Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 9.306
     2030: 8.584
     2060: 6.975
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.429
     2030: -0.621
     2060: -0.780
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 10.68
     2030: 8.420
     2060: 8.521
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 14.69
     2030: 14.40
     2060: 16.32
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 5.512
     2030: 4.216
     2060: 2.996
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 71.48
     2030: 74.49
     2060: 79.26
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 65.25
     2030: 68.21
     2060: 72.77
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 76.88
     2030: 79.88
     2060: 84.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.497
     2030: 1.545
     2060: 1.680
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.135
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.036
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.624
     2030: 0.443
     2060: 0.362
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.464
     2030: 1.233
     2060: 0.957
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 6.521
     2030: 5.609
     2060: 3.933
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.322
     2030: 1.741
     2060: 2.085
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 7.188
     2030: 7.168
     2060: 6.103
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.462
     2030: 0.431
     2060: 0.371
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 48.83
     2030: 48.83
     2060: 48.83

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 27.54
     2030: 28.13
     2060: 27.76
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 27.64
     2030: 29.21
     2060: 30.07
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 1.366
     2030: 1.591
     2060: 2.136
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 1.137
     2030: 1.846
     2060: 2.986
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.761
     2030: 4.276
     2060: 4.517

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 104.8
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 99.99
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 99.80
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 122.3
     2030: 107.8
     2060: 100.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 77.60
     2030: 76.35
     2060: 81.71
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 9.060
     2030: 10.53
     2060: 12.89
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.004
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.877
     2030: 0.914
     2060: 0.964
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.898
     2030: 1.481
     2060: 1.193
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,202
     2030: 3,235
     2060: 3,212
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.830
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 0.953
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.288
     2030: -1.025
     2060: -0.473

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 157.7
     2030: 207.7
     2060: 260.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 64.26
     2030: 109.2
     2060: 200.9
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 16.95
     2030: 24.19
     2060: 37.27
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.282
     2030: 0.291
     2060: 0.327
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 826,043,465,728
     2030: 750,940,323,840
     2060: 723,520,651,264
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 33.51
     2030: 41.77
     2060: 68.18

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.012
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.018
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.109
     2030: 0.093
     2060: 0.054

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 3.095
     2030: 3.386
     2060: 3.835
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.617
     2030: 5.192
     2060: 8.294
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.803
     2030: 4.051
     2060: 6.280
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.514
     2030: 2.012
     2060: 2.809
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.095
     2030: 7.305
     2060: 7.543