Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 6.69
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     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2013: 3.210
     2030: 3.244
     2060: 2.881
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2013: 0.058
     2030: -0.206
     2060: -0.581
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 12.04
     2030: 9.510
     2060: 7.802
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2013: 6.508
     2030: 8.641
     2060: 13.62
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2013: 17.28
     2030: 13.33
     2060: 9.709
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2013: 77.28
     2030: 79.57
     2060: 83.07
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2013: 74.15
     2030: 76.21
     2060: 79.47
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2013: 80.42
     2030: 82.87
     2060: 86.54
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2013: 1.412
     2030: 1.499
     2060: 1.651
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2013: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2013: 0.233
     2030: 0.197
     2060: 0.139
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2013: 0.662
     2030: 0.520
     2060: 0.358
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2013: 2.218
     2030: 2.171
     2060: 1.618
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2013: 0.330
     2030: 0.553
     2060: 0.905
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2013: 1.618
     2030: 2.052
     2060: 2.170
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2013: 0.455
     2030: 0.454
     2060: 0.390
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2013: 43.17
     2030: 46.52
     2060: 48.94

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2013: 30.96
     2030: 33.57
     2060: 36.30
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2013: 21.67
     2030: 22.98
     2060: 24.51
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2013: 6.063
     2030: 5.065
     2060: 3.944
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 6.236
     2030: 0.838
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2013: 5.468
     2030: 2.467
     2060: 0.000

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2013: 117.8
     2030: 109.6
     2060: 100.7
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2013: 84.19
     2030: 99.86
     2060: 99.93
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 94.04
     2030: 110.1
     2060: 104.6
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 53.71
     2030: 74.55
     2060: 84.93
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2013: 19.38
     2030: 25.52
     2060: 34.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2013: 10.47
     2030: 11.02
     2060: 12.59
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2013: 96.31
     2030: 97.97
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.001
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2013: 0.093
     2030: 0.037
     2060: 0.028
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 0.853
     2030: 0.894
     2060: 0.943
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2013: 4.291
     2030: 3.135
     2060: 1.732
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2013: 2,914
     2030: 3,047
     2060: 3,179
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.280
     2030: 0.174
     2060: 0.191
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2013: 0.562
     2030: 0.258
     2060: 0.261

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 24.85
     2030: 37.19
     2060: 49.70
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 11.25
     2030: 20.57
     2060: 34.97
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2013: 7.742
     2030: 11.46
     2060: 17.25
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2013: 0.344
     2030: 0.378
     2060: 0.429
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2013: 54.87
     2030: 67.52
     2060: 52.14
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2013: 15.02
     2030: 24.09
     2060: 36.88

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2013: 0.005
     2030: 0.012
     2060: 0.005

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2013: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.002

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2013: 0.028
     2030: 0.027
     2060: 0.019

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2013: 10.03
     2030: 10.70
     2060: 11.49
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2013: 19.09
     2030: 19.44
     2060: 18.97
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2013: 3.344
     2030: 3.989
     2060: 4.846
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2013: 2.270
     2030: 2.641
     2060: 3.092
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2013: 7.072
     2030: 7.302
     2060: 7.512