Country Profile - Armenia      IFs Version 7.26
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     Forecast Categories for Armenia
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Armenia -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 3.014
     2030: 2.962
     2060: 2.570
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: -0.007
     2030: -0.315
     2060: -0.601
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 12.86
     2030: 9.074
     2060: 8.485
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 9.379
     2030: 10.56
     2060: 14.49
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 12.69
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 6.645
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 75.27
     2030: 76.94
     2060: 80.87
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 71.26
     2030: 72.88
     2060: 76.75
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 78.85
     2030: 80.58
     2060: 84.66
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.520
     2030: 1.595
     2060: 1.705
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.133
     2030: 0.115
     2060: 0.043
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.206
     2030: 0.136
     2060: 0.109
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.571
     2030: 0.471
     2060: 0.344
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.114
     2030: 1.944
     2060: 1.459
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.329
     2030: 0.546
     2060: 0.767
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.888
     2030: 1.879
     2060: 1.724
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.517
     2030: 0.493
     2060: 0.430
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 46.75
     2030: 48.97
     2060: 49.91

Health Forecast for Armenia -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 23.37
     2030: 25.87
     2060: 29.84
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 26.47
     2030: 27.75
     2060: 30.67
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 5.208
     2030: 3.970
     2060: 3.175
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 5.135
     2030: 4.492
     2060: 2.375
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 5.677
     2030: 3.726
     2060: 2.127

Education Forecast for Armenia -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 101.6
     2030: 101.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 84.87
     2030: 98.01
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 98.31
     2030: 98.31
     2060: 100.0
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 88.00
     2030: 91.55
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 43.91
     2030: 46.36
     2060: 60.11
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.83
     2030: 11.17
     2060: 12.26
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 99.91
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Armenia
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.023
     2030: 0.010
     2060: 0.014
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.413
     2030: 0.222
     2060: 0.140
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.856
     2030: 0.881
     2060: 0.936
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 2.301
     2030: 1.852
     2060: 1.310
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 2,899
     2030: 3,058
     2060: 3,290
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.483
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.484
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.319
     2030: -1.187
     2060: -0.872

Economy Forecast for Armenia
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 23.86
     2030: 31.00
     2060: 48.88
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 12.19
     2030: 18.12
     2060: 38.34
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 7.914
     2030: 10.47
     2060: 19.02
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.321
     2030: 0.337
     2060: 0.444
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 51.80
     2030: 49.75
     2060: 51.75
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 36.19
     2030: 40.83
     2060: 57.92

Energy Forecast for Armenia
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.000
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000

Environment Forecast for Armenia
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Armenia
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.026
     2030: 0.026
     2060: 0.023

Domestic Government Forecast for Armenia
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 7.024
     2030: 7.225
     2060: 7.857
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 15.25
     2030: 16.30
     2060: 17.05
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 2.676
     2030: 3.239
     2060: 4.661
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.371
     2030: 2.649
     2060: 3.198
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.690
     2030: 7.865
     2060: 8.213