Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.08
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     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 3.186
     2030: 3.324
     2060: 3.026
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.348
     2030: -0.080
     2060: -0.350
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 13.22
     2030: 11.06
     2060: 9.205
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.254
     2030: 8.869
     2060: 11.97
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 15.14
     2030: 11.92
     2060: 7.226
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 77.41
     2030: 79.53
     2060: 83.83
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 74.29
     2030: 76.22
     2060: 80.21
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 80.54
     2030: 82.80
     2060: 87.40
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.735
     2030: 1.798
     2060: 1.837
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.239
     2030: 0.244
     2060: 0.176
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.632
     2030: 0.639
     2060: 0.463
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.204
     2030: 2.108
     2060: 1.720
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.350
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.843
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.786
     2030: 2.320
     2060: 2.524
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.444
     2030: 0.420
     2060: 0.386
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 42.32
     2030: 45.58
     2060: 48.43

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 30.98
     2030: 31.64
     2060: 34.06
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 39.57
     2030: 39.18
     2060: 39.31
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 6.117
     2030: 5.270
     2060: 4.144
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 6.195
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.073
     2030: 5.326
     2060: 4.971

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 117.9
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 85.72
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 93.49
     2030: 113.3
     2060: 105.8
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 81.61
     2030: 109.9
     2060: 103.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 38.46
     2030: 42.38
     2060: 47.57
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 10.77
     2030: 12.03
     2060: 13.99
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 97.26
     2030: 98.68
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2014: 0.083
     2030: 0.028
     2060: 0.001
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.866
     2030: 0.898
     2060: 0.965
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 3.770
     2030: 2.816
     2060: 1.601
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,916
     2030: 2,949
     2060: 3,072
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.472
     2030: 0.524
     2060: 0.527
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.519
     2030: -1.311
     2060: -0.806

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 28.96
     2030: 40.02
     2060: 71.86
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 13.46
     2030: 21.77
     2060: 57.11
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2014: 9.089
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 23.75
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.346
     2030: 0.341
     2060: 0.364
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 1,102,632,976,3
     2030: 1,110,998,777,8
     2060: 814,650,818,560
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 20.30
     2030: 25.74
     2060: 37.48

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.008
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index, Global Power Index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.026
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.018

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.13
     2030: 10.96
     2060: 12.26
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.74
     2030: 19.45
     2060: 18.93
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.346
     2030: 3.922
     2060: 5.508
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.277
     2030: 2.580
     2060: 3.161
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.336
     2030: 7.492
     2060: 7.786