Country Profile - Belarus      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Belarus
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Belarus -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 9.388
     2030: 8.808
     2060: 7.440
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: -0.264
     2030: -0.474
     2060: -0.645
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.00
     2030: 8.578
     2060: 8.848
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 14.65
     2030: 14.41
     2060: 16.38
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 5.538
     2030: 4.140
     2060: 3.052
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 71.32
     2030: 74.25
     2060: 78.07
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 65.09
     2030: 67.90
     2060: 71.35
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 76.72
     2030: 79.68
     2060: 83.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.507
     2030: 1.537
     2060: 1.675
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.136
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.036
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.631
     2030: 0.458
     2060: 0.397
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 1.458
     2030: 1.272
     2060: 1.044
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 6.614
     2030: 5.788
     2060: 4.319
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 1.316
     2030: 1.749
     2060: 2.077
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 7.088
     2030: 6.957
     2060: 6.126
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.467
     2030: 0.435
     2060: 0.385
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 48.98
     2030: 48.98
     2060: 48.98

Health Forecast for Belarus -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 27.52
     2030: 29.11
     2060: 30.01
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 38.96
     2030: 39.18
     2060: 39.41
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 1.364
     2030: 1.542
     2060: 1.962
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 1.310
     2030: 1.276
     2060: 1.379
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.777
     2030: 3.490
     2060: 2.773

Education Forecast for Belarus -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.2
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 100.1
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 99.08
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 97.93
     2030: 101.0
     2060: 100.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 122.5
     2030: 106.8
     2060: 99.53
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 77.62
     2030: 73.21
     2060: 63.34
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.478
     2030: 10.15
     2060: 12.29
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Belarus
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.863
     2030: 0.898
     2060: 0.939
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 1.925
     2030: 1.512
     2060: 1.231
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,201
     2030: 3,293
     2060: 3,344
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.821
     2030: 0.943
     2060: 0.965
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.304
     2030: -1.016
     2060: -0.448

Economy Forecast for Belarus
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 125.0
     2030: 164.8
     2060: 197.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 48.05
     2030: 80.46
     2060: 135.3
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 13.31
     2030: 18.71
     2060: 26.51
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.278
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.354
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 39.47
     2030: 42.85
     2060: 47.80
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 34.26
     2030: 38.28
     2060: 46.06

Energy Forecast for Belarus
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.012
     2030: 0.006
     2060: 0.001

Environment Forecast for Belarus
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.018
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Belarus
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.114
     2030: 0.099
     2060: 0.063

Domestic Government Forecast for Belarus
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 3.078
     2030: 3.409
     2060: 3.825
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.487
     2030: 5.095
     2060: 7.977
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.699
     2030: 3.674
     2060: 5.125
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.479
     2030: 1.961
     2060: 2.618
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.951
     2030: 7.156
     2060: 7.319