Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 3.024
     2030: 2.982
     2060: 2.578
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: -0.031
     2030: -0.310
     2060: -0.642
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 12.74
     2030: 9.026
     2060: 8.421
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 9.367
     2030: 10.47
     2060: 14.84
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 12.59
     2030: 10.49
     2060: 7.054
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 75.31
     2030: 76.77
     2060: 80.12
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 71.30
     2030: 72.65
     2060: 75.85
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 78.90
     2030: 80.47
     2060: 84.02
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.506
     2030: 1.580
     2060: 1.694
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.131
     2030: 0.107
     2060: 0.035
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.206
     2030: 0.139
     2060: 0.109
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.572
     2030: 0.484
     2060: 0.347
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.121
     2030: 1.962
     2060: 1.475
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.330
     2030: 0.537
     2060: 0.756
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.891
     2030: 1.884
     2060: 1.727
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.515
     2030: 0.492
     2060: 0.432
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 46.75
     2030: 48.88
     2060: 49.90

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 23.38
     2030: 25.74
     2060: 30.40
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 26.47
     2030: 27.66
     2060: 30.49
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 6.244
     2030: 4.994
     2060: 3.404
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 5.918
     2030: 3.774
     2060: 1.305
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 5.211
     2030: 3.503
     2060: 1.853

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 98.54
     2030: 103.7
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 80.85
     2030: 88.39
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 90.43
     2030: 97.39
     2060: 97.75
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 88.88
     2030: 88.09
     2060: 89.64
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 44.07
     2030: 45.53
     2060: 64.84
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.81
     2030: 10.80
     2060: 11.24
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 99.91
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.008
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.007
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.383
     2030: 0.213
     2060: 0.140
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.858
     2030: 0.882
     2060: 0.929
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 2.531
     2030: 2.038
     2060: 1.387
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,002
     2030: 3,154
     2060: 3,427
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.484
     2030: 0.479
     2060: 0.485
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.318
     2030: -1.191
     2060: -0.879

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 24.97
     2030: 32.24
     2060: 47.26
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 12.79
     2030: 18.95
     2060: 36.18
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 8.257
     2030: 10.81
     2060: 18.34
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.318
     2030: 0.334
     2060: 0.429
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 52.07
     2030: 50.57
     2060: 26.60
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 33.88
     2030: 35.60
     2060: 60.77

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.027
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.021

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 7.009
     2030: 7.073
     2060: 7.473
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 15.25
     2030: 16.32
     2060: 17.04
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 2.693
     2030: 3.249
     2060: 4.555
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.382
     2030: 2.651
     2060: 3.165
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.699
     2030: 7.870
     2060: 8.181