Country Profile - Canada      IFs Version 7.07
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Canada
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Canada -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 35.46
     2030: 39.85
     2060: 43.65
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.975
     2030: 0.558
     2060: 0.134
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.38
     2030: 9.989
     2060: 9.840
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.808
     2030: 9.379
     2060: 11.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 4.579
     2030: 2.991
     2060: 1.451
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 81.40
     2030: 83.26
     2060: 86.01
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 79.01
     2030: 80.71
     2060: 83.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 83.75
     2030: 85.76
     2060: 88.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.673
     2030: 1.699
     2060: 1.775
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.213
     2030: 0.171
     2060: 0.056
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.343
     2030: 2.409
     2060: 2.586
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 5.745
     2030: 6.273
     2060: 6.605
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 24.15
     2030: 24.41
     2060: 25.22
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 5.566
     2030: 9.170
     2060: 11.82
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 28.74
     2030: 33.88
     2060: 38.94
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.549
     2030: 0.500
     2060: 0.473
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 48.11
     2030: 49.67
     2060: 49.99

Health Forecast for Canada -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 31.66
     2030: 31.64
     2060: 31.11
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 19.38
     2030: 18.66
     2060: 18.64
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.816
     2030: 1.952
     2060: 2.245
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.341
     2030: 1.486
     2060: 1.310
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.335
     2030: 3.937
     2060: 3.804

Education Forecast for Canada -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 100.3
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 99.97
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.99
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 101.3
     2030: 99.90
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 103.3
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.98
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 63.43
     2030: 67.81
     2060: 70.19
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 12.44
     2030: 13.34
     2060: 14.67
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Canada
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.984
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.144
     2030: 0.964
     2060: 0.888
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,416
     2030: 3,415
     2060: 3,384
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.077
     2030: 0.945
     2060: 0.330
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 1.522
     2030: 1.514
     2060: 1.407

Economy Forecast for Canada
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1,525
     2030: 2,165
     2060: 3,879
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 1,887
     2030: 2,576
     2060: 4,305
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 43.01
     2030: 54.33
     2060: 88.89
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.326
     2030: 0.317
     2060: 0.330
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 927,776,833,536
     2030: 1,005,589,299,2
     2060: 1,029,317,394,4
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 57.23
     2030: 67.31
     2060: 74.94

Energy Forecast for Canada
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.924
     2030: 1.327
     2060: 0.297

Environment Forecast for Canada
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.142
     2030: 0.150
     2060: 0.075

International Politics Forecast for Canada
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 1.288
     2030: 1.086
     2060: 0.770

Domestic Government Forecast for Canada
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 20.00
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 9.186
     2030: 10.00
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 4.305
     2030: 4.395
     2060: 4.601
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 8.058
     2030: 8.176
     2060: 8.431