Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.30
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     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2017: 2.918
     2030: 3.002
     2060: 2.680
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2017: 0.313
     2030: -0.116
     2060: -0.519
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 13.96
     2030: 11.14
     2060: 9.187
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2017: 7.585
     2030: 9.311
     2060: 12.26
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2017: 13.51
     2030: 11.10
     2060: 7.668
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2017: 78.29
     2030: 79.85
     2060: 83.31
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2017: 75.75
     2030: 77.15
     2060: 80.34
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2017: 80.81
     2030: 82.50
     2060: 86.27
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2017: 1.790
     2030: 1.797
     2060: 1.834
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2017: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2017: 0.195
     2030: 0.183
     2060: 0.130
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2017: 0.532
     2030: 0.577
     2060: 0.413
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2017: 2.016
     2030: 1.865
     2060: 1.537
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2017: 0.371
     2030: 0.559
     2060: 0.730
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2017: 1.709
     2030: 2.012
     2060: 2.159
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2017: 0.449
     2030: 0.415
     2060: 0.395
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2017: 41.86
     2030: 44.83
     2060: 48.19

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2017: 30.97
     2030: 32.91
     2060: 35.78
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2017: 29.67
     2030: 30.18
     2060: 31.97
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2017: 5.686
     2030: 4.901
     2060: 3.639
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 5.523
     2030: 3.884
     2060: 1.903
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2017: 1.387
     2030: 1.197
     2060: 1.022

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2017: 111.7
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2017: 92.18
     2030: 99.01
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 102.8
     2030: 100.4
     2060: 99.55
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 89.32
     2030: 90.27
     2060: 92.15
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2017: 57.79
     2030: 59.57
     2060: 60.07
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2017: 10.80
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 14.12
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2017: 97.49
     2030: 98.58
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.013
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2017: 0.044
     2030: 0.049
     2060: 0.085
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 0.882
     2030: 0.905
     2060: 0.953
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2017: 3.823
     2030: 3.097
     2060: 1.950
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2017: 3,317
     2030: 3,422
     2060: 3,571
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2017: 0.457
     2030: 0.512
     2060: 0.528
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2017: -1.544
     2030: -1.401
     2060: -0.935

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 31.61
     2030: 39.56
     2060: 54.06
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 14.82
     2030: 21.14
     2060: 38.20
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2017: 10.83
     2030: 13.18
     2060: 20.17
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2017: 0.293
     2030: 0.327
     2060: 0.438
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2017: 50.75
     2030: 51.31
     2060: 44.20
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2017: 32.81
     2030: 39.47
     2060: 50.21

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2017: 0.011
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2017: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2017: 0.024
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.019

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2017: 10.11
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 12.03
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2017: 18.98
     2030: 19.61
     2060: 19.09
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2017: 3.182
     2030: 3.725
     2060: 4.884
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2017: 2.474
     2030: 2.707
     2060: 3.162
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2017: 7.200
     2030: 7.326
     2060: 7.535