Country Profile - Bolivia      IFs Version 6.69
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Bolivia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bolivia -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 10.46
     2030: 13.67
     2060: 17.47
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.745
     2030: 1.310
     2060: 0.459
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 24.99
     2030: 19.48
     2060: 12.88
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 7.032
     2030: 6.377
     2060: 8.286
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 42.24
     2030: 20.49
     2060: 5.874
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 67.20
     2030: 71.90
     2060: 77.63
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 64.90
     2030: 69.21
     2060: 74.54
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 69.49
     2030: 74.60
     2060: 80.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 3.183
     2030: 2.337
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.082
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.550
     2030: 1.581
     2060: 1.360
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 3.781
     2030: 3.874
     2060: 3.405
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 6.187
     2030: 8.924
     2060: 11.63
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.492
     2030: 0.876
     2060: 2.428
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 7.067
     2030: 10.05
     2060: 14.13
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.462
     2030: 0.525
     2060: 0.544
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 44.76
     2030: 47.78
     2060: 49.51

Health Forecast for Bolivia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 38.76
     2030: 44.90
     2060: 58.92
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 33.01
     2030: 30.90
     2060: 28.70
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 4.578
     2030: 3.878
     2060: 2.398
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 3.730
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 23.55
     2030: 16.66
     2060: 4.612

Education Forecast for Bolivia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 105.8
     2030: 100.5
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 91.59
     2030: 99.78
     2060: 100.00
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 95.26
     2030: 100.6
     2060: 101.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 74.89
     2030: 84.75
     2060: 93.09
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 37.90
     2030: 38.32
     2060: 41.02
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 9.370
     2030: 10.19
     2060: 11.43
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 91.61
     2030: 95.18
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Bolivia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 1.394
     2030: 0.175
     2060: 0.160
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 2.495
     2030: 0.455
     2060: 0.423
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.746
     2030: 0.807
     2060: 0.898
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 9.828
     2030: 5.278
     2060: 2.099
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,217
     2030: 2,466
     2060: 2,952
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.449
     2030: -0.366
     2060: -0.195
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.658
     2030: -1.395
     2060: -0.841

Economy Forecast for Bolivia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 42.85
     2030: 84.16
     2060: 234.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 13.74
     2030: 33.57
     2060: 142.7
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 4.096
     2030: 6.154
     2060: 13.41
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.573
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.590
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 57.61
     2030: 66.73
     2060: 45.04
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 13.25
     2030: 19.55
     2060: 33.98

Energy Forecast for Bolivia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.018
     2030: 0.055
     2060: 0.027

Environment Forecast for Bolivia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.004
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.005

International Politics Forecast for Bolivia
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.064
     2030: 0.077
     2060: 0.102

Domestic Government Forecast for Bolivia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 10.08
     2030: 10.88
     2060: 12.35
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 16.95
     2030: 17.76
     2060: 19.37
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.851
     2030: 3.316
     2060: 4.667
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.054
     2030: 2.197
     2060: 3.044
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.184
     2030: 6.305
     2060: 6.947