Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.15
  Continue    Change Country    Display Options    Map Source    Help  


Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
www.ifs.du.edu


Sign up for our monthly newsletter.

     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2015: 3.198
     2030: 3.324
     2060: 3.032
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2015: 0.345
     2030: -0.077
     2060: -0.343
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 13.54
     2030: 11.07
     2060: 9.223
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2015: 7.373
     2030: 8.849
     2060: 11.99
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2015: 14.89
     2030: 11.71
     2060: 7.105
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2015: 77.54
     2030: 79.58
     2060: 83.89
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2015: 74.40
     2030: 76.26
     2060: 80.25
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2015: 80.68
     2030: 82.85
     2060: 87.46
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2015: 1.748
     2030: 1.798
     2060: 1.837
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2015: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2015: 0.242
     2030: 0.244
     2060: 0.176
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2015: 0.618
     2030: 0.639
     2060: 0.464
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2015: 2.220
     2030: 2.108
     2060: 1.723
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2015: 0.360
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.845
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2015: 1.821
     2030: 2.321
     2060: 2.532
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2015: 0.447
     2030: 0.420
     2060: 0.386
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2015: 42.58
     2030: 45.58
     2060: 48.43

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2015: 31.17
     2030: 32.11
     2060: 35.01
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2015: 39.52
     2030: 39.23
     2060: 39.40
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2015: 6.104
     2030: 5.177
     2060: 4.017
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 6.130
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2015: 5.024
     2030: 5.097
     2060: 4.468

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2015: 118.4
     2030: 102.5
     2060: 100.3
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2015: 86.44
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 93.03
     2030: 113.0
     2060: 104.9
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 81.88
     2030: 109.5
     2060: 102.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2015: 38.33
     2030: 42.31
     2060: 47.13
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2015: 10.85
     2030: 12.02
     2060: 13.96
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2015: 97.35
     2030: 98.68
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.015
     2030: 0.004
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2015: 0.093
     2030: 0.032
     2060: 0.018
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 0.869
     2030: 0.900
     2060: 0.967
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2015: 3.724
     2030: 2.764
     2060: 1.560
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2015: 2,925
     2030: 2,973
     2060: 3,118
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2015: 0.478
     2030: 0.527
     2060: 0.536
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2015: -1.502
     2030: -1.306
     2060: -0.788

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 29.75
     2030: 41.32
     2060: 74.90
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 13.90
     2030: 22.83
     2060: 60.82
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2015: 9.305
     2030: 12.43
     2060: 24.71
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2015: 0.295
     2030: 0.306
     2060: 0.404
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2015: 46.85
     2030: 46.97
     2060: 28.13
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2015: 20.53
     2030: 25.87
     2060: 37.87

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2015: 0.008
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2015: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.000

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2015: 0.025
     2030: 0.023
     2060: 0.020

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2015: 10.19
     2030: 10.97
     2060: 12.27
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2015: 18.72
     2030: 19.45
     2060: 18.94
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2015: 3.375
     2030: 3.969
     2060: 5.623
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2015: 2.298
     2030: 2.602
     2060: 3.204
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2015: 7.346
     2030: 7.511
     2060: 7.824