Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.15
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 3.000
     2030: 2.977
     2060: 2.723
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.033
     2030: -0.170
     2060: -0.414
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 13.04
     2030: 9.870
     2060: 9.046
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.128
     2030: 9.904
     2060: 13.18
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 18.87
     2030: 13.88
     2060: 6.808
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 74.52
     2030: 76.88
     2060: 82.62
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 71.40
     2030: 73.65
     2060: 79.27
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 77.82
     2030: 80.30
     2060: 86.11
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.748
     2030: 1.771
     2060: 1.820
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.080
     2030: 0.065
     2060: 0.021
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.243
     2030: 0.175
     2060: 0.147
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.606
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.384
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.079
     2030: 1.991
     2060: 1.541
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.314
     2030: 0.503
     2060: 0.798
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.906
     2030: 1.899
     2060: 1.788
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.499
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.426
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 43.02
     2030: 45.75
     2060: 48.53

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 23.65
     2030: 25.49
     2060: 30.24
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 27.23
     2030: 28.97
     2060: 30.80
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 4.930
     2030: 4.129
     2060: 3.154
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.387
     2030: 1.650
     2060: 0.210
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.824
     2030: 4.496
     2060: 2.945

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 107.4
     2030: 107.1
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 88.53
     2030: 100.00
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 98.71
     2030: 108.8
     2060: 100.5
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 84.37
     2030: 103.8
     2060: 103.6
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 51.28
     2030: 54.13
     2060: 74.15
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 11.06
     2030: 11.66
     2060: 13.31
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.99
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.075
     2030: 0.017
     2060: 0.005
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.548
     2030: 0.177
     2060: 0.042
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.851
     2030: 0.890
     2060: 0.981
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.906
     2030: 2.127
     2060: 1.312
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,873
     2030: 2,985
     2060: 3,249
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.484
     2030: 0.487
     2060: 0.567
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.255
     2030: -1.084
     2060: -0.617

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 23.50
     2030: 37.05
     2060: 98.45
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.84
     2030: 25.07
     2060: 89.29
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 7.834
     2030: 12.45
     2060: 36.16
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.324
     2030: 0.351
     2060: 0.438
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 49.45
     2030: 49.78
     2060: 33.08
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 35.58
     2030: 41.52
     2060: 73.05

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.026
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.030

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 6.155
     2030: 6.487
     2060: 7.307
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.63
     2030: 16.68
     2060: 17.95
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.879
     2030: 3.665
     2060: 6.872
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.496
     2030: 2.871
     2060: 3.681
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.533
     2030: 7.807
     2060: 8.410