Country Profile - Argentina      IFs Version 7.24
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for Argentina
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Argentina -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 43.80
     2030: 48.30
     2060: 53.45
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.894
     2030: 0.538
     2060: 0.083
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 16.99
     2030: 13.55
     2060: 11.14
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.550
     2030: 7.961
     2060: 10.17
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 12.99
     2030: 8.799
     2060: 4.617
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 76.71
     2030: 78.76
     2060: 82.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 72.78
     2030: 74.63
     2060: 77.54
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 80.48
     2030: 82.74
     2060: 86.46
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 2.267
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.900
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.302
     2030: 0.262
     2060: 0.097
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 3.711
     2030: 3.242
     2060: 2.993
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 10.95
     2030: 10.25
     2060: 9.218
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 27.98
     2030: 31.57
     2060: 32.80
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 4.866
     2030: 6.484
     2060: 11.43
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 40.29
     2030: 44.44
     2060: 49.17
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.457
     2030: 0.481
     2060: 0.466
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 41.02
     2030: 44.25
     2060: 47.79

Health Forecast for Argentina -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 47.44
     2030: 50.29
     2060: 52.92
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 25.63
     2030: 25.79
     2060: 25.45
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 2.312
     2030: 2.177
     2060: 2.181
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 2.330
     2030: 2.980
     2060: 1.959
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.668
     2030: 3.474
     2060: 2.271

Education Forecast for Argentina -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 109.8
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 98.37
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 128.1
     2030: 114.8
     2060: 108.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 83.63
     2030: 89.03
     2060: 99.97
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 76.58
     2030: 75.86
     2060: 70.92
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 9.803
     2030: 10.64
     2060: 12.28
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 98.26
     2030: 99.73
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Argentina
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.911
     2030: 0.937
     2060: 0.971
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.392
     2030: 1.740
     2060: 1.214
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,278
     2030: 3,389
     2060: 3,488
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.546
     2030: 0.591
     2060: 0.467
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.348
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.619

Economy Forecast for Argentina
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 892.8
     2030: 1,184
     2060: 1,694
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 583.4
     2030: 856.4
     2060: 1,493
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 20.39
     2030: 24.52
     2060: 31.70
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.425
     2030: 0.451
     2060: 0.497
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 20.30
     2030: 17.86
     2060: 18.83
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 17.06
     2030: 25.01
     2060: 41.61

Energy Forecast for Argentina
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.204
     2030: 0.108
     2060: 0.012

Environment Forecast for Argentina
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.052
     2030: 0.063
     2060: 0.046

International Politics Forecast for Argentina
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.613
     2030: 0.593
     2060: 0.523

Domestic Government Forecast for Argentina
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 12.07
     2030: 12.66
     2060: 13.82
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.07
     2030: 18.70
     2060: 19.81
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.023
     2030: 4.001
     2060: 5.907
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.338
     2030: 2.649
     2060: 3.215
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 5.190
     2030: 5.264
     2060: 5.366