Country Profile - Bolivia      IFs Version 7.26
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Bolivia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bolivia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 10.86
     2030: 12.78
     2060: 15.06
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.343
     2030: 0.866
     2060: 0.266
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 23.03
     2030: 17.29
     2060: 11.90
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.406
     2030: 6.816
     2060: 8.199
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 38.47
     2030: 21.53
     2060: 6.915
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 69.39
     2030: 73.87
     2060: 80.80
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 66.85
     2030: 71.04
     2060: 77.50
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 71.95
     2030: 76.72
     2060: 84.08
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.849
     2030: 2.175
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.170
     2030: 0.148
     2060: 0.055
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 1.187
     2030: 1.123
     2060: 0.909
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 3.473
     2030: 3.422
     2060: 2.791
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 6.672
     2030: 8.302
     2060: 9.575
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.713
     2030: 1.058
     2060: 2.694
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 7.524
     2030: 9.910
     2060: 13.03
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.495
     2030: 0.536
     2060: 0.533
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 45.22
     2030: 47.86
     2060: 49.62

Health Forecast for Bolivia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 38.60
     2030: 44.47
     2060: 58.40
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 25.56
     2030: 25.27
     2060: 25.13
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 4.484
     2030: 2.891
     2060: 2.321
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 3.218
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 15.18
     2030: 8.076
     2060: 2.844

Education Forecast for Bolivia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 111.1
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 95.76
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 103.5
     2030: 104.9
     2060: 106.2
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 79.49
     2030: 97.00
     2060: 98.26
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 38.69
     2030: 61.43
     2060: 95.48
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.32
     2030: 11.55
     2060: 13.98
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 94.98
     2030: 97.39
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Bolivia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.624
     2030: 0.259
     2060: 0.155
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 1.035
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.279
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.796
     2030: 0.845
     2060: 0.937
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 9.412
     2030: 5.795
     2060: 2.651
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,304
     2030: 2,545
     2060: 3,036
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.024
     2030: 0.043
     2060: 0.003
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.013
     2030: 0.080
     2060: 0.184

Economy Forecast for Bolivia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 71.25
     2030: 111.9
     2060: 292.7
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 30.87
     2030: 56.44
     2060: 222.8
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 6.562
     2030: 8.754
     2060: 19.44
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.483
     2030: 0.487
     2060: 0.550
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 47.45
     2030: 47.76
     2060: 48.93
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 14.78
     2030: 42.62
     2060: 66.92

Energy Forecast for Bolivia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.015
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.036

Environment Forecast for Bolivia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.005
     2030: 0.007
     2060: 0.009

International Politics Forecast for Bolivia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.072
     2030: 0.081
     2060: 0.119

Domestic Government Forecast for Bolivia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.08
     2030: 10.88
     2060: 12.52
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.05
     2030: 17.86
     2060: 19.51
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.867
     2030: 3.362
     2060: 5.179
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 1.951
     2030: 2.178
     2060: 3.045
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.537
     2030: 6.625
     2060: 7.135