Country Profile - Belize      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Belize
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belize -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 0.329
     2030: 0.430
     2060: 0.526
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.811
     2030: 1.160
     2060: 0.218
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 23.74
     2030: 17.38
     2060: 11.65
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 3.695
     2030: 3.998
     2060: 7.648
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 15.51
     2030: 9.151
     2060: 4.104
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 76.88
     2030: 79.89
     2060: 83.70
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 75.37
     2030: 78.10
     2060: 81.44
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 78.36
     2030: 81.68
     2060: 85.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.645
     2030: 2.144
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 1.143
     2030: 0.915
     2060: 0.300
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.045
     2030: 0.046
     2060: 0.038
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 0.109
     2030: 0.117
     2060: 0.096
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.207
     2030: 0.281
     2060: 0.331
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.013
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.098
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 0.206
     2030: 0.374
     2060: 0.484
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.438
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.471
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 36.98
     2030: 41.02
     2060: 45.33

Health Forecast for Belize -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 20.13
     2030: 21.91
     2060: 25.62
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 26.64
     2030: 25.90
     2060: 25.46
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 4.787
     2030: 4.057
     2060: 3.408
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 4.216
     2030: 1.914
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 6.975
     2030: 5.321
     2060: 1.624

Education Forecast for Belize -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 115.4
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 98.27
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 89.43
     2030: 90.12
     2060: 100.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 54.46
     2030: 63.12
     2060: 84.16
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 13.60
     2030: 26.69
     2060: 34.52
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.378
     2030: 10.23
     2060: 11.59
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 78.14
     2030: 93.17
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Belize
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.029
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.064
     2030: 0.060
     2060: 0.006
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.778
     2030: 0.861
     2060: 0.932
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 15.33
     2030: 5.205
     2060: 1.935
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,698
     2030: 2,826
     2060: 3,059
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.938
     2030: 0.637
     2060: 0.391
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.240
     2030: 0.001
     2060: -0.071

Economy Forecast for Belize
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 2.029
     2030: 3.525
     2060: 7.106
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 1.352
     2030: 2.496
     2060: 5.698
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 6.161
     2030: 8.203
     2060: 13.52
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.352
     2030: 0.385
     2060: 0.396
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 61.96
     2030: 68.00
     2060: 46.63
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 15.40
     2030: 21.59
     2060: 33.77

Energy Forecast for Belize
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Belize
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Belize
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.003
     2030: 0.003
     2060: 0.003

Domestic Government Forecast for Belize
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 13.05
     2030: 13.76
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 14.33
     2030: 16.16
     2060: 18.20
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.964
     2030: 3.549
     2060: 4.655
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.103
     2030: 2.441
     2060: 2.971
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.883
     2030: 7.075
     2060: 7.367