Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 7.53
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     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2020: 9.471
     2030: 9.226
     2060: 8.058
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2020: -0.100
     2030: -0.369
     2060: -0.525
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 11.01
     2030: 9.193
     2060: 9.510
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2020: 13.32
     2030: 13.58
     2060: 14.98
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2020: 5.592
     2030: 5.008
     2060: 3.775
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2020: 73.93
     2030: 75.19
     2060: 79.16
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2020: 68.14
     2030: 69.30
     2060: 73.37
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2020: 78.97
     2030: 80.31
     2060: 84.25
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2020: 1.711
     2030: 1.709
     2060: 1.777
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2020: 0.319
     2030: 0.628
     2060: 1.819
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2020: 0.552
     2030: 0.433
     2060: 0.388
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2020: 1.649
     2030: 1.481
     2060: 1.244
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2020: 6.341
     2030: 5.908
     2060: 4.659
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2020: 1.481
     2030: 1.836
     2060: 2.154
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2020: 7.557
     2030: 7.680
     2060: 6.930
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2020: 0.533
     2030: 0.522
     2060: 0.492
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2020: 49.65
     2030: 49.65
     2060: 49.65

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2020: 27.38
     2030: 28.75
     2060: 30.45
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2020: 28.40
     2030: 28.69
     2060: 30.45
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2020: 1.992
     2030: 1.908
     2060: 1.864
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.087
     2030: 1.870
     2060: 2.104
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2020: 2.288
     2030: 1.937
     2060: 1.490

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2020: 98.70
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2020: 95.66
     2030: 99.65
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 101.4
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 99.84
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 108.5
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.2
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2020: 85.45
     2030: 83.81
     2060: 86.52
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2020: 13.78
     2030: 14.26
     2060: 15.29
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2020: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2020: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 0.888
     2030: 0.904
     2060: 0.949
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2020: 1.650
     2030: 1.538
     2060: 1.182
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2020: 3,214
     2030: 3,296
     2060: 3,397
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2020: 0.816
     2030: 0.885
     2060: 0.884
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2020: -1.319
     2030: -1.182
     2060: -0.809

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 152.7
     2030: 173.7
     2060: 229.0
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 60.80
     2030: 75.81
     2060: 146.6
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2020: 16.12
     2030: 18.83
     2060: 28.42
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2020: 0.257
     2030: 0.254
     2060: 0.262
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2020: 33.26
     2030: 26.99
     2060: 22.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2020: 50.84
     2030: 52.37
     2060: 63.56

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2020: 0.011
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2020: 0.016
     2030: 0.014
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2020: 0.100
     2030: 0.091
     2060: 0.073

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2020: 3.029
     2030: 3.099
     2060: 3.274
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2020: 3.640
     2030: 4.569
     2060: 7.498
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2020: 2.453
     2030: 3.017
     2060: 4.889
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2020: 2.069
     2030: 2.290
     2060: 2.935
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2020: 6.600
     2030: 6.691
     2060: 6.944