Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 9.543
     2030: 9.014
     2060: 7.676
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: -0.180
     2030: -0.438
     2060: -0.628
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 11.17
     2030: 8.628
     2060: 8.863
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 14.01
     2030: 14.05
     2060: 16.16
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 6.177
     2030: 4.550
     2060: 3.240
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 71.31
     2030: 74.33
     2060: 78.36
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 65.13
     2030: 68.03
     2060: 71.74
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 76.68
     2030: 79.73
     2060: 83.98
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.478
     2030: 1.552
     2060: 1.684
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.135
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.642
     2030: 0.472
     2060: 0.411
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 1.476
     2030: 1.310
     2060: 1.079
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 6.772
     2030: 5.933
     2060: 4.425
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 1.296
     2030: 1.772
     2060: 2.173
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 7.049
     2030: 6.933
     2060: 6.158
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.510
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.415
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 49.50
     2030: 49.50
     2060: 49.50

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 27.62
     2030: 28.95
     2060: 29.96
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 38.95
     2030: 39.22
     2060: 39.52
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 1.323
     2030: 1.538
     2060: 1.958
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.577
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 0.790
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 101.6
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 97.34
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 97.32
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 100.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 81.16
     2030: 94.58
     2060: 97.13
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 73.80
     2030: 70.41
     2060: 63.17
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 8.338
     2030: 9.918
     2060: 11.91
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.006
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.004
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.009
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.864
     2030: 0.899
     2060: 0.943
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 2.078
     2030: 1.659
     2060: 1.328
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,207
     2030: 3,284
     2060: 3,341
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.258
     2030: -0.193
     2060: 0.067
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.462
     2030: -0.557
     2060: -0.351

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 130.4
     2030: 171.4
     2060: 212.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 48.09
     2030: 81.25
     2060: 144.6
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 13.67
     2030: 19.01
     2060: 27.67
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.273
     2030: 0.298
     2060: 0.350
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 38.95
     2030: 33.03
     2060: 38.98
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 30.29
     2030: 38.08
     2060: 54.30

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.013
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.017
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.019

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.125
     2030: 0.109
     2060: 0.072

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 3.035
     2030: 3.223
     2060: 3.444
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 3.388
     2030: 5.112
     2060: 8.019
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.683
     2030: 3.685
     2060: 5.255
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.463
     2030: 1.938
     2060: 2.616
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.970
     2030: 7.177
     2060: 7.394