102.1
     2060: 99.36
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 87.49
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 99.25
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 107.9
     2030: 111.6
     2060: 108.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 81.46
     2030: 85.13
     2060: 93.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 51.05
     2030: 52.50
     2060: 54.12
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.170
     2030: 8.540
     2060: 9.640
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 94.04
     2030: 96.34
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 2.067
     2030: 2.279
     2060: 2.603
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 4.835
     2030: 4.946
     2060: 5.156
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.860
     2030: 0.893
     2060: 0.939
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 5.471
     2030: 3.916
     2060: 2.262
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,837
     2030: 3,015
     2060: 3,280
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.255
     2030: 0.311
     2060: 0.266
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.291
     2030: 0.349
     2060: 0.350

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 629.4
     2030: 916.1
     2060: 1,351
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 403.2
     2030: 666.3
     2060: 1,171
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.93
     2030: 16.98
     2060: 23.81
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.539
     2030: 0.586
     2060: 0.642
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 33.54
     2030: 27.10
     2060: 22.25
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.25
     2030: 24.83
     2060: 41.74

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.347
     2030: 0.324
     2060: 0.126

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.025
     2030: 0.051
     2060: 0.031

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.597
     2030: 0.596
     2060: 0.508

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 9.024
     2030: 9.365
     2060: 10.10
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.13
     2030: 18.28
     2060: 19.18
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.460
     2030: 4.202
     2060: 5.374
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.424
     2030: 2.698
     2060: 3.137
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.570
     2030: 6.721
     2060: 6.915