Country Profile - Chile      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Chile
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Chile -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 17.53
     2030: 19.55
     2060: 20.21
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 0.784
     2030: 0.413
     2060: -0.125
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 14.07
     2030: 11.87
     2060: 10.26
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 5.830
     2030: 7.738
     2060: 11.51
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 6.397
     2030: 3.834
     2060: 1.887
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 79.40
     2030: 81.67
     2060: 84.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 76.27
     2030: 78.27
     2060: 80.99
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 82.47
     2030: 84.99
     2060: 88.37
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.840
     2030: 1.851
     2060: 1.870
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.181
     2030: 0.145
     2060: 0.047
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.463
     2030: 1.426
     2060: 1.263
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 3.691
     2030: 3.644
     2060: 3.210
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 12.07
     2030: 12.53
     2060: 11.60
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.764
     2030: 3.385
     2060: 5.398
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 15.80
     2030: 17.99
     2060: 18.60
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.454
     2030: 0.436
     2060: 0.403
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 38.38
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 46.29

Health Forecast for Chile -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 38.92
     2030: 42.95
     2060: 48.64
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 38.30
     2030: 36.81
     2060: 33.89
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 0.618
     2030: 1.005
     2060: 1.539
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 4.378
     2030: 1.421
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Chile -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 106.8
     2030: 100.7
     2060: 99.94
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 96.37
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 100.8
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 99.91
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 86.54
     2030: 98.72
     2060: 103.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 54.20
     2030: 54.38
     2060: 59.16
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.890
     2030: 10.60
     2060: 11.79
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 98.98
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Chile
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.011
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.180
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.007
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.909
     2030: 0.949
     2060: 0.995
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 1.741
     2030: 1.092
     2060: 0.743
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,950
     2030: 3,128
     2060: 3,360
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.222
     2030: 0.129
     2060: 0.185
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.407
     2030: -0.090
     2060: 0.177

Economy Forecast for Chile
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 255.9
     2030: 436.4
     2060: 752.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 171.4
     2030: 357.1
     2060: 718.6
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 14.60
     2030: 22.32
     2060: 37.24
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.521
     2030: 0.515
     2060: 0.544
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 28.57
     2030: 33.70
     2060: 39.52
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 22.91
     2030: 34.63
     2060: 70.06

Energy Forecast for Chile
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Chile
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.019
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.040

International Politics Forecast for Chile
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.317
     2030: 0.352
     2060: 0.275

Domestic Government Forecast for Chile
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.90
     2030: 19.70
     2060: 19.62
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 7.243
     2030: 7.848
     2060: 8.965
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 3.711
     2030: 3.913
     2060: 4.131
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 8.187
     2030: 8.442
     2060: 8.752