Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 49.51
     2030: 53.91
     2060: 56.96
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.821
     2030: 0.542
     2060: -0.115
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 14.92
     2030: 13.45
     2060: 10.99
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 6.257
     2030: 7.611
     2060: 11.86
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 15.37
     2030: 9.970
     2060: 4.277
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 74.72
     2030: 76.56
     2060: 79.55
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 70.99
     2030: 72.46
     2060: 74.25
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.34
     2030: 80.51
     2060: 84.56
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.846
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.890
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.243
     2030: 0.201
     2060: 0.066
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 3.675
     2030: 3.635
     2060: 3.150
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 11.42
     2030: 10.88
     2060: 9.575
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 34.13
     2030: 36.18
     2060: 33.84
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 3.966
     2030: 6.859
     2060: 13.54
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 38.51
     2030: 44.79
     2060: 50.83
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.525
     2030: 0.521
     2060: 0.471
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 44.24
     2030: 46.69
     2060: 49.18

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 38.68
     2030: 42.61
     2060: 52.21
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 11.96
     2030: 12.81
     2060: 14.66
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.335
     2030: 2.999
     2060: 2.453
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.916
     2030: 1.364
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 7.572
     2030: 5.035
     2060: 2.165

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 111.0
     2030: 103.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 95.12
     2030: 98.91
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 105.8
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 99.19
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 83.53
     2030: 88.66
     2060: 95.58
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 56.22
     2030: 70.07
     2060: 80.14
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.513
     2030: 9.571
     2060: 11.76
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 95.16
     2030: 96.96
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 2.002
     2030: 2.087
     2060: 2.520
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 6.231
     2030: 6.079
     2060: 6.318
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.866
     2030: 0.894
     2060: 0.943
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 5.006
     2030: 3.744
     2060: 2.153
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 2,774
     2030: 2,945
     2060: 3,322
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.262
     2030: 0.308
     2060: 0.276
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.296
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.359

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 660.2
     2030: 899.9
     2060: 1,415
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 422.5
     2030: 643.2
     2060: 1,243
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 13.33
     2030: 16.69
     2060: 24.85
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.542
     2030: 0.578
     2060: 0.644
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 31.91
     2030: 20.86
     2060: 22.07
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 21.69
     2030: 41.56
     2060: 62.26

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.358
     2030: 0.325
     2060: 0.109

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.030
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.034

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.604
     2030: 0.603
     2060: 0.520

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 9.105
     2030: 9.710
     2060: 10.96
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 17.20
     2030: 18.16
     2060: 19.11
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.494
     2030: 4.117
     2060: 5.457
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.438
     2030: 2.679
     2060: 3.147
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.576
     2030: 6.711
     2060: 6.927