Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.37
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 2.957
     2030: 3.011
     2060: 2.675
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.476
     2030: -0.099
     2060: -0.680
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 12.82
     2030: 10.09
     2060: 8.918
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 9.659
     2030: 10.58
     2060: 14.01
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 11.97
     2030: 10.32
     2060: 6.570
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 74.77
     2030: 76.15
     2060: 80.10
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 71.39
     2030: 72.74
     2060: 76.72
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 77.77
     2030: 79.22
     2060: 83.29
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.616
     2030: 1.669
     2060: 1.752
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.134
     2030: 0.111
     2060: 0.036
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.197
     2030: 0.153
     2060: 0.121
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.595
     2030: 0.513
     2060: 0.381
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.026
     2030: 1.994
     2060: 1.562
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.336
     2030: 0.505
     2060: 0.733
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.834
     2030: 1.844
     2060: 1.713
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.459
     2030: 0.306
     2060: 0.163
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 47.54
     2030: 49.22
     2060: 49.96

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 23.52
     2030: 25.24
     2060: 28.26
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 26.39
     2030: 27.55
     2060: 31.20
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 5.114
     2030: 4.265
     2060: 3.292
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 4.707
     2030: 3.085
     2060: 1.301
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 3.862
     2030: 2.989
     2060: 1.855

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 98.24
     2030: 103.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 81.64
     2030: 89.52
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 90.76
     2030: 95.48
     2060: 98.11
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 88.70
     2030: 87.51
     2060: 92.77
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 43.60
     2030: 43.74
     2060: 69.85
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 10.36
     2030: 10.29
     2060: 10.65
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 99.97
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.062
     2030: 0.042
     2060: 0.002
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.165
     2030: 0.112
     2060: 0.009
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.857
     2030: 0.877
     2060: 0.933
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 2.249
     2030: 1.900
     2060: 1.336
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,011
     2030: 3,124
     2060: 3,312
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.482
     2030: 0.475
     2060: 0.482
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.308
     2030: -1.193
     2060: -0.874

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 25.11
     2030: 31.70
     2060: 52.38
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 12.82
     2030: 18.11
     2060: 40.98
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 8.493
     2030: 10.53
     2060: 19.58
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.328
     2030: 0.346
     2060: 0.355
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 51.00
     2030: 49.36
     2060: 31.28
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 34.07
     2030: 37.45
     2060: 64.60

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.002
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.026
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.021

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 6.999
     2030: 7.003
     2060: 7.428
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 15.36
     2030: 15.94
     2060: 16.86
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 2.710
     2030: 3.153
     2060: 4.665
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.386
     2030: 2.605
     2060: 3.185
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.626
     2030: 7.755
     2060: 8.116