Country Profile - Bolivia      IFs Version 7.08
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Bolivia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bolivia -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 10.83
     2030: 13.60
     2060: 16.61
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.607
     2030: 1.040
     2060: 0.353
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 25.29
     2030: 18.48
     2060: 12.42
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.026
     2030: 6.261
     2060: 7.855
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 40.43
     2030: 18.91
     2060: 5.187
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 67.44
     2030: 72.16
     2060: 78.92
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 65.13
     2030: 69.61
     2060: 76.19
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 69.74
     2030: 74.72
     2060: 81.68
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 3.215
     2030: 2.249
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.079
     2030: 0.064
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.580
     2030: 1.560
     2060: 1.270
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 3.868
     2030: 3.947
     2060: 3.234
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 6.449
     2030: 8.782
     2060: 10.96
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.516
     2030: 0.875
     2060: 2.412
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 7.377
     2030: 10.16
     2060: 13.74
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.484
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.557
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 45.85
     2030: 48.38
     2060: 49.72

Health Forecast for Bolivia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 39.41
     2030: 46.24
     2060: 61.99
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 30.05
     2030: 29.60
     2060: 30.00
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 4.475
     2030: 2.909
     2060: 2.267
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 3.787
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 22.36
     2030: 16.45
     2060: 7.062

Education Forecast for Bolivia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 102.2
     2030: 101.9
     2060: 100.6
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 84.54
     2030: 99.99
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 92.88
     2030: 110.8
     2060: 102.3
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 72.02
     2030: 102.4
     2060: 93.13
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 38.78
     2030: 50.05
     2060: 78.23
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 9.713
     2030: 10.31
     2060: 12.59
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 91.83
     2030: 95.22
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Bolivia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 1.346
     2030: 0.295
     2060: 0.021
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 2.191
     2030: 0.615
     2060: 0.060
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.768
     2030: 0.839
     2060: 0.957
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 9.537
     2030: 5.204
     2060: 2.188
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,244
     2030: 2,517
     2060: 3,050
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.007
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.091
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.071
     2030: 0.091
     2060: 0.395

Economy Forecast for Bolivia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 63.26
     2030: 143.8
     2060: 562.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 28.28
     2030: 85.56
     2060: 490.7
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 5.839
     2030: 10.57
     2060: 33.86
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.578
     2030: 0.569
     2060: 0.551
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,065,433,300,9
     2030: 1,118,015,586,3
     2060: 690,348,818,432
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 12.14
     2030: 24.82
     2060: 65.54

Energy Forecast for Bolivia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.014
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.025

Environment Forecast for Bolivia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.005
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.010

International Politics Forecast for Bolivia
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.070
     2030: 0.090
     2060: 0.135

Domestic Government Forecast for Bolivia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.05
     2030: 10.90
     2060: 12.67
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 16.97
     2030: 17.88
     2060: 19.70
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.918
     2030: 3.729
     2060: 7.079
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.079
     2030: 2.494
     2060: 3.524
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.435
     2030: 6.691
     2060: 7.385