Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 7.37
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 9.926
     2030: 10.64
     2060: 11.10
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.922
     2030: 0.353
     2060: -0.157
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 16.90
     2030: 11.83
     2060: 10.70
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.070
     2030: 8.096
     2060: 12.27
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 30.76
     2030: 25.18
     2060: 16.63
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 72.02
     2030: 74.18
     2060: 78.74
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 68.97
     2030: 71.02
     2060: 75.67
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 75.05
     2030: 77.30
     2060: 81.77
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 2.081
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.097
     2030: 0.135
     2060: 0.209
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.878
     2030: 0.618
     2060: 0.586
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 2.321
     2030: 2.123
     2060: 1.830
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 6.983
     2030: 7.230
     2060: 6.723
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.621
     2030: 1.289
     2060: 2.551
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 5.588
     2030: 6.805
     2060: 8.573
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.458
     2030: 0.235
     2060: 0.113
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 49.02
     2030: 49.02
     2060: 49.02

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 28.68
     2030: 30.63
     2060: 32.44
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 24.03
     2030: 25.35
     2060: 28.31
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 3.848
     2030: 3.397
     2060: 2.715
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.112
     2030: 1.366
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 2.411
     2030: 1.827
     2060: 1.387

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 103.7
     2030: 104.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 85.20
     2030: 92.15
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 93.49
     2030: 95.55
     2060: 99.46
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 61.02
     2030: 73.61
     2060: 92.19
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 25.84
     2030: 32.65
     2060: 71.45
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 8.731
     2030: 9.312
     2060: 11.52
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.019
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.502
     2030: 0.029
     2060: 0.005
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.876
     2030: 0.900
     2060: 0.945
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 4.802
     2030: 4.005
     2060: 1.970
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,198
     2030: 3,309
     2060: 3,408
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -0.181
     2030: -0.148
     2060: 0.011
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.443
     2030: -1.322
     2060: -0.783

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 155.8
     2030: 207.2
     2060: 311.4
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 70.41
     2030: 108.0
     2060: 222.5
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 15.69
     2030: 19.47
     2060: 28.05
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.210
     2030: 0.210
     2060: 0.242
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 36.30
     2030: 32.58
     2060: 27.78
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 16.31
     2030: 21.34
     2060: 63.42

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.272
     2030: 0.246
     2060: 0.172

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.011
     2030: 0.013
     2060: 0.014

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.135
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.108

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 3.009
     2030: 3.131
     2060: 3.554
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 3.389
     2030: 4.586
     2060: 7.445
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.391
     2030: 3.178
     2060: 4.894
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.142
     2030: 2.355
     2060: 2.925
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 6.344
     2030: 6.448
     2060: 6.721