Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 7.31
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 9.940
     2030: 10.71
     2060: 11.20
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.985
     2030: 0.384
     2060: -0.162
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 16.92
     2030: 11.88
     2060: 10.70
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.078
     2030: 8.041
     2060: 12.33
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 30.79
     2030: 24.25
     2060: 16.45
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 71.99
     2030: 74.28
     2060: 78.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 68.93
     2030: 71.09
     2060: 75.41
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 75.02
     2030: 77.42
     2060: 81.70
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.081
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.097
     2030: 0.135
     2060: 0.209
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.879
     2030: 0.625
     2060: 0.592
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 2.324
     2030: 2.138
     2060: 1.848
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 6.994
     2030: 7.280
     2060: 6.776
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.622
     2030: 1.293
     2060: 2.575
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 5.589
     2030: 6.811
     2060: 8.593
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.502
     2030: 0.485
     2060: 0.432
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 48.80
     2030: 48.80
     2060: 48.80

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 28.91
     2030: 31.05
     2060: 34.93
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 24.06
     2030: 25.63
     2060: 28.62
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.818
     2030: 2.826
     2060: 2.422
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.264
     2030: 0.655
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.471
     2030: 1.238
     2060: 0.980

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 103.8
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 85.39
     2030: 93.24
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 93.73
     2030: 97.96
     2060: 99.68
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 107.7
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 97.03
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 26.23
     2030: 37.13
     2060: 70.88
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.744
     2030: 9.415
     2060: 11.69
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.003
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.022
     2030: 0.005
     2060: 0.012
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.875
     2030: 0.901
     2060: 0.945
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 5.983
     2030: 2.832
     2060: 1.985
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,211
     2030: 3,332
     2060: 3,537
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.181
     2030: -0.147
     2060: 0.015
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.443
     2030: -1.316
     2060: -0.755

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 155.0
     2030: 212.2
     2060: 318.3
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 71.64
     2030: 113.8
     2060: 232.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 15.59
     2030: 19.81
     2060: 28.42
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.315
     2030: 0.352
     2060: 0.420
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 39.08
     2030: 35.05
     2060: 29.37
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 18.59
     2030: 26.92
     2060: 63.27

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.255
     2030: 0.153
     2060: 0.248

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.016

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.137
     2030: 0.146
     2060: 0.117

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 4.014
     2030: 4.204
     2060: 4.778
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 3.387
     2030: 4.591
     2060: 7.457
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.378
     2030: 3.222
     2060: 4.939
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.138
     2030: 2.397
     2060: 2.969
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.301
     2030: 6.441
     2060: 6.711