Country Profile - Albania      IFs Version 7.00
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     Forecast Categories for Albania
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human Needs
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for Albania -
Population - Million People - -
     2014: 3.169
     2030: 3.236
     2060: 2.875
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2014: 0.137
     2030: -0.173
     2060: -0.463
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 11.64
     2030: 10.21
     2060: 8.492
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2014: 7.296
     2030: 9.242
     2060: 13.12
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Infants - -
     2014: 15.13
     2030: 12.06
     2060: 7.995
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2014: 77.37
     2030: 79.28
     2060: 82.82
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2014: 74.25
     2030: 75.97
     2060: 79.22
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2014: 80.50
     2030: 82.53
     2060: 86.32
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2014: 1.518
     2030: 1.612
     2060: 1.722
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2014: 0.010
     2030: 0.008
     2060: 0.003
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2014: 0.219
     2030: 0.218
     2060: 0.154
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2014: 0.612
     2030: 0.567
     2060: 0.399
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2014: 2.206
     2030: 2.094
     2060: 1.647
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2014: 0.350
     2030: 0.575
     2060: 0.830
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2014: 1.845
     2030: 2.494
     2060: 2.600
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2014: 0.498
     2030: 0.476
     2060: 0.431
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2014: 42.72
     2030: 45.92
     2060: 48.63

Health Forecast for Albania -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2014: 31.03
     2030: 32.90
     2060: 36.91
Smoking Rate - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2014: 21.67
     2030: 22.80
     2060: 24.69
Malnourished children as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2014: 6.140
     2030: 5.152
     2060: 3.847
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 6.087
     2030: 0.000
     2060: 0.000
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2014: 5.048
     2030: 4.718
     2060: 3.519

Education Forecast for Albania -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2014: 117.8
     2030: 102.8
     2060: 100.4
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2014: 85.63
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 99.90
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 93.47
     2030: 112.7
     2060: 105.4
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 82.39
     2030: 107.2
     2060: 100.0
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2014: 38.47
     2030: 40.35
     2060: 43.29
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2014: 10.73
     2030: 12.02
     2060: 13.91
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2014: 97.26
     2030: 98.68
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Needs Forecast for Albania
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.002
     2030: 0.001
     2060: 0.000
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation - Million People - -
     2014: 0.072
     2030: 0.047
     2060: 0.013
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 0.860
     2030: 0.889
     2060: 0.944
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2014: 4.140
     2030: 2.980
     2060: 1.556
Calories per capita available - Available per Person per Day - -
     2014: 2,918
     2030: 3,013
     2060: 3,209
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2014: 0.473
     2030: 0.529
     2060: 0.536
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2014: -1.515
     2030: -1.301
     2060: -0.818

Economy Forecast for Albania
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 25.68
     2030: 33.75
     2060: 52.11
Gross domestic product - Billion 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 11.58
     2030: 17.55
     2060: 37.16
GDP per capita at PPP - Thousand 2005 Dollars - -
     2014: 8.103
     2030: 10.43
     2060: 18.12
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2014: 0.344
     2030: 0.358
     2060: 0.394
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2014: 55.25
     2030: 70.46
     2060: 54.24
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2014: 20.98
     2030: 25.12
     2060: 33.03

Energy Forecast for Albania
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2014: 0.008
     2030: 0.009
     2060: 0.002

Environment Forecast for Albania
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2014: 0.001
     2030: 0.002
     2060: 0.001

International Politics Forecast for Albania
Power index (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2014: 0.027
     2030: 0.024
     2060: 0.019

Domestic Government Forecast for Albania
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2014: 10.14
     2030: 10.99
     2060: 12.22
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2014: 18.73
     2030: 19.43
     2060: 18.89
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2014: 3.343
     2030: 3.824
     2060: 4.896
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2014: 2.278
     2030: 2.549
     2060: 3.039
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2014: 7.340
     2030: 7.481
     2060: 7.720