Country Profile - Colombia      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Colombia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Colombia -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 48.27
     2030: 57.00
     2060: 63.91
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.315
     2030: 0.719
     2060: 0.071
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 18.80
     2030: 14.26
     2060: 11.41
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 5.647
     2030: 7.070
     2060: 10.69
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 16.09
     2030: 8.638
     2060: 3.658
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 74.04
     2030: 76.71
     2060: 79.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 70.23
     2030: 72.20
     2060: 73.80
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 77.73
     2030: 81.05
     2060: 85.32
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.285
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.367
     2030: 0.294
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 5.409
     2030: 4.795
     2060: 4.392
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 13.34
     2030: 12.31
     2060: 11.14
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 31.94
     2030: 38.07
     2060: 39.14
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 2.983
     2030: 6.626
     2060: 13.63
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 36.66
     2030: 47.11
     2060: 56.37
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.407
     2030: 0.426
     2060: 0.405
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 36.58
     2030: 40.64
     2060: 45.05

Health Forecast for Colombia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 31.33
     2030: 35.01
     2060: 40.54
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 24.78
     2030: 24.46
     2060: 24.41
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 3.316
     2030: 2.876
     2060: 2.464
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 2.435
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 11.04
     2030: 5.430
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Colombia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 118.8
     2030: 103.6
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 91.08
     2030: 99.70
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 105.2
     2030: 105.4
     2060: 102.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 79.52
     2030: 92.58
     2060: 96.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 36.98
     2030: 39.51
     2060: 41.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 7.672
     2030: 9.124
     2060: 10.64
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 94.05
     2030: 97.31
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Colombia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 6.518
     2030: 3.845
     2060: 4.961
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 11.70
     2030: 7.582
     2060: 9.413
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.836
     2030: 0.883
     2060: 0.935
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 5.275
     2030: 3.031
     2060: 1.367
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,757
     2030: 2,942
     2060: 3,194
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.886
     2030: -1.476
     2060: -1.113
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.397
     2030: -0.656
     2060: -0.546

Economy Forecast for Colombia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 428.9
     2030: 751.1
     2060: 1,353
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 212.1
     2030: 457.6
     2060: 1,070
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 8.886
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 21.17
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.589
     2030: 0.615
     2060: 0.627
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 46.11
     2030: 36.31
     2060: 29.65
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 21.35
     2030: 28.81
     2060: 39.85

Energy Forecast for Colombia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.282
     2030: 0.172
     2060: 0.053

Environment Forecast for Colombia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.024
     2030: 0.058
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Colombia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.551
     2030: 0.621
     2060: 0.585

Domestic Government Forecast for Colombia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 9.113
     2030: 9.787
     2060: 10.58
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 17.16
     2030: 18.32
     2060: 19.46
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 3.594
     2030: 4.296
     2060: 5.484
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.694
     2030: 2.976
     2060: 3.462
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 5.846
     2030: 6.062
     2060: 6.402