Country Profile - Central African Republic      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Central African Republic
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Central African Republic -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 4.751
     2030: 6.316
     2060: 10.70
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.800
     2030: 1.939
     2060: 1.545
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 35.56
     2030: 35.43
     2060: 25.70
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 17.73
     2030: 16.04
     2060: 10.24
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 116.0
     2030: 113.7
     2060: 61.21
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 47.50
     2030: 51.20
     2060: 63.75
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 45.73
     2030: 48.87
     2060: 60.60
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 49.23
     2030: 53.51
     2060: 66.87
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 4.585
     2030: 4.666
     2060: 3.505
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 3.605
     2030: 2.918
     2060: 0.955
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.810
     2030: 1.094
     2060: 1.485
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.839
     2030: 2.355
     2060: 3.449
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.725
     2030: 3.699
     2060: 6.463
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.186
     2030: 0.261
     2060: 0.791
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 1.895
     2030: 2.679
     2060: 4.982
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.489
     2030: 0.506
     2060: 0.523
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 48.41
     2030: 49.71
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Central African Republic -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 0.965
     2030: 1.299
     2060: 1.138
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 9.593
     2030: 9.832
     2060: 10.49
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 30.07
     2030: 35.46
     2060: 18.72
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 28.88
     2030: 32.61
     2060: 27.38
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 33.27
     2030: 49.38
     2060: 42.00

Education Forecast for Central African Republic -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 96.26
     2030: 101.4
     2060: 101.5
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 68.87
     2030: 76.60
     2060: 86.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 22.92
     2030: 27.66
     2060: 38.22
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 9.822
     2030: 12.51
     2060: 18.54
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 1.797
     2030: 3.529
     2060: 8.975
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 3.828
     2030: 4.224
     2060: 5.651
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 58.89
     2030: 73.13
     2060: 91.25

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Central African Republic
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 3.233
     2030: 4.334
     2060: 5.538
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 4.010
     2030: 5.361
     2060: 7.676
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.425
     2030: 0.497
     2060: 0.645
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 43.02
     2030: 35.82
     2060: 16.92
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 1,985
     2030: 1,500
     2060: 1,573
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.494
     2030: -0.652
     2060: -0.904
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.202
     2030: -1.239
     2060: -1.254

Economy Forecast for Central African Republic
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 3.053
     2030: 4.367
     2060: 10.14
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 1.535
     2030: 1.715
     2060: 2.963
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 0.643
     2030: 0.692
     2060: 0.948
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.538
     2030: 0.535
     2060: 0.548
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 28.46
     2030: 28.32
     2060: 31.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.242
     2030: 3.449
     2060: 6.892

Energy Forecast for Central African Republic
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Central African Republic
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Central African Republic
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.018
     2030: 0.021
     2060: 0.030

Domestic Government Forecast for Central African Republic
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 5.883
     2030: 6.249
     2060: 7.318
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 9.188
     2030: 10.05
     2060: 10.99
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 1.890
     2030: 2.220
     2060: 2.425
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 0.891
     2030: 1.043
     2060: 1.348
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 5.063
     2030: 5.247
     2060: 5.447