Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 9.626
     2030: 10.69
     2060: 11.24
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 1.029
     2030: 0.413
     2060: -0.140
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 17.31
     2030: 11.87
     2060: 10.44
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.012
     2030: 7.743
     2060: 11.84
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 37.94
     2030: 24.78
     2060: 16.62
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 71.30
     2030: 75.07
     2060: 80.12
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 68.34
     2030: 71.93
     2060: 76.90
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 74.21
     2030: 78.16
     2060: 83.26
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.913
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.085
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.977
     2030: 0.764
     2060: 0.705
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 2.146
     2030: 2.083
     2060: 1.835
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 6.935
     2030: 7.273
     2060: 6.631
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.544
     2030: 1.338
     2060: 2.773
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 5.328
     2030: 6.771
     2060: 8.368
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.501
     2030: 0.473
     2060: 0.410
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 49.39
     2030: 49.39
     2060: 49.39

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 29.12
     2030: 30.57
     2060: 31.68
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 21.02
     2030: 24.59
     2060: 24.96
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 7.997
     2030: 4.657
     2060: 3.892
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 6.366
     2030: 3.022
     2060: 4.594
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 4.847
     2030: 4.114
     2060: 3.703

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 106.9
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 97.16
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 100.7
     2030: 107.6
     2060: 102.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 115.8
     2030: 110.8
     2060: 100.4
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 21.89
     2030: 32.59
     2060: 57.51
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 8.790
     2030: 9.921
     2060: 12.31
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.005
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.876
     2030: 0.921
     2060: 0.973
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 9.410
     2030: 3.107
     2060: 2.222
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 3,093
     2030: 3,174
     2060: 3,234
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -0.162
     2030: -0.090
     2060: 0.131
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.400
     2030: -1.183
     2060: -0.516

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 162.1
     2030: 276.9
     2060: 453.8
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 78.21
     2030: 175.1
     2060: 383.4
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 16.84
     2030: 25.89
     2060: 40.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.340
     2030: 0.371
     2060: 0.409
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 34.04
     2030: 23.25
     2060: 9.714
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 20.36
     2030: 32.19
     2060: 62.71

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.349
     2030: 0.323
     2060: 0.089

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.014
     2030: 0.020
     2060: 0.013

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.131
     2030: 0.153
     2060: 0.119

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 5.118
     2030: 5.572
     2060: 6.319
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 3.563
     2030: 5.239
     2060: 8.286
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 2.665
     2030: 4.176
     2060: 6.534
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 1.802
     2030: 2.227
     2060: 3.042
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 6.117
     2030: 6.330
     2060: 6.702