Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 6.69
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 9.627
     2030: 10.91
     2060: 11.38
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 1.460
     2030: 0.258
     2060: -0.138
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 22.85
     2030: 11.43
     2060: 10.83
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 7.669
     2030: 8.276
     2060: 11.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 36.61
     2030: 23.23
     2060: 12.85
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 71.14
     2030: 74.59
     2060: 79.49
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 68.18
     2030: 71.52
     2060: 76.33
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 74.03
     2030: 77.61
     2060: 82.62
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 2.518
     2030: 1.914
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.085
     2030: 0.068
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 1.163
     2030: 0.735
     2060: 0.718
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 2.192
     2030: 2.195
     2060: 1.879
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 6.847
     2030: 7.287
     2060: 6.890
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.588
     2030: 1.433
     2060: 2.607
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 4.990
     2030: 6.363
     2060: 7.775
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.443
     2030: 0.415
     2060: 0.377
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 50.20
     2030: 50.20
     2060: 50.20

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 29.04
     2030: 30.30
     2060: 32.31
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 24.09
     2030: 26.30
     2060: 28.26
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 7.935
     2030: 5.253
     2060: 3.795
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 8.469
     2030: 7.064
     2060: 7.081
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 4.957
     2030: 1.505
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 100.8
     2030: 106.5
     2060: 100.2
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 88.88
     2030: 99.95
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 101.0
     2030: 107.2
     2060: 100.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 110.2
     2030: 103.4
     2060: 99.36
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 20.42
     2030: 30.61
     2060: 38.47
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 7.551
     2030: 8.922
     2060: 11.33
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 99.82
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.180
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.841
     2030: 0.878
     2060: 0.931
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 9.390
     2030: 3.636
     2060: 1.944
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 3,087
     2030: 3,159
     2060: 3,270
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -1.915
     2030: -1.606
     2060: -1.426
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: -0.029
     2030: -0.075
     2060: 0.139

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 89.36
     2030: 137.9
     2060: 228.2
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 33.07
     2030: 62.13
     2060: 146.0
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 9.282
     2030: 12.64
     2060: 20.06
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.337
     2030: 0.369
     2060: 0.416
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 55.37
     2030: 54.21
     2060: 37.73
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.91
     2030: 26.71
     2060: 38.29

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.428
     2030: 0.327
     2060: 0.115

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.013
     2030: 0.015
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.101
     2030: 0.110
     2060: 0.102

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 5.047
     2030: 5.355
     2060: 5.834
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 3.357
     2030: 5.045
     2060: 7.955
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 2.511
     2030: 3.246
     2060: 4.516
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 1.710
     2030: 1.805
     2060: 2.529
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 6.486
     2030: 6.559
     2060: 7.033