Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 7.26
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 9.879
     2030: 10.86
     2060: 11.32
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 1.176
     2030: 0.304
     2060: -0.157
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 19.31
     2030: 11.33
     2060: 10.62
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.547
     2030: 8.289
     2060: 12.19
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 40.31
     2030: 30.34
     2060: 20.52
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 70.88
     2030: 73.72
     2060: 78.46
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 67.70
     2030: 70.37
     2060: 75.12
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 74.03
     2030: 77.00
     2060: 81.74
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.233
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.087
     2030: 0.076
     2060: 0.028
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.975
     2030: 0.609
     2060: 0.590
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 2.240
     2030: 2.194
     2060: 1.862
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 7.058
     2030: 7.288
     2060: 6.823
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.581
     2030: 1.376
     2060: 2.632
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 5.391
     2030: 6.772
     2060: 8.490
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.507
     2030: 0.477
     2060: 0.428
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 48.63
     2030: 48.63
     2060: 48.63

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 28.82
     2030: 31.48
     2060: 35.16
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 24.03
     2030: 25.74
     2060: 28.68
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 4.817
     2030: 3.295
     2060: 2.829
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 3.790
     2030: 0.316
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.674
     2030: 3.228
     2060: 1.947

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 107.4
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 97.97
     2030: 99.98
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 94.14
     2030: 97.60
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 137.4
     2030: 131.4
     2060: 119.3
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 23.79
     2030: 42.03
     2060: 74.28
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 8.760
     2030: 10.19
     2060: 13.01
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.99
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.025
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.097
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.003
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.869
     2030: 0.898
     2060: 0.945
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 6.831
     2030: 3.374
     2060: 2.292
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,027
     2030: 3,173
     2060: 3,362
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -0.184
     2030: -0.145
     2060: 0.027
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.449
     2030: -1.316
     2060: -0.727

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 155.0
     2030: 213.1
     2060: 325.5
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 71.74
     2030: 112.9
     2060: 238.0
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 15.69
     2030: 19.63
     2060: 28.76
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.210
     2030: 0.210
     2060: 0.264
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 42.91
     2030: 35.38
     2060: 27.74
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 19.41
     2030: 37.85
     2060: 66.06

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.331
     2030: 0.238
     2060: 0.154

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.013
     2030: 0.016
     2060: 0.017

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.147
     2030: 0.167
     2060: 0.143

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 4.009
     2030: 4.353
     2060: 5.028
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 3.280
     2030: 4.709
     2060: 7.580
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.358
     2030: 3.232
     2060: 5.007
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.134
     2030: 2.339
     2060: 3.023
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 6.304
     2030: 6.399
     2060: 6.774