Country Profile - Bahrain      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Bahrain
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Bahrain -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 1.440
     2030: 1.695
     2060: 1.863
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 1.671
     2030: 0.778
     2060: -0.267
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 13.80
     2030: 11.04
     2060: 10.24
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 2.631
     2030: 4.572
     2060: 14.44
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 5.963
     2030: 4.380
     2060: 2.073
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 77.06
     2030: 78.25
     2060: 81.38
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 76.32
     2030: 77.36
     2060: 80.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 78.21
     2030: 79.54
     2060: 82.87
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.993
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.105
     2030: 0.094
     2060: 0.095
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.301
     2030: 0.293
     2060: 0.295
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 1.099
     2030: 1.267
     2060: 1.049
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.039
     2030: 0.135
     2060: 0.520
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.400
     2030: 1.662
     2060: 1.823
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.481
     2030: 0.167
     2060: 0.100
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 22.62
     2030: 25.79
     2060: 31.60

Health Forecast for Bahrain -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 36.33
     2030: 38.35
     2060: 41.94
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 29.49
     2030: 28.58
     2060: 25.53
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 7.322
     2030: 6.751
     2060: 4.900
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 7.575
     2030: 6.853
     2060: 5.896
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.264
     2030: 2.603
     2060: 1.691

Education Forecast for Bahrain -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 101.0
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 90.43
     2030: 97.73
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 101.1
     2030: 102.9
     2060: 99.62
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 102.1
     2030: 98.89
     2060: 97.07
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 45.00
     2030: 47.50
     2060: 70.52
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 7.714
     2030: 8.746
     2060: 11.83
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 95.60
     2030: 99.42
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Bahrain
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.946
     2030: 0.969
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 3.621
     2030: 2.845
     2060: 1.925
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,231
     2030: 3,305
     2060: 3,421
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.480
     2030: 0.543
     2060: 0.643
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 1.173
     2030: 1.209
     2060: 1.282

Economy Forecast for Bahrain
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 62.96
     2030: 79.08
     2060: 115.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 36.56
     2030: 50.90
     2060: 85.08
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 43.73
     2030: 46.65
     2060: 61.78
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.321
     2030: 0.308
     2060: 0.246
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 41.64
     2030: 38.98
     2060: 32.53
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 54.87
     2030: 54.61
     2060: 76.64

Energy Forecast for Bahrain
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.063
     2030: 0.033
     2060: 0.009

Environment Forecast for Bahrain
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.008
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003

International Politics Forecast for Bahrain
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.056
     2030: 0.045
     2060: 0.032

Domestic Government Forecast for Bahrain
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 3.026
     2030: 3.201
     2060: 3.726
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 1.501
     2030: 2.973
     2060: 6.836
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 5.255
     2030: 6.051
     2060: 8.856
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 3.113
     2030: 3.296
     2060: 3.711
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.383
     2030: 7.493
     2060: 7.720