Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 9.306
     2030: 8.577
     2060: 6.964
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: -0.434
     2030: -0.619
     2060: -0.798
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 10.68
     2030: 8.426
     2060: 8.529
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 14.74
     2030: 14.38
     2060: 16.51
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 5.546
     2030: 4.207
     2060: 3.047
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 71.43
     2030: 74.49
     2060: 79.06
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 65.19
     2030: 68.20
     2060: 72.56
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 76.83
     2030: 79.87
     2060: 84.61
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.497
     2030: 1.545
     2060: 1.680
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.135
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.036
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.624
     2030: 0.443
     2060: 0.362
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 1.464
     2030: 1.232
     2060: 0.956
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 6.521
     2030: 5.607
     2060: 3.931
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 1.322
     2030: 1.738
     2060: 2.077
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 7.187
     2030: 7.163
     2060: 6.093
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.462
     2030: 0.431
     2060: 0.372
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 48.83
     2030: 48.83
     2060: 48.83

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 27.54
     2030: 28.38
     2060: 28.17
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 27.63
     2030: 29.18
     2060: 30.16
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 1.366
     2030: 1.575
     2060: 2.101
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 1.122
     2030: 1.721
     2060: 2.727
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.764
     2030: 4.070
     2060: 4.185

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 104.8
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.54
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 99.98
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 99.68
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 99.76
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 122.3
     2030: 107.8
     2060: 100.1
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 77.51
     2030: 75.70
     2060: 79.53
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 9.059
     2030: 10.53
     2060: 12.87
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.002
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.876
     2030: 0.914
     2060: 0.961
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 1.908
     2030: 1.479
     2060: 1.197
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,202
     2030: 3,250
     2060: 3,236
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.829
     2030: 0.936
     2060: 0.952
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.289
     2030: -1.026
     2060: -0.475

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 155.8
     2030: 208.2
     2060: 251.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 63.48
     2030: 109.5
     2060: 191.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 16.74
     2030: 24.27
     2060: 36.11
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.285
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.428
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 27.24
     2030: 21.33
     2060: 17.06
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 33.30
     2030: 41.56
     2060: 65.01

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.012
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.018
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.109
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.056

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 3.093
     2030: 3.386
     2060: 3.826
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.617
     2030: 5.192
     2060: 8.279
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.780
     2030: 4.060
     2060: 6.142
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.507
     2030: 2.016
     2060: 2.796
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.089
     2030: 7.308
     2060: 7.533