Country Profile - Chile      IFs Version 7.30
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Chile
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Chile -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 18.24
     2030: 19.86
     2060: 20.54
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.795
     2030: 0.474
     2060: -0.204
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.82
     2030: 11.31
     2060: 9.494
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 5.207
     2030: 6.879
     2060: 11.59
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 6.394
     2030: 4.452
     2060: 2.235
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 82.16
     2030: 83.81
     2060: 86.71
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 79.24
     2030: 80.82
     2060: 83.52
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 85.01
     2030: 86.74
     2060: 89.83
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.730
     2030: 1.766
     2060: 1.814
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.214
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.058
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 1.174
     2030: 1.137
     2060: 0.984
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 3.621
     2030: 3.457
     2060: 3.005
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 12.53
     2030: 12.88
     2060: 11.53
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 2.092
     2030: 3.526
     2060: 6.001
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 16.49
     2030: 18.27
     2060: 18.89
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.489
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.421
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 41.35
     2030: 44.37
     2060: 47.91

Health Forecast for Chile -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 45.27
     2030: 49.37
     2060: 57.86
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 39.15
     2030: 38.42
     2060: 34.39
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.015
     2030: 1.943
     2060: 1.930
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.935
     2030: 0.573
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.454
     2030: 1.223
     2060: 0.909

Education Forecast for Chile -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.6
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 97.78
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.5
     2030: 101.2
     2060: 99.75
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 98.88
     2030: 96.90
     2060: 95.58
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 89.15
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 89.58
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.61
     2030: 11.46
     2060: 13.11
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 97.01
     2030: 98.48
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Chile
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.015
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.012
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.034
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.025
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.942
     2030: 0.967
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.485
     2030: 1.580
     2060: 1.023
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 2,995
     2030: 3,158
     2060: 3,467
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.261
     2030: 0.340
     2060: 0.360
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -0.034
     2030: 0.092
     2060: 0.365

Economy Forecast for Chile
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 405.7
     2030: 537.7
     2060: 804.6
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 297.1
     2030: 438.4
     2060: 754.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 22.24
     2030: 27.07
     2060: 39.18
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.507
     2030: 0.528
     2060: 0.565
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 28.33
     2030: 27.29
     2060: 28.97
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 22.33
     2030: 41.39
     2060: 58.79

Energy Forecast for Chile
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Chile
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.036

International Politics Forecast for Chile
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.308
     2030: 0.304
     2060: 0.247

Domestic Government Forecast for Chile
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 19.93
     2030: 19.75
     2060: 19.58
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 7.172
     2030: 7.625
     2060: 8.698
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 3.644
     2030: 3.763
     2060: 3.993
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.871
     2030: 7.975
     2060: 8.170