Country Profile - China      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for China
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for China -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 1,391
     2030: 1,422
     2060: 1,261
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.462
     2030: -0.099
     2060: -0.710
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.08
     2030: 8.600
     2060: 8.266
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.248
     2030: 9.386
     2060: 15.37
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 10.58
     2030: 6.814
     2060: 3.683
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 76.21
     2030: 78.50
     2060: 82.57
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 74.73
     2030: 76.77
     2060: 80.55
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 77.79
     2030: 80.32
     2060: 84.63
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.591
     2030: 1.632
     2060: 1.727
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.055
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.015
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 84.25
     2030: 62.90
     2060: 53.26
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 240.5
     2030: 216.0
     2060: 170.0
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 1,010
     2030: 971.8
     2060: 694.3
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 140.7
     2030: 233.8
     2060: 396.3
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 812.7
     2030: 1,141
     2060: 1,160
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.581
     2030: 0.557
     2060: 0.457
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 44.45
     2030: 47.11
     2060: 49.36

Health Forecast for China -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 9.254
     2030: 11.24
     2060: 14.44
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 26.08
     2030: 27.94
     2060: 28.43
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 3.268
     2030: 2.054
     2060: 1.919
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.783
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 8.372
     2030: 5.041
     2060: 2.144

Education Forecast for China -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 104.5
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 96.36
     2030: 99.96
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 99.69
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 99.69
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 91.44
     2030: 100.8
     2060: 99.40
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 45.93
     2030: 96.78
     2060: 91.32
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 8.545
     2030: 9.610
     2060: 11.92
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 95.47
     2030: 97.22
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for China
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 17.90
     2030: 19.99
     2060: 6.831
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 139.3
     2030: 112.5
     2060: 38.87
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.879
     2030: 0.924
     2060: 0.995
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 3.730
     2030: 2.198
     2060: 1.084
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,200
     2030: 3,375
     2060: 3,628
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.186
     2030: -0.120
     2060: 0.213
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.864
     2030: -0.799
     2060: -0.637

Economy Forecast for China
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 20,081
     2030: 32,927
     2060: 59,121
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 11,317
     2030: 23,425
     2060: 54,386
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 14.44
     2030: 23.16
     2060: 46.90
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.432
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.576
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 17.02
     2030: 17.60
     2060: 24.02
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 49.16
     2030: 82.91
     2060: 89.43

Energy Forecast for China
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 1.624
     2030: 1.309
     2060: 0.395

Environment Forecast for China
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 2.952
     2030: 3.249
     2060: 2.223

International Politics Forecast for China
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 15.25
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 20.08

Domestic Government Forecast for China
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 3.025
     2030: 3.272
     2060: 3.762
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.324
     2030: 4.912
     2060: 8.484
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.758
     2030: 5.027
     2060: 8.161
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.894
     2030: 3.232
     2060: 3.763
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 6.481
     2030: 6.737
     2060: 7.109