Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.31
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     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2018: 2.937
     2030: 2.934
     2060: 2.526
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2018: 0.077
     2030: -0.257
     2060: -0.509
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 11.84
     2030: 10.30
     2060: 9.019
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2018: 7.843
     2030: 9.896
     2060: 13.85
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2018: 13.02
     2030: 10.79
     2060: 7.521
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2018: 78.56
     2030: 80.03
     2060: 83.45
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2018: 76.47
     2030: 77.81
     2060: 80.98
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2018: 80.69
     2030: 82.28
     2060: 85.96
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2018: 1.722
     2030: 1.740
     2060: 1.797
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2018: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2018: 0.176
     2030: 0.161
     2060: 0.117
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2018: 0.499
     2030: 0.494
     2060: 0.361
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2018: 2.037
     2030: 1.848
     2060: 1.431
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2018: 0.401
     2030: 0.592
     2060: 0.733
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2018: 1.733
     2030: 2.001
     2060: 2.089
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2018: 0.408
     2030: 0.381
     2060: 0.354
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2018: 41.69
     2030: 44.43
     2060: 47.94

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2018: 31.17
     2030: 32.98
     2060: 35.80
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2018: 29.96
     2030: 30.57
     2060: 32.30
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2018: 6.025
     2030: 5.219
     2060: 3.831
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 5.676
     2030: 4.180
     2060: 2.371
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2018: 1.356
     2030: 1.172
     2060: 0.996

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2018: 110.2
     2030: 103.3
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2018: 92.55
     2030: 99.12
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 103.3
     2030: 101.3
     2060: 99.54
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 89.40
     2030: 90.71
     2060: 91.91
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2018: 57.70
     2030: 60.76
     2060: 65.56
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2018: 10.85
     2030: 11.93
     2060: 14.00
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2018: 97.87
     2030: 98.84
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.011
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2018: 0.153
     2030: 0.138
     2060: 0.164
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 0.889
     2030: 0.911
     2060: 0.956
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2018: 3.868
     2030: 3.169
     2060: 2.036
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2018: 3,331
     2030: 3,429
     2060: 3,574
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2018: 0.468
     2030: 0.514
     2060: 0.530
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2018: -1.540
     2030: -1.407
     2060: -0.954

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 34.61
     2030: 42.09
     2060: 53.81
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 15.41
     2030: 21.55
     2060: 36.87
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2018: 11.79
     2030: 14.35
     2060: 21.30
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2018: 0.296
     2030: 0.333
     2060: 0.435
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2018: 50.49
     2030: 51.12
     2060: 50.19
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2018: 32.46
     2030: 38.84
     2060: 50.71

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2018: 0.011
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2018: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2018: 0.024
     2030: 0.022
     2060: 0.017

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2018: 10.16
     2030: 10.78
     2060: 12.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2018: 19.03
     2030: 19.62
     2060: 19.08
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2018: 3.241
     2030: 3.780
     2060: 4.953
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2018: 2.500
     2030: 2.729
     2060: 3.174
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2018: 7.215
     2030: 7.339
     2060: 7.530