Country Profile - Azerbaijan      IFs Version 7.00
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Azerbaijan
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 9.615
     2030: 10.76
     2060: 11.10
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 1.267
     2030: 0.336
     2060: -0.221
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 20.27
     2030: 11.76
     2060: 10.72
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.020
     2030: 7.842
     2060: 12.35
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 37.47
     2030: 22.93
     2060: 15.79
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 71.19
     2030: 74.77
     2060: 78.67
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 68.24
     2030: 71.67
     2060: 75.51
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 74.09
     2030: 77.82
     2060: 81.78
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 2.227
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.085
     2030: 0.069
     2060: 0.022
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 1.073
     2030: 0.751
     2060: 0.700
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 2.226
     2030: 2.128
     2060: 1.812
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 6.855
     2030: 7.316
     2060: 6.708
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.533
     2030: 1.321
     2060: 2.585
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 5.230
     2030: 6.707
     2060: 8.145
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.506
     2030: 0.482
     2060: 0.429
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 49.06
     2030: 49.06
     2060: 49.06

Health Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 28.97
     2030: 31.79
     2060: 32.03
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 24.18
     2030: 26.91
     2060: 28.09
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 7.912
     2030: 5.680
     2060: 3.840
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 7.262
     2030: 3.902
     2060: 3.764
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 4.926
     2030: 3.375
     2060: 3.469

Education Forecast for Azerbaijan -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 102.1
     2030: 101.5
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 92.23
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 97.90
     2030: 108.3
     2060: 104.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 113.2
     2030: 106.9
     2060: 98.99
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 20.50
     2030: 29.72
     2060: 38.13
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 7.637
     2030: 9.043
     2060: 11.37
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Azerbaijan
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.843
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.923
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 9.417
     2030: 6.221
     2060: 2.234
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 3,084
     2030: 3,241
     2060: 3,254
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -0.169
     2030: -0.090
     2060: 0.091
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.413
     2030: -1.180
     2060: -0.568

Economy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 90.26
     2030: 166.7
     2060: 210.1
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 32.88
     2030: 82.93
     2060: 130.8
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 9.388
     2030: 15.49
     2060: 18.92
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.342
     2030: 0.342
     2060: 0.336
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 60.10
     2030: 60.69
     2060: 46.46
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.85
     2030: 27.73
     2060: 32.55

Energy Forecast for Azerbaijan
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.348
     2030: 0.319
     2060: 0.100

Environment Forecast for Azerbaijan
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.013
     2030: 0.018
     2060: 0.006

International Politics Forecast for Azerbaijan
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.097
     2030: 0.116
     2060: 0.083

Domestic Government Forecast for Azerbaijan
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 5.110
     2030: 5.683
     2060: 6.427
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 3.452
     2030: 5.181
     2060: 8.070
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 2.539
     2030: 3.611
     2060: 4.423
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 1.754
     2030: 2.172
     2060: 2.703
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 6.114
     2030: 6.413
     2060: 6.738