Country Profile - United States      IFs Version 7.58
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Learn more about the International Futures (IFs) forecasting system and the Pardee Center for International Futures at the University of Denver.
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     Forecast Categories for United States
     Population
     Health
     Education
     Social/Human
     Economy
     Energy
     Environment
     International Politics
     Domestic Government

Population Forecast for United States -
Population - Million People - -
     2021: 333.4
     2030: 350.7
     2060: 383.4
Population growth rate - Annual Percent - -
     2021: 0.632
     2030: 0.511
     2060: 0.252
Crude birthrate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 12.51
     2030: 12.04
     2060: 11.17
Crude death rate - per Thousand - -
     2021: 9.065
     2030: 9.855
     2060: 10.96
Infant mortality rate per 1,000 live births - Deaths per Thousand Live Births - -
     2021: 5.199
     2030: 4.341
     2060: 2.388
Life expectancy - Total - Years - -
     2021: 79.44
     2030: 80.27
     2060: 83.22
Life expectancy - Male - Years - -
     2021: 77.01
     2030: 77.74
     2060: 80.57
Life expectancy - Female - Years - -
     2021: 81.82
     2030: 82.75
     2060: 85.82
Total fertility rate (births per woman over lifetime) - Births per Woman - -
     2021: 1.865
     2030: 1.879
     2060: 1.886
HIV infection, rate, percentage of adult population - Percent - -
     2021: 0.353
     2030: 0.303
     2060: 0.099
Population, aged 0 to 5 - Million People - -
     2021: 20.36
     2030: 21.04
     2060: 21.32
Population, aged 15 years or less - Million People - -
     2021: 61.81
     2030: 63.01
     2060: 64.31
Population, aged 15 to 65 - Million People - -
     2021: 215.0
     2030: 217.2
     2060: 230.2
Population, aged more than 65 years - Million People - -
     2021: 56.54
     2030: 70.52
     2060: 88.90
Population in urban areas - Million People - -
     2021: 276.3
     2030: 295.7
     2060: 331.4
Labor participation rate - Ratio - -
     2021: 0.495
     2030: 0.483
     2060: 0.472
Female share of the labor force - Percent of Labor Force - -
     2021: 47.37
     2030: 48.66
     2060: 49.86

Health Forecast for United States -
Obesity Rate - Total - Percent of Adults 30 Years and Older - -
     2021: 59.40
     2030: 59.67
     2060: 57.04
Smoking Rate (Adults 30+) - Total - Percent of Adults - -
     2021: 16.83
     2030: 16.70
     2060: 16.70
Malnourished children (under 5) as percent - Percent of All Children - -
     2021: 1.982
     2030: 1.996
     2060: 2.094
Malnourished children as percent, Smith and Haddad Formulation - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 1.410
     2030: 1.351
     2060: 2.001
Malnourished population as percent - Percent of Population - -
     2021: 2.124
     2030: 1.943
     2060: 1.639

Education Forecast for United States -
Education, primary, enrollment rate, gross - Total - Enrollment Rate - -
     2021: 99.80
     2030: 100.1
     2060: 100.0
Education, primary, enrollment rate, net - Total - Percent of Children Enrolled - -
     2021: 96.98
     2030: 99.89
     2060: 100.0
Education, Lower Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 101.1
     2030: 100.2
     2060: 99.34
Education, Upper Secondary, gross enrollment (% of age group) - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 96.65
     2030: 97.39
     2060: 97.28
Education, tertiary, gross enrolment rate - Total - Percent - -
     2021: 84.62
     2030: 82.87
     2060: 82.10
Education, years obtained by population 25+ - Total - Years Completed - -
     2021: 13.52
     2030: 13.60
     2060: 13.85
Literacy, percentage of population, 15 and older - Percent of Population 15 and Older - -
     2021: 100.0
     2030: 100.0
     2060: 100.0

Social/Human Forecast for United States
Population with income less than $1.25 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 4.061
     2030: 3.465
     2060: 1.007
Population with income less than $2 per day, log normal computation (using 2005 ICP based survey data) - Million People - -
     2021: 4.181
     2030: 3.575
     2060: 1.046
Human development index, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 0.987
     2030: 0.994
     2060: 1.000
Human poverty index 1, UN Development Program's measure - Index - -
     2021: 1.544
     2030: 1.511
     2060: 1.175
Calories per capita available - Total - Kilocalories per Person per Day - -
     2021: 3,757
     2030: 3,766
     2060: 3,678
Traditional/Secular-Rational index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 0.733
     2030: 0.726
     2060: 0.790
Survival/self-expression index - Total - Index - -
     2021: 1.507
     2030: 1.508
     2060: 1.572

Economy Forecast for United States
Gross domestic product at PPP - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 18,415
     2030: 20,369
     2060: 28,519
Gross domestic product - Billion 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 18,408
     2030: 20,362
     2060: 28,513
GDP per capita at PPP (2011 Thousand US Dollars) - Thousand 2011 Dollars - -
     2021: 55.24
     2030: 58.08
     2060: 74.38
Domestic GINI index of inequality (larger is more unequal, from 0 to 1) - Index - -
     2021: 0.409
     2030: 0.392
     2060: 0.377
Globalization level index, base years values from 0-100 (highest) - Index - -
     2021: 38.57
     2030: 34.36
     2060: 32.62
Knowledge society index; base year 0-100 (better) - Index - -
     2021: 69.35
     2030: 68.51
     2060: 74.48

Energy Forecast for United States
Energy production - Oil - Billion Barrels Oil Equivalent - -
     2021: 3.409
     2030: 3.160
     2060: 1.343

Environment Forecast for United States
Annual carbon emissions from fossil fuels - Billion Tons - -
     2021: 1.351
     2030: 1.141
     2060: 0.411

International Politics Forecast for United States
Power index, Hillebrand Herman (percent of global total) - Index - -
     2021: 17.74
     2030: 14.82
     2060: 10.83

Domestic Government Forecast for United States
Freedom House freedom indicator (higher is more democratic;2-14;reversed from Freedom House) - Index - -
     2021: 14.00
     2030: 14.00
     2060: 14.00
Democracy, Polity index (Range: 0-20; higher is better) - Index - -
     2021: 19.99
     2030: 20.00
     2060: 20.00
Government corruption perception, based on TI (higher is less corrupt) - Index - -
     2021: 7.545
     2030: 8.164
     2060: 10.00
Government effectiveness (quality), factor score; higher is better - Index - -
     2021: 4.003
     2030: 4.054
     2060: 4.274
Economic freedom, Fraser Institute/Econ Freedom Network freedom indicator (higher more free) - Index - -
     2021: 8.105
     2030: 8.130
     2060: 8.257