Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 9.454
     2030: 8.984
     2060: 7.609
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.193
     2030: -0.537
     2060: -0.600
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 11.86
     2030: 9.021
     2060: 9.484
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 13.61
     2030: 14.16
     2060: 15.48
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 3.339
     2030: 2.825
     2060: 2.037
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 73.03
     2030: 74.64
     2060: 78.54
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 67.12
     2030: 68.65
     2060: 72.40
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.17
     2030: 79.83
     2060: 83.91
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.713
     2030: 1.709
     2060: 1.777
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.353
     2030: 0.764
     2060: 1.870
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.576
     2030: 0.417
     2060: 0.367
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 1.584
     2030: 1.443
     2060: 1.181
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 6.473
     2030: 5.730
     2060: 4.374
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 1.397
     2030: 1.811
     2060: 2.053
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 7.327
     2030: 7.307
     2060: 6.501
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.502
     2030: 0.468
     2060: 0.422
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 48.87
     2030: 48.87
     2060: 48.87

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 27.13
     2030: 28.43
     2060: 30.00
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 28.31
     2030: 28.80
     2060: 30.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 2.014
     2030: 1.954
     2060: 1.974
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 2.319
     2030: 2.141
     2060: 2.599
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.435
     2030: 1.245
     2060: 1.045

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 101.5
     2030: 104.4
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 91.62
     2030: 96.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 101.7
     2030: 102.6
     2060: 99.85
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 116.7
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 99.62
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 85.57
     2030: 87.73
     2060: 92.76
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 8.871
     2030: 10.36
     2060: 13.20
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.95
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.009
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.044
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.162
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.882
     2030: 0.897
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 1.720
     2030: 1.600
     2060: 1.259
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,465
     2030: 3,545
     2060: 3,642
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.789
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.893
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.354
     2030: -1.162
     2060: -0.673

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 149.9
     2030: 160.0
     2060: 186.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 57.55
     2030: 69.23
     2060: 112.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 15.86
     2030: 17.81
     2060: 24.47
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.271
     2030: 0.308
     2060: 0.420
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 41.44
     2030: 30.52
     2060: 24.38
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 52.25
     2030: 59.64
     2060: 69.03

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.011
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.017
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.011

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.098
     2030: 0.079
     2060: 0.056

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 3.026
     2030: 3.273
     2060: 3.775
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 3.303
     2030: 4.569
     2060: 7.460
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.379
     2030: 2.958
     2060: 4.468
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.002
     2030: 2.231
     2060: 2.819
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.059
     2030: 7.139
     2060: 7.362