Country Profile - Chile      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Chile
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Chile -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 18.06
     2030: 19.75
     2060: 20.32
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.800
     2030: 0.446
     2060: -0.208
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.89
     2030: 11.22
     2060: 9.530
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 5.236
     2030: 7.072
     2060: 11.65
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 6.456
     2030: 4.507
     2060: 2.283
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 82.09
     2030: 83.77
     2060: 86.76
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 79.07
     2030: 80.63
     2060: 83.45
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 85.03
     2030: 86.85
     2060: 89.97
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.740
     2030: 1.777
     2060: 1.821
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.220
     2030: 0.190
     2060: 0.070
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.164
     2030: 1.124
     2060: 0.978
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 3.587
     2030: 3.430
     2060: 2.988
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 12.40
     2030: 12.72
     2060: 11.37
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 2.070
     2030: 3.607
     2060: 5.964
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 16.29
     2030: 18.17
     2060: 18.69
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.494
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.424
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 41.35
     2030: 44.55
     2060: 47.97

Health Forecast for Chile -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 38.38
     2030: 41.62
     2060: 46.23
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 39.15
     2030: 38.16
     2060: 34.25
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 0.582
     2030: 0.870
     2060: 1.457
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 0.024
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.588
     2030: 3.161
     2060: 1.856

Education Forecast for Chile -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 102.1
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 99.44
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 92.49
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 99.37
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 105.1
     2030: 104.4
     2060: 99.73
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.57
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 100.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 86.66
     2030: 89.66
     2060: 79.67
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.50
     2030: 11.39
     2060: 12.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 97.01
     2030: 98.59
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Chile
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.013
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.006
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.029
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.013
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.941
     2030: 0.966
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.339
     2030: 1.314
     2060: 0.896
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,052
     2030: 3,201
     2060: 3,397
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.261
     2030: 0.342
     2060: 0.353
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.035
     2030: 0.098
     2060: 0.371

Economy Forecast for Chile
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 396.8
     2030: 529.1
     2060: 805.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 290.2
     2030: 430.8
     2060: 756.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 21.97
     2030: 26.79
     2060: 39.62
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.502
     2030: 0.517
     2060: 0.546
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 27.52
     2030: 25.36
     2060: 27.64
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 20.70
     2030: 33.96
     2060: 50.82

Energy Forecast for Chile
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Chile
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.021
     2030: 0.030
     2060: 0.038

International Politics Forecast for Chile
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.312
     2030: 0.301
     2060: 0.237

Domestic Government Forecast for Chile
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.93
     2030: 19.74
     2060: 19.58
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 7.168
     2030: 7.603
     2060: 8.752
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 3.642
     2030: 3.762
     2060: 4.004
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.871
     2030: 7.974
     2060: 8.182