Country Profile - China      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for China
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for China -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 1,411
     2030: 1,438
     2060: 1,279
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.415
     2030: -0.094
     2060: -0.670
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 11.78
     2030: 8.900
     2060: 8.535
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.418
     2030: 9.642
     2060: 15.24
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 10.28
     2030: 6.777
     2060: 3.588
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 76.38
     2030: 78.61
     2060: 82.67
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 74.90
     2030: 76.89
     2060: 80.68
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 77.96
     2030: 80.41
     2060: 84.72
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.628
     2030: 1.663
     2060: 1.747
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.054
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 85.47
     2030: 65.09
     2060: 55.50
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 249.6
     2030: 217.7
     2060: 176.0
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1,011
     2030: 972.6
     2060: 712.4
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 150.5
     2030: 247.2
     2060: 390.2
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 812.7
     2030: 1,142
     2060: 1,176
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.571
     2030: 0.550
     2060: 0.460
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 44.46
     2030: 47.12
     2060: 49.36

Health Forecast for China -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 9.264
     2030: 11.31
     2060: 14.64
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 26.08
     2030: 27.98
     2060: 28.27
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.005
     2030: 1.393
     2060: 1.549
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.457
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 8.354
     2030: 4.973
     2060: 2.076

Education Forecast for China -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 104.4
     2030: 100.9
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 96.37
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.69
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 99.69
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 91.17
     2030: 96.44
     2060: 98.33
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 45.97
     2030: 77.22
     2060: 94.00
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 8.527
     2030: 9.453
     2060: 11.74
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 96.67
     2030: 98.29
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for China
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 17.17
     2030: 17.19
     2060: 5.085
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 90.48
     2030: 71.37
     2060: 21.51
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.885
     2030: 0.930
     2060: 0.999
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.979
     2030: 1.661
     2060: 1.005
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,200
     2030: 3,381
     2060: 3,642
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.186
     2030: -0.116
     2060: 0.227
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.863
     2030: -0.790
     2060: -0.625

Economy Forecast for China
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 20,719
     2030: 33,968
     2060: 63,652
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 11,375
     2030: 23,732
     2060: 57,864
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 14.69
     2030: 23.63
     2060: 49.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.432
     2030: 0.506
     2060: 0.570
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 16.61
     2030: 17.44
     2060: 23.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 47.74
     2030: 81.03
     2060: 89.27

Energy Forecast for China
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 1.625
     2030: 1.324
     2060: 0.410

Environment Forecast for China
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 2.955
     2030: 3.266
     2060: 2.262

International Politics Forecast for China
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 15.44
     2030: 19.68
     2060: 20.28

Domestic Government Forecast for China
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 3.023
     2030: 3.244
     2060: 3.736
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.328
     2030: 4.847
     2060: 8.430
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.768
     2030: 5.035
     2060: 8.463
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.897
     2030: 3.235
     2060: 3.792
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.483
     2030: 6.736
     2060: 7.126