Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.24
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     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2016: 2.913
     2030: 2.993
     2060: 2.666
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2016: 0.333
     2030: -0.165
     2060: -0.517
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 13.90
     2030: 10.70
     2060: 8.978
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2016: 7.543
     2030: 9.358
     2060: 12.14
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2016: 13.54
     2030: 10.99
     2060: 7.580
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2016: 78.35
     2030: 80.13
     2060: 83.90
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2016: 75.86
     2030: 77.48
     2060: 80.97
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2016: 80.80
     2030: 82.73
     2060: 86.81
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2016: 1.781
     2030: 1.791
     2060: 1.830
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2016: 0.010
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2016: 0.194
     2030: 0.176
     2060: 0.126
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2016: 0.530
     2030: 0.569
     2060: 0.405
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2016: 2.012
     2030: 1.853
     2060: 1.504
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2016: 0.370
     2030: 0.572
     2060: 0.757
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2016: 1.682
     2030: 1.999
     2060: 2.129
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2016: 0.450
     2030: 0.415
     2060: 0.389
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2016: 41.86
     2030: 45.01
     2060: 48.25

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2016: 31.05
     2030: 33.48
     2060: 36.73
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2016: 29.67
     2030: 30.29
     2060: 32.12
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2016: 6.118
     2030: 5.189
     2060: 3.877
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 6.088
     2030: 5.127
     2060: 2.605
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2016: 4.481
     2030: 3.200
     2060: 2.002

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2016: 110.5
     2030: 99.11
     2060: 99.40
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2016: 96.29
     2030: 99.33
     2060: 99.54
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 99.71
     2030: 96.04
     2060: 99.08
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 94.26
     2030: 88.83
     2060: 93.08
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2016: 62.34
     2030: 62.20
     2060: 59.02
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2016: 10.77
     2030: 12.08
     2060: 13.85
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2016: 97.50
     2030: 98.63
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.004
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2016: 0.061
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.054
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 0.880
     2030: 0.906
     2060: 0.959
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2016: 3.960
     2030: 3.152
     2060: 2.027
Calories per capita available - Total - Available per Person per Day - -
     2016: 3,111
     2030: 3,238
     2060: 3,401
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2016: 0.457
     2030: 0.515
     2060: 0.532
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2016: -1.545
     2030: -1.391
     2060: -0.913

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 30.45
     2030: 39.32
     2060: 56.62
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 14.32
     2030: 21.35
     2060: 41.54
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2016: 10.45
     2030: 13.14
     2060: 21.24
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2016: 0.290
     2030: 0.316
     2060: 0.414
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2016: 50.16
     2030: 50.28
     2060: 50.89
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2016: 29.74
     2030: 34.73
     2060: 44.13

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2016: 0.008
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.003

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2016: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2016: 0.024
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.019

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2016: 10.10
     2030: 10.82
     2060: 11.94
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2016: 18.97
     2030: 19.59
     2060: 19.07
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2016: 3.169
     2030: 3.757
     2060: 5.033
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2016: 2.468
     2030: 2.713
     2060: 3.180
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2016: 7.196
     2030: 7.324
     2060: 7.543