Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 9.523
     2030: 10.70
     2060: 11.30
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.078
     2030: 0.417
     2060: -0.125
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 17.78
     2030: 11.87
     2060: 10.40
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 6.982
     2030: 7.699
     2060: 11.65
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 38.64
     2030: 24.11
     2060: 15.53
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 71.12
     2030: 75.21
     2060: 80.58
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 68.16
     2030: 72.06
     2060: 77.36
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 74.03
     2030: 78.30
     2060: 83.72
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.929
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.085
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.964
     2030: 0.765
     2060: 0.708
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.119
     2030: 2.087
     2060: 1.846
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 6.871
     2030: 7.275
     2060: 6.641
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.534
     2030: 1.341
     2060: 2.809
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 5.228
     2030: 6.774
     2060: 8.402
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.502
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.409
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.39
     2030: 49.39
     2060: 49.39

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 29.02
     2030: 30.46
     2060: 31.62
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 20.97
     2030: 24.76
     2060: 24.67
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 8.108
     2030: 4.676
     2060: 3.900
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 6.938
     2030: 3.097
     2060: 4.766
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.898
     2030: 4.180
     2060: 3.737

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 104.7
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 94.81
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 98.63
     2030: 107.5
     2060: 102.1
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 114.5
     2030: 110.8
     2060: 100.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 21.06
     2030: 32.86
     2060: 59.30
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 8.718
     2030: 9.926
     2060: 12.36
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.009
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.874
     2030: 0.923
     2060: 0.981
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 9.561
     2030: 3.051
     2060: 2.134
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,087
     2030: 3,168
     2060: 3,231
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.167
     2030: -0.087
     2060: 0.143
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.411
     2030: -1.178
     2060: -0.494

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 158.0
     2030: 283.7
     2060: 500.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 74.79
     2030: 181.9
     2060: 423.1
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 16.60
     2030: 26.51
     2060: 44.33
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.344
     2030: 0.339
     2060: 0.326
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,066,065,592,3
     2030: 909,247,512,576
     2060: 599,905,730,560
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 19.90
     2030: 32.27
     2060: 64.33

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.347
     2030: 0.326
     2060: 0.087

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.014
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.130
     2030: 0.155
     2060: 0.121

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 5.085
     2030: 5.580
     2060: 6.355
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.452
     2030: 5.245
     2060: 8.343
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.603
     2030: 4.251
     2060: 7.007
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.778
     2030: 2.242
     2060: 3.090
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.106
     2030: 6.344
     2060: 6.742