Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.37
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2019: 328.7
     2030: 351.7
     2060: 389.7
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2019: 0.687
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.282
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 12.50
     2030: 11.99
     2060: 11.02
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2019: 8.490
     2030: 9.344
     2060: 10.48
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2019: 5.081
     2030: 3.921
     2060: 1.946
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2019: 79.88
     2030: 81.40
     2060: 85.15
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2019: 77.59
     2030: 79.20
     2060: 83.06
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2019: 82.13
     2030: 83.57
     2060: 87.23
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2019: 1.863
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.890
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2019: 0.393
     2030: 0.329
     2060: 0.108
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2019: 19.92
     2030: 21.03
     2060: 21.41
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2019: 61.56
     2030: 62.99
     2060: 64.54
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2019: 213.6
     2030: 216.4
     2060: 231.3
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2019: 53.53
     2030: 72.31
     2060: 93.78
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2019: 272.9
     2030: 302.5
     2060: 353.0
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2019: 0.448
     2030: 0.343
     2060: 0.296
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2019: 46.92
     2030: 48.65
     2060: 49.86

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2019: 59.67
     2030: 60.50
     2060: 59.70
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2019: 17.12
     2030: 16.71
     2060: 16.72
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2019: 1.973
     2030: 1.987
     2060: 2.084
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 1.773
     2030: 0.858
     2060: 2.253
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2019: 2.153
     2030: 1.871
     2060: 1.440

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2019: 101.4
     2030: 101.8
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2019: 94.86
     2030: 99.92
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 101.8
     2030: 105.6
     2060: 99.70
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 94.59
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 98.72
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2019: 85.82
     2030: 89.29
     2060: 97.78
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2019: 13.54
     2030: 13.77
     2060: 14.52
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2019: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 3.301
     2030: 2.193
     2060: 0.726
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2019: 15.89
     2030: 11.80
     2060: 5.049
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 0.990
     2030: 1.000
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2019: 1.577
     2030: 1.435
     2060: 1.015
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2019: 3,628
     2030: 3,655
     2060: 3,630
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 0.705
     2030: 0.578
     2060: 0.035
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2019: 1.498
     2030: 1.470
     2060: 1.384

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 18,351
     2030: 21,846
     2060: 35,672
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 18,404
     2030: 21,902
     2060: 35,730
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2019: 55.83
     2030: 62.11
     2060: 91.55
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2019: 0.413
     2030: 0.411
     2060: 0.408
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2019: 40.86
     2030: 35.24
     2060: 33.64
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2019: 75.22
     2030: 83.71
     2060: 91.05

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2019: 3.282
     2030: 3.281
     2060: 1.449

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2019: 1.370
     2030: 1.213
     2060: 0.809

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2019: 17.90
     2030: 14.92
     2060: 11.78

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2019: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2019: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2019: 7.577
     2030: 8.665
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2019: 4.001
     2030: 4.093
     2060: 4.401
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2019: 7.966
     2030: 8.020
     2060: 8.217